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What is this shit?

Thursday could be a big day

There will certainly be rainstorms as any winter, but considering the light tan is only +.5C and the next level up is only +1C, there would certainly be plenty of snow threats in there imho with such small AN progs. Plus, the individual month maps for January and February look even better.

I imagine most of that will be rain, but there’s always the chance for a big snow storm just like in 15-16, 82-83, etc

Hows stony ford gc looking? Playing there wed.

Another impressively clear day for New England. Looks like I might have to finally install Wednesday afternoon to prep for the Thurs - Sunday heat/humidity. It's been a good run since October.

Are we back? Looking like a more active week ahead for a lot of us Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville IL 430 AM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026 ILZ003>006-008-010>013-019>021-023-032-033-039-103>108-INZ001-002- 010-011-019-090930- Winnebago-Boone-McHenry-Lake IL-Ogle-Lee-De Kalb-Kane-DuPage- La Salle-Kendall-Grundy-Kankakee-Livingston-Iroquois-Ford- Northern Cook-Central Cook-Southern Cook-Northern Will- Southern Will-Eastern Will-Lake IN-Porter-Newton-Jasper-Benton- 430 AM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026 /530 AM EDT Mon Jun 8 2026/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central Illinois...northeast Illinois and northwest Indiana. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Weather hazards expected... Elevated Thunderstorm Risk. Elevated Flooding Risk. DISCUSSION... Several periods of showers and thunderstorms are expected today. The strongest will produce torrential rainfall rates, which may lead to localized flash flooding. In addition, a funnel cloud cannot be ruled out. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Tuesday night through Thursday... Limited to Elevated Flooding Risk at times. Limited to Elevated Severe Thunderstorm Risk at times. DISCUSSION... Several periods of severe thunderstorms may occur in the general region Tuesday night through Thursday. Locally, the greatest threat for severe weather will be on Thursday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be necessary through tonight. GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY: Moving toward the north at around 20 mph.

Feels like coastal Maine outside.

You forgot to mention temps/precip on the NMME are pretty sweet for winter lovers in the east for Dec-Feb. Individual months look decent as well imho. Links start in December. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nmme&region=us&pkg=T2ma_nmme&runtime=2026060800&fh=6 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nmme&region=us&pkg=apcpna_month_nmme&runtime=2026060800&fh=6

More traditional June El Niño 500 mb pattern forecast for next week as this record El Niño continues to gain steam.

Many of our valley locations saw lows well down into the 50's with the coolest being the 53.6 at Warwick Township. We start the week with near normal temperatures and low humidity but by Thursday many spots will be in the low 90's with increasing humidity. We look to stay hot through the weekend, but it looks to be short lived with cooler temperatures arriving next week. Our best rain chance will be Wednesday afternoon into the evening.

Many of our valley locations saw lows well down into the 50's with the coolest being the 53.6 at Warwick Township. We start the week with near normal temperatures and low humidity but by Thursday many spots will be in the low 90's with increasing humidity. We look to stay hot through the weekend, but it looks to be short lived with cooler temperatures arriving next week. Our best rain chance will be Wednesday afternoon into the evening.

My ideal climate would probably be summer from May to September, then 2 months of October, then Dec/Jan/Feb, and 2 months of April.

interested in the june 15-17 timeframe for a few days of highs potentially in the mid-70s. ensembles have been trending towards a nice respite from the heat/humidity

Sunday 6/7 highs" ACY: 92 PHL: 90 EWR: 87 BLM: 87 JFK: 86 New Brnsck: 86 TTN: 85 ISP: 84 TEB: 84 LGA: 83 NYC: 81

