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12z euro ai = woweeee

probably after 5 more so now based on radar

Out here

Well except that wasn't the topic, if you follow the discussion back. The topic was existential crisis, which is not the same as progressive or even accelerating levels of impacts. ("Exist" of course being the root of "existential") To equate those two would require a third assumption - that the progression would either continue forever, or that it would reach a pace where adaptation is impossible. The first is physically impossible. For the latter - given the adaptability level of humans - our ability to live in both in the arctic and the extreme tropics, and the fact that earth has transitioned through *all* extremes several times in the past, with life still thriving, it will certainly not be happening.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch up - Also a Freeze Watch in the western burbs. It's a warmish 69 here with dp 66 but that's about to go bye bye.

What time do we see this arriving to the metro area?

Hmm... 20/10 tor probs are higher than I expected tbh

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 686 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 125 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Maryland Southern New York Central and Eastern Pennsylvania Northern Virginia Eastern West Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 125 PM until 800 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Widespread damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Clusters of storms will continue to develop and intensify this afternoon, with the expectation that fast-moving bands/lines of storms will evolve with the potential for wind damage. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles north of Wilkesbarre PA to 80 miles south southwest of Martinsburg WV. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes.

The sun is starting to breakout. 69F/DP 66F as we approach 2pm.

Man is it humid .. let’s rip some big boy wind gusts thru this evening / tonight.

Front in CPA

Nah I’m here, I guess as you get older you get hungrier for the bigguns. Thats not just snow, that’s any type of weather.

Yup. It’s ugly.

A damaged weenie. Ouch! Definitely hate to see it.

I only like it if I’m on the good side.

Scattered frost Sunday AM in NE TN and SW VA looks likely.

He’s damaged now…you hate to see it.

First snowflakes of the season may fly in the higher elevations of NE TN and NW NC tomorrow morning. Crazy stuff given how hot it has been this week!

Cold front should pass through today.We broke record highs this week,.each day from Monday-Thursday each day,not to often you see that Up into next week is a EWB into the IO with a Kelvin Wave,MJO should go into the Eastern IO or phase 3 regardless of what the RRMS seemingly is showing for several days,so it still should be moving along. Next weekend a strong typhoon is seemingly headed towards East China,this will build up the ridge once again off SE Japan,shades of summer once again maybe in the long range to an extent. Think the Euro is doing a good job sorta with the MJO,so i'm riding it myself right now,but its going to murky as it heads towards the COD again seemingly

Sun has come out here. The younger Ms. J is coming home for Fall pause from school. Told her to watch the weather as she is driving 15 S. I am going to watch for her also.

I recall not so long ago, you'd get a PT when there was a sharp gradient of snow/no snow on the S Shore, and snowfall was only 1". And I said, "you really are getting excited about seeing that?" And you fired back saying how fascinating it was seeing the sharp gradient. Guess that weenie I once knew is long gone!

Gerber or Beechnut?

67F/DP 65F Line clearly starting to form just W of State College (73F/DP 66F)