All Activity

Euro has a T-1” for NYD before it loading what looks pretty epic at Day 10. Loading something else up at Day 14 too

Part of it is we all look at snow maps instead of soundings but yes the gfs and other colder models kept showing snow in areas that started as sleet and then got dry slotted

I "think" the ridge in the east kind of retrogrades westward....pops, gets beat down, pops up westward until about Jan 8-10 when it hits the best location. I am hoping with that AR out of the way, the trough which forms in the GOA is far enough west to allow the PNA or EPO to form.

I'll be shocked if it does but would be a great sign if it was.

I just posted about this. I have to look up to see what the parameters are for an Ice Storm Warning to be issued for parts of New England

I know I'm not Dave or ineedsnow, who jack in half of the storms...or even scooter, who frequently jacks in cold coastals...conditions have to be perfect for this area to JP....I just mean start getting consistent, representative snows...that's all. Just near 60" in a season, while n ORH county gets high 70s. Not a huge ask....I don't think...

Hmm

when the ensemble says 18", I'll say 36"

I'm starting to get worried about quite an ice storm in parts of New England tomorrow night and Monday. I have not looked at other models but QPF seems to increase up here each run with over 1" liquid. Almost all freezing rain. I'm not sure how accurate these Weather bell clown maps are for ZR but .50 to 1.00 of ice would cause quite a bit of damage and CAD always rules. Even a brief few hours of above freezing would not melt all that ice before high winds and cold returns. Snowstorms get all the attention, but ice storms are brutal, especially for me on top of a hill with only one way out.

Right....because the rosy wave has had a huge ridge over the midwest...if that were over Montana or Idaho, which it never is anymore, we'd be getting rocked.

Thanks! Don’t forget the icy gusty winds they are coming.

After a pretty ho-hum first 240 hours...the 12z Euro slides a slp along the low road.

WWA out for ice

I need to learn to read. Saw that while driving and thought it was today’s runs. Soiled myself but I’m ok now

Just chiseled out the car and parked it in the sun.

What a God awful performance by the GFS/GEFS. Worst model there is. Even the NAM showed it up and owned it. King EURO/EPS is back!! So much for “ratios” lol @HeadInTheClouds @allgame830

What I loved for that storm was the 'extra' bonus snow we had here. The snow started earlier than forecast late night on the 5th early morning of the 6th and continued thru late afternoon of the 8th. 33.5" fell, 31" OTG when it stopped. Then another 5" fell around the 12th. Had SOG until 19th when 1.81" of RAIN fell melting all the snow (which had 2.15" SWE on 18th) and a monthly high of 62 degrees, leading to massive flooding. Ended month with 6.83" of liquid, 39.2" of snow.

Looks like the storm track orientation is off for coastal storms as all are hitting Newfoundland.

See I didn't miss much on my trip. Got back just in time for some flurries Monday lol

Unbelievable! This is a HUGE drift likely 20 feet high. https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/the-summit Mammoth is a place of unparalleled beauty right now! I wanna go roll in that deep snow just like an overly happy dog just got out the snowy gate, right now! They got over 6 FEET of pure pow!

Hope you do well. I haven't caught much there since Helene

Of course it's luck....people keep suggesting I live in a bad spot.....for frequent jacks, yes....but bottom line is I average over 60" and haven't received close to that in 8 years.

I just melted down my freezing rain and sleet. It came out to precisely 0.25" (liquid). There was no plain rain recorded throughout the entirety of the event as the temperature never went above 32.0 degrees. Ice-coated trees and grass are barely showing signs of melting with a current temperature of 33.6 degrees. Pavement and sidewalks are mostly ice-free now. They experienced the least accumulation of ice from the storm. It's next to impossible to come up with precise measurements of sleet versus freezing rain, although it seems obvious that the predominant form was from freezing rain. I am going to go with 0.3" of sleet (0.09" liquid) and 0.16" of freezing rain. The final few hours on either side of midnight were a "heavy" freezing drizzle. It looked like the tiniest snowflakes floating and flying around, but it wasn't snow. This precipitation brings my YTD total to 34.57" which represents an annual deficit of approximately 13.5" compared to the normal annual average of 48", which is the total I recorded during last year. I'll have the final yearly total after our last precip event coming up tomorrow evening into Monday afternoon.

Are u cancelling January before it begins? Lol

Some of this was just luck too. Cape getting 6” of wet snow a couple weeks ago and 2” here. Definitely feels like we left some on the table with such a cold month.