Records: Highs: EWR: 99 (2011) NYC: 95 (1933) LGA: 97 (2011) JFK: 96 (1999) Lows: EWR: 44 (1932) NYC: 47 (1932) LGA: 50 (1977) JFK: 50 (1997) Historical: 1885: A killing frost occurred at Fargo, ND. This date remains the latest on record. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1920: Yosemite Valley, CA plunged to 14°; their coldest June temperature on record. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1950: Two inches of snow fell at Billings, MT. This is their latest measurable snowfall on record. The high for the day was only 42°, a record low maximum. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1951: A tornado was captured on motion pictures for the first time in the USA. 1953 - The worst tornado of record for the state of Michigan killed 116 persons. Flint MI was hardest hit. The tornado, half a mile in width, destroyed 200 homes on Coldwater Road killing entire families. (The Weather Channel) 1957: A tropical storm moved in from the Gulf of Mexico and crossed northwest Florida, spawning a tornado outbreak and flooding rainfall. Five people drown in the Gulf of Mexico when a small fishing vessel capsized in high seas. A shrimp boat was sunk off Ft. Myers, and several other boats were driven ashore south of Tampa. At least 9 Tornadoes were reported in Alachua, Marion, Clay, Putnam, and Duval counties (Jacksonville area). Tornadoes damaged roofs and uprooted trees. Heavy rains of up to 19" in 48 hours caused much local flooding and considerable agricultural damage, closed many roads and washed out several small bridges. Two hundred people were evacuated from flooded residential areas in Taylor County. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1966 - A tornado ripped right through the heart of the capitol city of Topeka KS killing sixteen persons and causing 100 million dollars damage. The tornado, which struck during the evening, cut a swath of near total destruction eight miles long and four blocks wide. It was the most destructive tornado of record up until that time. (David Ludlum) 1974 - Severe thunderstorms spawned at least twenty-three tornadoes in Oklahoma during the afternoon and evening hours. One of the tornadoes struck the town Drumright killing sixteen persons and injuring 150 others. A tornado struck the National Weather Service office in Oklahoma City, and two tornadoes hit the city of Tulsa. Thunderstorms in Tulsa also produced as much as ten inches of rain. Total damage from the storms was around thirty million dollars. It was the worst natural disaster of record for Tulsa. (Storm Data) 1983: Record cold prevailed across parts of Michigan. Sault St. Marie dropped to 28° and Alpena fell to 30°; both establishing record lows for the date. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1987 - Thunderstorms in the northeastern U.S. produced large hail and damaging winds in Vermont injuring two persons. Thunderstorms in Ohio produced wind gusts to 75 mph near Akron, and deluged Pittsfield with two inches of rain in thirty minutes. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Overnight thunderstorms in Iowa produced 5.20 inches of rain at Coon Rapids. Thunderstorms in the Florida Keys drenched Tavernier with 7.16 inches of rain in 24 hours. Eleven cities in the central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather over the Central Gulf Coast Region during the day and evening. Severe thunderstorms spawned 17 tornadoes, including one which injured ten persons and caused a million dollars damage at Orange Beach, AL. Thunderstorm winds gusting to 90 mph killed three persons and injured four others at Mobile AL. Thunderstorms also deluged Walnut Hill and Avalon Beach, FL, with eight inches of rain. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1993: An F2 tornado struck four farmsteads, damaging one severely, just southeast of Osage, IA. Two F0 tornadoes touched down in Olmsted County, MN in Dover and Pleasant Grove, three F0 tornadoes in Mower County, Minnesota in Dexter and just south of Leroy and Grand Meadow, and an F0 tornado touched down ten miles south of Spring Valley. On this same date, 18 other tornadoes touched down in Wisconsin. Prairie du Chien, WI had 3.22 inches of rain. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1995: Classic supercell thunderstorms spawned 21 tornadoes in the north Texas Panhandle. 5 of the tornadoes were rated F4 on the Fujita scale, one which tracked through the center of Pampa injuring 7 people and causing $30 million in damages. The Project Vortex team (20 vehicles, including a state of the art truck-mounted Doppler Radar, and two P3 aircraft's) were all over the storms, collecting an incredible storm dynamics, structure, and environment data set, on the last day of the two year funded project no less. The team witnessed one of the F4 tornadoes near Allison, and said it was one of biggest and meanest appearing tornadoes they had ever seen. At Crane, TX, four inch diameter hail fell for 10 minutes. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2001: Tropical Storm Allison hits Houston, Texas, for the second time in three days. Louisiana and southern Texas were inundated with rain. Baton Rouge received 18 inches over just a couple of days. Some portions of Texas racked up 36 inches by June 11. 2008: This rainfall exasperated the already dangerous flooding conditions across parts of southeast Minnesota, northeast Iowa, and southwest into central Wisconsin resulting in a flood of historic proportions. Some area rivers responded with a foot per hour rises, while others eventually exceeded their river gauges ability to record the river levels. These gauges were under water themselves. All-time record crests were set at a few locations, with top five records at many others. A listing of some of the record crests with all-time rank, at the time of this event: Upper Iowa River at Dorchester 22.5 feet (all-time record) and Decorah 17.9 feet (all-time record), The Turkey River at Elkader 30.9 feet (all-time record), El Dorado 22.11 feet (all-time record), and Garber 29.13 feet (4th highest on record), The Cedar River at Charles City 25.55 feet (all-time record), The Kickapoo River at La Farge 15.88 feet (all-time record), Viola 21.25 feet (all-time record), Readstown 19.65 feet (all-time record), Soldiers Grove 21.21 feet (2nd highest on record), Gays Mills 20.44 feet (all-time record), and Steuben 19.15 feet (all-time record). Two-day rainfall amounts totaled from generally from 4 to 7 inches. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

Onshore flow keeps it cooler the next 24 hours. Warms up Wed - Sun with low - mid 90s and chance for storms especially Thu/Fri with the heat. We'll see if clouds can muddy the heat Thu or Fri/ storms could dump and be severe. Trough into the Midwest/East towards the 17th and BW noted above cooler period with ridge coming east towards the final week of the month where it loos warmer overall beyond there.

All you see anymore on sports broadcasts are betting commercials. It's like that and medicine and supplements are the only things being sold any more.

Yes there is a clear desire to destroy NWS et al from the social media and tech bros. They're all hat no cattle.

Someone say blue.

Just under an inch. Grass got greener as it rained. Well needed.

It’s pretty wild to think that not so far back, the nfl and mlb were so opposed to betting. Right up until they got their cut.

Six or seven days of heat then the ridge retreats west for a while and maybe we get a little bit flatter flow for a bit in the east. 3rd week of June looks seasonal with some precipitation chances, hopefully.

For now it's a pretty broad brushed area - definitely could (when is it not?) be a scenario of many losers and few winners.