All Activity

2-22-26 to 2-23-26 Central Islip 31.0 in 0140 PM 02/23 Trained Spotter

Still 230k outages in Eastern Massachusetts. Look at those outages on the cape. Total grid failure.

Historic, indeed. https://www.wcvb.com/article/blizzard-prompts-boston-globe-management-to-call-off-printing-paper-for-first-time-in-153-years/70475083

Yes, this totally lol. I am like, what's next?

I was starting to doubt the 5” I measured since everyone around was a bit higher But i see a trained spotter 1 WSW in Nashua reported 5.8”. Only 9-10” off the forecast. Hehe

23 when I left the house. Perhaps a coating tonight and something a little more Thursday. Thursday would be tricky as a daytime event with marginal temps and a narrow swath of snow, but we might just be sitting in as good a spot as anyone. Much to shake out.

32” in Attleboro on Pawtucket line.

What's great about the North East, especially NYC is everything is open, even during a blizzard!!! Bring some bagels down for me please!!! If you are a pizza guy, go to Joe's pizza, and pizza suprema across from msg.

Well, a lot of models are around us. There’s been a back-and-forth each cycle between precept being over us or south of us. Let’s see if we can get a little bit of juicing/amping today now that the bomb is gone. The system needs to be a little bit stronger if we want the heavy precip that will help our temps cooperate. I guess there is a chance it could be flattening the flow.

32” here in Attlehole. still shocked by Corey’s lackluster total less than 10mi away.

Good morning from Middleboro where the snow seems even more impressive today with the sun out.

This was one of the better measured snowfalls considering all the drifting. It also highlights how these narrow deformation bands can cause significant variation over a very small distance. You can see the spread between the airport at Newark and the Harrison coop. Central Park was nearly identical to the Greenwich Village measurement After looking at our snowfall over the years some things stand out. Most snowstorms drop the heaviest snow either just west of the NYC-LGA-JFK corridor or to the east across Long Island. 2016 and 2006 were the rare times the heaviest snow was centered at one of these stations. My guess is that the northwest wall of the Gulf Stream to our east provides the natural focus for the very deep lows that track near the benchmark. Terrain interaction with the coastal fronts also lead to a snowfall secondary snowfall maxima somewhere over NNJ into Orange, Rockland, or Westchester. Weaker storms with marginal temperatures often favor areas to the west of NYC. So this has lead to mostly Islip and secondarily Newark for the snowfall leaders among the major observation sites. Greenwich Village 20.4 in 0230 PM 02/23 Public Central Park 19.7 in 0100 PM 02/23 Official NWS Obs Newark Airport 27.2 in 0200 PM 02/23 Official NWS Obs Harrison 18.0 in 0445 PM 02/23 CO-OP Observer

The GFS was lights out on this storm and it’s amazing to me. It was at best frustrating throughout the rest of winter but it saw this storm and never lost it, never compromised the outcome and just kept full steam ahead with NAM 2016 energy. Taking this with the usual AI grain of salt but GPT-5 explained it that the Euro’s verification scores have the most to do with H5 synoptic performance and that sometimes the GFS is better able to resolve northeast coastal systems at lead. Good but, it’s not like the GFS did great to my memory with the other systems this winter, it was all over the place IIRC. Seems like it’s becoming more difficult to parse which model has the best read for any one event. Edit: Here’s my Garmin Instinct 3 barometer log throughout the storm just for fun

If you followed IMO a seasonal trend of storms trending south before back north next week looks pretty darn ok at the moment for a Snow to Ice to Rain scenario with the GS. Especially if it bumps south before coming back up north

Euro Ai has the Thursday night/ Friday event

6z GFS has it now

Another snow day tomorrow? And then we’ll see about Thursday night

Heard that before.

WB 0Z EPS for early next week.

Getting concerned about flood potential in the usual places. [emoji51] .

WB 0Z EPS shows maybe enough cold air with the negative WPO early next week, lights out for at least a while by the end of next week as warm air surges east.

WB 0Z EPS PNA support for early next week as well.

WB 0Z GEFS has the early next week threat as well.

March 2-3 still looking interesting with a weakish wave moving eastward underneath cold HP to the north.

Light flurries this morning still. It's very calm out there currently. Low of 12 degrees with another half inch picked up overnight it looks like. Might have been an inch but the wind was whipping everything around. So my storm total is 7.5 inches. Not too freaking bad at all.