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Add snowshoes to our hospital bag... Got it! A few days after the snow stopped in the January 96 storm, they did send a humvee down our street to pick up my neighbor. She was a nurse at the local hospital and I guess it was way past time for shift change.

I love the SV maps. I also have a fondness for the old school CMC/GEM maps with neige and pluie and neige fondue

I'm still very skeptical of this. 2003, 2010, and 2016 were all part of el nino events. Pretty much all the big events came either during an el nino and/or a +PDO. Even 1996, which was a la nina, had a +PDO. We currently have a -PDO and a slight -ENSO. If we get a huge event, it would be unprecedented given the PDO/ENSO state.

Should also see some squalls move across the region tomorrow...particularly along the Mass Pike. Timing late afternoon and evening

hot dawg, a non zero probability

Agreed

Yea definitely less than 4 days til go time now. Praying for no major jumps north..

@olafminesaw brings up a good point- this storm likely features the WAA “thump”. This is where heroes are made in the mix areas as that front end over performing or switching to mix too fast can make or break a storm. That is 100% something to watch for most areas. 2018 featured one of the heaviest front end thumps I can remember in Raleigh. We got 7-8” in like 6 hours before it switched to rain. In this case there will not be a switch to plain rain, but the thump might be just as important for storm total snowfall.

As the flakes gently closed their eyes, they continued to dream. Thank you b w,….. As always …

Just for fun

I think it’s time for a thread, I’ll start it once I think of a nice title

Poking around on my GSP forecast, kickoff time is actually around 10pm Friday. With that….we’re three days out now

it is not snowing next weekend

Amen. Noticed this morning that finger of precip stretching into NC seems to find an earlier and earlier arrival time. GSP now has it starting around 10 pm Friday night in my neck of the woods. If so, it’s down to 3 days

I will add to pay attention to the NAM within 48 hours of the storm. It does amazingly well in CAD setups with warm noses. Its burned many of us before

also I have 8" on the year and you all have maybe half that, so the likely north trend = reversion to the mean

I-95 dry slotted in 2016 as well. Lost quite a bit of accumulation

Somehow I bet you’ll manage to do alright if I had to guess.

there's literally nothing worse in this forum than reading model play-by-play without maps from non-mets . . .

^^^^^ THIS

What do you think the cap is for this storm? Why is the Euro solution less snowy than solutions like the UK?