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Your in the Forky camp.
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26th-27th event, coming at us like a wounded duck.
moneypitmike replied to Go Kart Mozart's topic in New England
The only issue with this is that you have my new digs in the 1-2 range. Might want to reassess that part. -
How do various current wx station models handle normally-varying wind directions? Do any update the direction display many times per second? Many models display what the wind direction happened to be when that instrument was last queried. As most here probably know, air does not always move in a straight line. A real-time wind vane will show the direction changing frequently, for example, anything from W to N, or even beyond, when the average direction is NW. To learn, I acquired a low-end station because the maker was practically giving them away. When I know the predominant direction to be NW, this unit sometimes displays S or E or others because the wind happened to swirl a bit when the vane was last queried. A few seconds later, the next query might return a very different direction. It's basically useless for determining the predominant direction. Some better stations quote a 2-second sampling rate, which seems too low to me, perhaps because I am used to a wired, real-time vane.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Jns2183 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Latest prediction is for about 0.3-0.5" of sleet and 0.15 of freezing rain for Harrisburg Cold front has past, skies have cleared and a breezy north wind is pushing cold air in Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk -
I ended up acquiring replacement parts from d8apro.com and repairing the unit.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
HoarfrostHubb replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Yeah the winds (and temp drop) is noticeable. -
Here is another nugget from the 18z ICON. It isn't a December map, but extrapolate...LOL. addendum: The way that run looked. It had the PNA locked into the West w/ the AO and NAO negative. If the GFS can back its trough up just a little, it gets here IMHO. At 18z it isn't there, but it trended that way again at 500.
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I still think NYC ends up with a solid period of sleet with this. We're seeing the typical correction back south now we often see at this range but then inside the final 18-24 ticks back to the N tend to occur once again and sometimes verification still ends up even further N by 15-20 miles on what your game time start guidance has. There will likely be 2 big time areas who get smashed here. One will be the typical just NE of the changeover which might run from like CNTRL LI NW up through Fairfield Co and roughly SWF/POU. The 2nd will be a frontogenesis/dry air subsidence induced area somewhere in ERN CT probably up into SRN-CNTRL MASS. Overall the good news is the 3K does not agree with the 12K but given where the RGEM has been consistently and the 3K at 18Z I like a 30 or so mile shift to the NE on this roughly. I am in Flagstaff so I'll be missing the whole thing.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
KamuSnow replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Merry Christmas! 47F here. We shall see about tomorrow, looking like not a lot of snow down here, but an inch of sleet will make the ground white at least! -
You’re gonna love it out there and it seems like the western ski resorts are slowly making up ground. Just experienced CO-style weather in southern NV actually. Yesterday was miserable…windy, scattered rain. Today…bright sunshine. Still kinda windy, though lol.
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MO/KS/AR/OK 2025-2026 Winter Discussion
Stx_Thunder replied to stormdragonwx's topic in Central/Western States
Areas of southern OK are near 90 F this Christmas Day afternoon, with records easily shattered now in Oklahoma City & Tulsa. While not very unexpected with all the abnormally strong ridging in place over the Plain states this Christmas week, at least parts of OK and KS are also on the way to experiencing their warmest Christmas on record. -
Historic Heat: 75° makes a new Christmas record warm temp in Greensboro, NC. 40s tomorrow!
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Mid to long range discussion- 2025
WinstonSalemArlington replied to wncsnow's topic in Southeastern States
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Definitely not first time. .
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That is just an awful snowfall streak and I think Frederick has been the same. I don’t think I’ve seen >4” since early Jan ‘22.
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It's gonna show the classic 8-12 ... And we get NAMd!
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26th-27th event, coming at us like a wounded duck.
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to Go Kart Mozart's topic in New England
At least in this area, we’re hoping the banding ends up north of modeling. It’s probably never going to show up on a model run. I could see this area getting 2-3” or nothing -
26th-27th event, coming at us like a wounded duck.
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to Go Kart Mozart's topic in New England
Yeah definitely looks a bit worse -
Snow Potential Dec 26-27
CPcantmeasuresnow replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
I'm concerned I can mix or change to sleet and cut down my totals from 8-10 to six. To say you know where the sleet line ends up or far it travels is plain stupidity. Merry Christmas -
Happy for our NY friends: from NY NWS: If the forecast verifies, Central Park will receive its first snowfall of greater than 4 inches since January 2022. In the January 28-29, 2022 storm 8.3 inches was observed.
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26th-27th event, coming at us like a wounded duck.
Baroclinic Zone replied to Go Kart Mozart's topic in New England
18z hir res RGEM slightly more robust for eastern folks -
nam starts correcting south at 0z watch
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Weeklies look great. The STJ wakes up with a big blocking pattern
