All Activity

Yep, flurrying here too

Sorry, I'm late to this but I just saw this and it brought back some great memories seeing you and some of the older posters doing play by play. It's really nice to see you back.

Yup

my guess is 1-2 inches Hampton Roads, 2-3 inches DC, 3-6 inches east of Philly, 6 inches NYC, 10 inches Boston.

And the million dollar question is...adjust which way? We shall see...

Same here in Vernon, NJ

Who's still up?

GFS has been steady until this point, while Euro has been flip flopping

After looking at the Euro further I believe it's coastal low is misplaced. This is not how a typical occluded low looks. There should be a double barrel low with one surface low at the east end of the coma head at the triple point and another one at the west end with a curved band connecting the two. The Euro has one funny looking low in the middle with a little hat of precip to the north. The Gfs and Icon have a much easier to understand solution, the surface low forms right where the 500mb energy hits the coast.

seems like Hurricane is hugging the EURO. This place will burn if the EURO begins the Lucy pull

It's currently snowing in Port Washington...WTF???

You know damn well you’d be shitting your pants if you were home, Randy! [emoji1787]

Both of those storms here in Harrington were the worst snow storms I have ever witnessed in my life. That was back in my high school days. Geez I'm getting old...lol

True...and same thing with Europe too

Still a significant west lean with some deep members; steady as she goes at this point.

At this point the ens is going to pretty much mirror the op run.

It’s going to be too warm unless that thing cranks. Total rate dependent system south of NYC. But if this tucks a sub 980 into the coast temps won’t be an issue in the deform band areas. You might be a little south but im starting to think MA to NE east of 95 gets buried

9.3”—haven’t gotten much since 8pm but the upslope machine is trying to get started. We’ll see if I can pick up a little more by the time I need to clear the board again later this morning.

Snowstorms are better then spring. Spring is nice....but let's not get crazy

That was brutal back here but that's just how it is back here a lot. That's a huge move east by the GFS though especially if its the start of a trend for some of us back here

I have the distinct impression that long after AI has solved the mysteries of the universe, dark energy and matter, aliens, and the like - we still won't be able to forecast the accumulation from east coast snow storms. It's the final frontier of science!

Damn right we are. Ugh....now I'm not going to sleep well

Euro is alone and a terrible model this winter.

I don't envy the position of the NWS. Very interested to see what they do. Euro is clearly an eastern outlier but I don't seem them throwing out the euro suite in the same way that they would if it was the GFS depicting this solution.

Next winter?