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"This pattern stinks. This winter stinks. " Preach my man. Preach.

Models are close enough to something big that we gotta keep checking them every 6 hours lol can't walk away

What we are seeing is the ensemble members having decent spread between the three camps, so when we see the OP runs jump back and forth, they are just reflecting that spread. For that reason, I would not be surprised to see the Euro come back West, just be aware that does not mean it is necessarily trending positively, just jumping around within the spread of outcomes

After the plow-ins I had to remove this weekend+, I’m ok with MMU having a moderate snowstorm. Putting that out into the universe. .

Weird times we are living in, GFS shows someone in delmarva getting 50+ inches of snow in just over 100 hours and we can reasonably assume the storm ends up a miss.

Cmc 958 just se of the BM, ugh, but a tick better than 0z.

Nice signal on the 12z globals so far, particularly the UKMET, which did well with the weekend LE. Sent from my SM-S936U using Tapatalk

Euro 1pm?

OTS is the much bigger concern for us imo.

I'm not high on it either, but I'm sticking around. Hope level is highly dependent on the Euro. Which is going to let us down as it always does.

Well, on to the Euro then lol.

Ukie misses the phase at 500, hence the easter solution.

If the Euro is back Imma be hyped UK or not

These trends are poor so far at 12z. Sans GFS. I guess is Euro comes west, we won’t care that much about the Ukie/GGEM.

Given what the GEM and Ukie look like it's hard to imagine the Euro is gonna look much better...but I agree that we may need to give this one until tomorrow to be sure. Seems to be subtle shift kind of differences atm. Layman opinion of course...

Too bad it's the GFS.

Agree. But it’s got to get close enough to us to matter at all. That’s more my concern. Definitely an explosive set up…just don’t want to see the Carolina’s and Virginia and the Delmarva get buried, and have the sun out here. That would really suck.

I love winter but miss thunderstorms. The structure on this lake effect snow band is the best we’ll get for now.

History says the Euro will be the opposite of what the GFS is showing so I dont have my hopes up for it.

Yeah. I mean most posters here enjoy summer outside of thunderstorms, so why does is it surprise people that someone likes winter outside of big snowstorms.

UK is very far SE.

Would love to see the Euro group come back....

FWIW local meteorologist Tim Kelley likes the storm this weekend: "The Euro" 1000 mb 1pm Saturday 962 mb 1pm Sunday -38 mb / 24 hours (I have never seen a Blizzard miss bc it tracked closer to Bermuda than Nantucket ~ that would be a neat trick)