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The euro is essentially pushing the block coming into the NE out of the way far more then all the other guidance and that's whats leading to a more inland track. All the other guidance has a stronger block and a more substantial snow for east of 95. The differences at 500 between the GFS/CMC and Euro are pretty significant.

CTP is starting to ramp up the language for this weekend’s potential. KEY MESSAGE 2: Potential East Coastal Storm Threat this weekend There is a growing guidance signal for the development of a potentially impactful weekend coastal storm along the Eastern Seaboard. We will continue to monitor given risk of snow and wind impacts.

69-97 inches

just like it was a complete miss south several days before yesterdays MECS

I dug out last night. Back is shot now. Can't imagine another large storm on top of this.

Most importantly what does apple weather say?

06z GFS is a little east but 06z Euro/Euro AI and EPS are big hits

13.1” on the board. I chuckle reading the snow reports with some of the discrepancies between trained spotter and public reports. I also wonder how many public measured in their yard and forgot there was already snow on the ground. Anyway, the snow was more dense than I had expected, I’ll grab a core sample from the board to see how much liquid it was. A dense solid snow pack out there, 16” at the stake 16/13 with an occasional flurry.

Gfs considering it was a whiff at this range for the recent storm, I’d say it’s getting there

Bombogenesis, but I don’t trust it until the nam shows it. Jk

Ai gfs was just a clueless as the op till like day 3ish. We need to get into Nam range lol

Omg what a mess here. The roads are covered in a thick sheet of dense ice, I guess freezing drizzle kinda locked it all in. Major roads totally covered. Will MCPS open again this week!?!?

Moderate snow with a temp of 16 degrees. A heavy dusting.

Near perfect run with the high anchoring in to prevent this cutting inland too much. Long way to go, but damn, the pieces are on the board.

Better do it before this weekend

Yep. Was not the drought relief we thought we’d get either

The EC-AIFS *was* really good with the last system from this distance (it had locked into a large mix zone and virtually nailed all of the major features by this point), but I would say that the initial interaction is more delicate on this one has a tighter timing window. Prob need to be sub-100hr for equivalent. Would really like to see the AIGFS come on board.

Today doesn’t look as good as it did yesterday.

BEYOND THIS, THE SIGNAL FOR AN EXPANSIVE UPPER TROUGH CUTTING SOUTH AND WESTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES CONTINUES TO GROW IN THE GUIDANCE SUITE TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK. WITH THIS OCCURRING AS ANOTHER 1050S MB ARCTIC HIGH BUILDS SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL CONUS, THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EVIDENT FROM ABOUT THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. WITH ICE COVER LIKELY TO EXPAND WITH TIME, IT'S A BIT UNCLEAR HOW THIS MIGHT IMPACT SURFACE FLUXES, ALTHOUGH LATEST GLERL ICE FORECASTS INDICATE ICE COVERAGE LIKELY WON'T EXTEND BEYOND 15-20 MILES, WITH A WIDE OPEN FETCH AVAILABLE ALONG THE LONG AXIS OF THE LAKE. WITH THE COLDER LAKE TEMPERATURES, THERMODYNAMICS ARE NOT OFF THE CHARTS, BUT CERTAINLY MORE THAN SUFFICIENT FOR INTENSE LAKE EFFECT WITH SURFACE-850 DELTA TS NEAR 20 C AND LAKE-INDUCED ELS JUST UNDER 9-10 KFT. WAY TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY AT THIS TIME RANGE TO MAKE ANY ADJUSTMENTS TO THE BLENDED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS, BUT THIS WILL BE A PERIOD TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON.

This was copied from southeastern forum that shows the trend.

Happy to see there was a nice spread the wealth event up there. Down where i am now people are freaking out a out prolonged 20’s lol.

ABC News reporting 14 fatalities nationwide from the storm.

It wouldn’t take much of a shift to get ETN truly in the game.

Looks snowy

Yea, and I don’t know how I feel about it lol. Rule measured 5-5.5” here…followed by 8 hrs of sleet. Fun and interesting storm, but 2/3 of it was sleet (aka not snow).