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Rain Friday? Where are you seeing that in SNE? It’s mainly dry thru day 14
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
^What was most impressive is that the largest anomalies occurred in the south vs the north. It could have been up to 1.5 magnitude higher if the core anomaly was over the Upper Midwest and Montana. It was also impressive how monthly records were set with more than 10 days to go in the month. -
This morning's low temperature in Central Park was 30°. That will likely be the last freeze this season. Temperatures will likely top out in the middle 50s tomorrow. Afterward, it will turn warmer to end the week and start the weekend. Temperatures will return to the 60s on Friday. The warmth will extend into the weekend. It could turn even warmer next week. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.2°C for the week centered around April 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.25°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged 0.00°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring. The SOI was -17.45 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.494 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 72% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 56.0° (2.3° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.0° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
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No measurable next 10-14 Can we get some decent fires ?
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FREE Weather Wizard III. I dont know if this is allowable within the regulations of this site. If not, many pardons. I wish to give away an unused Weather Wizard III as my moving away gift to anyone on the forum. Older technology, so maybe it can just be used for parts? I prefer not to ship. I live in Garwood NJ 07027.
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So, what do we think, are we really getting some rain on Friday? Am I good to put down some weed n feed and overseed tomorrow? Already thatched and got rid of all the leaves, twigs and f*cking acorns.
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Weather looks good for the next week or so. Also looks good at Augusta for the Masters.
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Beautiful sitting on my back deck from 1130AM on, once the breeze died down...
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- Yesterday
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Yeah the key is not going over strong. 72/73 97/98 were dumpster fires. 82/83 and 15/16 were one hit wonders that would have been next to snowless if those two giants hadn’t been timed perfectly .
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Takes a monster -WPO. -
Cool day today. High 59.5, low 47.5. Already at 48 at 7:30 so 40 is achievable.
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Tubular vortex action near Logan Airport: https://www.wcvb.com/article/unusual-boston-waterspout-video-pleasure-bay/70952510 The cause of these make sense (wingtip vortices from aircraft). See here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ViKYFsN3p24 They are not dust devils over water since it was cloudy and early in the day and these are too small in diameter really for conventional waterspouts. I've seen videos before on small lakes under similar conditions, and I said then "it's too small for a true waterspout!" So this explains it.
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mine was gone by late yesterday afternoon.. still got piles from shoveling though and I made sure to put it all in one spot as high as I could..
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Strong Nino we can work with, a record or near record Nino is a blast furnace of wet Pacific hangover breath all winter.
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Worst time of year for the coast. Morch- June
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Humidity is crazy low today. I'm hoping to put my humidifier away for good starting tomorrow.
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Not too often you have a cold winter in Alaska and the eastern lower 48.
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ASOUT
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Yeah up to 45F and it’s only left in shaded spots.
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This is a great write-up on the record cold March 2026 in much of Alaska. Coldest March on record in Fairbanks, with an average temp of -9.0F. That's 19.6F below normal, the most negative departure of any month since February 1990. 2025-26 was also a very cold winter in Fairbanks; the first time in history where the temp didn't get above 32F during the entire Nov-Mar period. https://ak-wx.blogspot.com/2026/04/march-record-cold.html https://alaskaclimate.substack.com/p/record-setting-cold-march-in-alaska
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High 46.8°. Most of the snow is gone outside of shaded spots and piles.
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It's nice out in the sun when the wind stops blowing. I just looked at next week's temps. WHY?
