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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I slept right through everything, must have been the whiskey ha. Low of 22 and .3” of snow that I’m currently melting down. Happy New Year! -
Prettiest of our daily morning snows this week .
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Year end data: Average 59.2°F High 99.5°F 7/27/252:48 pm Low 10.2°F 12/15/257:48 am Rain. 51.9"
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I don't own a vehicle. I walk or use public transit everywhere. That much snow would pretty much guarantee I would eventually be hit by a car as I try to navigate around the drifts.
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cutlew started following January 2026 General Discussion
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
It’s not -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Don’t you read anything the Mets say on here . You can’t just rip and read and assume warmth -
Model feedback has been a huge problem all winter. Repetitive Baja lows, repetitive NW lows, and maybe now repetitive Four Corners lows. One low is generally plausible - if we start seeing slp reform over and over…that is more than likely feedback. I start tossing model runs at the hour that occurs.
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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
colonel717 replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It was hard to come up with a final total with the wind. I am going with 3.75. I was out filming with my phone and it crashed after about 10 minutes so I don't have the video from the best part. Got some pics from towards the end. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
qg_omega replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Happy 2026, looks like winter is done for the foreseeable future. It was a great December at least -
December 2025 in Minneapolis finished with an average temperature of 18.9F which is 3.1F below average. There were 5 morning lows below zero with the coldest being -11F on the 14th. December saw 16.8” of snowfall, and there was at least 1” of snow on the ground everyday this month, with a peak depth of 10” on the 10th-12th
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I suspect we are seeing feedback over the SW which is a known issue w modeling. Now, an actuall cutoff low could be legit under that big EPO. That seems impossible to have a cutoff under the ridge, but it has happened before. But given the massive amounts of model feedback and infinite loops this winter, I suspect that trough kicks right on out. By ~Jan 12.
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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion
NorthArlington101 replied to snowfan's topic in Mid Atlantic
Barring any pop up surprises we seem to be pretty cooked until the 12th. Time to focus on the New Years’ resolutions that we’re all gonna drop by mid-January before getting back to tracking snow! -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
HIPPYVALLEY replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Had about 1.25” overnight. -
12/31-1/1 Possible Snow Showers/Squalls to Start 2026
clueless replied to bncho's topic in Mid Atlantic
Dusting here in southeast Leesburg -
Ps: the people who complain about the complainers are actually far worse than the complainers. Imagine tracking weather in hopes of a winter and expressing disappointment when it doesn’t happen. God forbid!!!
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New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Plows have not come once . It’s kind of eerie and nostalgic. https://imgur.com/a/F2ahCg4#XH87xdh https://imgur.com/a/F2ahCg4#M4TQLIW -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
Fozz replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Easton is about to get hammered. -
The early January cold and snowy pattern is no more. But stay tuned everyone; mid January looks great!! Its only 2 weeks away. This time we promise!
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12/31-1/1 Possible Snow Showers/Squalls to Start 2026
osfan24 replied to bncho's topic in Mid Atlantic
Wind gust woke me up. Figured it had to be the front so checked my phone and saw alert and radar and ran out to check it out. Everything covered instantly. Very fun 15 minutes. -
7F with 1mi visibility and snow. What a way to kick off 2026, happy New Year to everyone.
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New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
ORH_wxman replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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I ran through an 18” drift and exhausted myself but it was worth it
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I think the GFS is out to lunch. It has been all winter. I guess a broken clock is right twice a day though, and I won’t discount it quite yet. It has some support from the 0z GEM, but the GEM ends before the transition on ~Jan12 is depicted on other modeling - the GEPS kicks the tucked in trough out of the West right after 240. Eastern trough looks on time on the 0z Euro, every nonGEFS ensemble suite I can find, and the AIFS Euro…even the AIGFS to some extent. The ensembles have not budged overnight…EPS, GEPS, AIFS Euro, AIGEFS. Roll with them at this range. Check ensemble member counts. As I noted yesterday, the main concerns are cold source regions and if the ridge continues to retrograde (doesn’t stop in the West or eastern PAC). It could be the MJO is trying to gain same amplitude…but it has been so inaccurate this winter I am not using it a ton - yet. When we switched to the chinook in late December, modeling projected the event to start right after the 10th. It took another 12 days before it actually showed up. I think the same thing is occurring here…just with the cold. If non-GEFS ensembles begin to move…that is worth paying attention to. GFS verification scores have been terrible of late.
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Another surprise 1-2”, and I should be around 25-26” for the season.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
canderson replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I’m going with .5” but it’s really hard to tell. Have had a bunch of 45-50 mph wind gusts so it’s blown everywhere
