All Activity
- Past hour
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it's east of 12z but who cares at this lead time
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Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range
Weather Will replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Let's see if the GEFS at 18Z is better. It was pretty bad at 12Z. -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
CoastalWx replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
I wasn’t a fan of the evolution though. Looked like it would unravel south. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
We got 16" on Boxing day, 10 miles away got 6". Insane gradient. -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
butterfish55 replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Looks awesome for us -
butterfish55 started following “Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
40/70 Benchmark replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
This has been a trend and it sucks. While that often reverses eventually, you don't want to see it get buried any more at this point. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I think this would qualify as heavy snow: https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/main-lodge -
At hr 90 in the plains. Check the trends on the vort, moving west out of the lakes area to its current modeled spot. Part of me wonders if we want that to go even further now? Instead of every piece getting close but no cigar, maybe let some of the pieces spread out to the east and allow that westernmost part to do things itself? Idk just stupid speculation
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of course the configuration of the precip field is going to change on all models - still ends up being a MECS for most of the metro
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
SouthCoastMA replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
In the end it's actually further west than 12z. Starts bombing further south though -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
Damage In Tolland replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
That’s a big boy! -
2/17 18z GFS total QPF >1.1 into NYC
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Probably a good idea to mention no model is pretty close to the final solution yet.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
LVblizzard replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
18z GFS reminds me a lot of Boxing Day 2010. A storm that was so painfully close in eastern PA. -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
RUNNAWAYICEBERG replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Congrats sema. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
BlueDXer75 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
A lot of bridge jumping already on the 18Z GFS. Point is we have a nice storm to track and still 5/6 days away. Better than tracking cold and dry. -
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Slow mover
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You just like it because you gained 6”
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I disagree. It is far more likely to jump us completely.
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
SouthCoastMA replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Still gets up here with big impact..but didn't expect it to. -
Yeah...I swear the doom-posting with every SLIGHT change in the models every 6 hours if it doesn't show wall-to-wall HECS level snows in general is a pain in the ass and a huge one at that. Page after page of whining and saying we're toast, or "I told you that you all are just chasing a rainstorm but you wouldn't listen to my secret expertise!" You know what? We may be toast, but at this point who knows. But you know what else? Who cares. We track something interesting because we all are looking for snow, and we'll track it to the end or until such point that it looks like a loss. I'm not going to assume that "OMG it's trending badly, it's over!!!" because a couple of models seem to "back off" from 18" snow during some run. But it's no fun to sift through all the BS either. It would be nice to see the lower end of the goal posts converge on a few inches or so of snow for this upcoming potential, that would be a fun event...with an upper end of a serious MECS (or better!) possible. The whining and over-concern worry is bad enough with any event, but the troll-like posts are way over the top, up to and including actually disparaging professional mets and others in here who are very knowledgeable. That just crosses a big red line. So yeah, maybe not outright "banning" those that engage in that, but the old 5-posting would help. Maybe that would make those who are deliberately shit-stirring and trolling think twice...but if not, they at least wouldn't be posting more than 5 times within some time frame.
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
40/70 Benchmark replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
I rather blog for a crack-whore's venereal disease. -
Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range
SnowenOutThere replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Now I like that gfs run way more than 12z. Less complicated and not missing to our NE. Yes lower ceiling but as is also less likely to completely screw us over
