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  1. Past hour
  2. frd
    Up and down pattern continues
  3. Chinook
    25 preliminary tornado reports in IN/IL
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think RONI ends up from like 1.7 to 2.0....just my early guess, but I'll have a better idea next month. ONI 2.2 TO 2.5??
  5. kayman
    Back to back confirmed tornadoes on the ground along the I-64 corridor with this outbreak.
  6. snowfan
    Spent the day w my daughter doing some hiking in yosemite
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Definitely done better with that past few years.
  8. Stormchaserchuck1
    Warm Nino 1+2 pattern hitting, despite strong decadal seasonal trend for warmth out there
  9. mitchnick
    Unfortunately, in this hobby, no bias = no hope! Lol
  10. kdxken
    Let's go high res! Stupid rain.
  11. kdxken
    20s and 30s at night that's what everyone was saying. I can't find a link but I'll repeat it all day.
  12. jlauderdal
    Seems to be winding down, perfect timing to wipe out an entire summer day.
  13. nrgjeff
    Local outflow boundary in June. Thats an easy decision to chase after work. 2% strong!
  14. Today
  15. Stormchaserchuck1
    Pretty above average temps Jun 30 - July 6 on 12z EPS
  16. SACRUS
    Today's Highs: ACY: 88 BLM: 87 New Brnswck: 87 EWR: 86 PHL: 86 LGA: 85 TEB: 84 TTN: 84 ISP: 82 JFK: 82 NYC: 82
  17. ineedsnow
    18z GFS is just a bit different also who said through mid July
  18. andyhb
    Large tornado in progress just east of KVWX heading for Fort Branch IN.
  19. Prue11
    Picked up a whopping .01” from the showers that just rolled through
  20. WxWatcher007
    Blue skies, blue skies.
  21. NEG NAO
    and as the 12Z and 18Z NAM shows the difference in different areas - no consistency - thats why Don's forecast of a 1/2 inch to 1 1/2 inches without saying where is the best way to go.......
  22. Yesterday
  23. Stormchaserchuck1
    It's pretty easy not to have a bias. Accept that there is a 85% chance that the Winter will be above average wherever you are, but I think the Strong El Nino historical analog set is biased warm compared to that, with probably too much +AO/NAO.
  24. Picard
    They keep showing a split with a screw zone in the middle. It's a riot to see 2.5" and 0.2" within 50 miles.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have a bias...it's human nature. If anything, I have overcompensated the past couple of years and it's probably at least in part why I didn't go as cold as my narrative implied last year when I clearly should have.
  26. michsnowfreak
    I consider myself to have a lot of weather knowledge...but i dont forecast. Definitely respect those who do so, particularly without much bias. I have a preference, not a bias. I worry that preference would create a bias if I tried to forecast, so I dont. Say its mid winter and every model shows warmth the next two weeks. I know its going to be warm, so instead of trying to find something to say all models will be wrong, or try to find a reason why it will be warm when i thought it would be cold.....no...im going to deal with it, see if we will squeeze snow out of it, and look beyind the warm spell.
  27. 40/70 Benchmark
    Stop interpreting this guidance in such absolute terms because it's just that .....GUIDANCE. No forecaster worth a damn should be ripping and reading it, but rather using it as a tool.
  28. 512high
    Nice pic
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