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  2. Reality was sort of a blend? Wedge wasn’t as strong as the NAM suggested, but euro was too aggressive eroding it.
  3. Are those thunder showers out west? Or just heavy rain?
  4. Today’s EW for 3/16-22 is slightly colder but it remains the only full week averaging chilly: so a one and done full cool week again this run:
  5. NE winds blowing good now steady drop continues. Hopefully enough
  6. The reverse of this also exists. A nino-style pacific jet extension that blasts warm air into Canada and the E US typically correlates to a weak +PNA.
  7. Wunderground keeps upping the snow totals. Now to 5”
  8. Lots of unknowns, just like mid-March!
  9. I concur! People can barely drive in clear weather, throw in this rainy foggy day and it's a disaster out there.
  10. CHO 79/55 at 3pm. Back down to 75 now
  11. I also have a pellet stove. I estimate I save about 1,200 per year but pellet prices have been going up over the past decade cutting into savings. When I got the stove, I was paying $4 for oil and paying half of what I am now paying for pellets. Money mattered at the time but not anymore. Still saving some money, but it's not the point. My wife is spoiled by that thing since there is always a 90 degree room in the house. 6 tons this winter averaging 360 per ton, about a ton per month plus or minus, 75+ tons since I got the thing. I'd be happy to burn oil and not have to tinker and haul pellets all the time.
  12. Temps and dews Finally dropping here steadily into 30’s. Over the last hour
  13. Edit: Actually some 34's near Westminster 3:20 PM.
  14. This thing has a 31.9 straight rain "just realized my calibration musta been .02 degrees too cold all along?" look about it. Wouldn't be the first time the NAM sold big QPF from a little critter. heh we'll see
  15. https://www.noaa.gov/jetstream/upperair/skew-t-log-p-diagrams On the left going up in white you have the pressure levels…sfc-1000mb up to 100mb. Horizontal axis is temp/dew in degC…temp is red…dew green. The temp lines slant up and to the right 45°. There’s a little nose of air a bit above 850mb that is higher than 0C.
  16. southwest michigan tomorrow looks pretty interesting, i can't lie
  17. Seeing some 35-37 readings near Hubby, Gardner, Westminster. That's a nice drop.
  18. March the worst month of the year is outdoing itself The warmup ends up being pushed back four days and the cooldown late next week has moved up a day or two. I new the cold pattern would be relentless. 10 day warm period reduced to Sun-Wed
  19. Way too stable for severe east of the mountains, but there will be some elevated instability, so I expect some thunder during the evening / overnight, especially for areas north of 66 (VA) and 50 (MD).
  20. Is there somewhere on AmericanWX or somewhere online to learn how to read these? I see them all the time and have no idea how to break them down.
  21. Yes, completely elevated, but the forecast soundings do indicate some instability for parcels originating well above the surface.
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