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I think there was around 5,000 tons of explosives used just from Sideling Hill to Martin’s Mt over a 5-year period. i spent a lot of time in that area as a kid, visiting family in Beans Cove, Rainsburg and Clearville.

Yeah it’s a major bummer for me. I was at least hoping for some development in the subtropics where sea surface temps are still above normal. On to tracking non tropical systems coming up the coast with a juiced STJ. This fall/winter likely includes major coastal impacts up the east coast. The outer banks may be in serious trouble .

The most annoying thing is the FCC over regulation requiring local TV stations to keep broadcasting weather while a tornado warning is ongoing. There was one here that lasted for 3 hours and the TV mets ran out of things to say. This FCC over regulation needs to come to an end. Instead they should regulate the amount of commercial time allowed to TV stations to 5 minutes per 30 minute period. I understand a 5 minute update and a crawling scroll at the bottom of the screen with a radar inset, But 3 hours for a tornado warning that probably didn't even contain a real tornado? HELL NO How many of these tornado warnings contain real tornados? Not doppler funnel clouds? I propose we limit tornado warnings to only real verified on the ground tornados and doppler funnel clouds can be given tornado advisories or funnel cloud warnings or whatever. And if you think this is a trivial issue, an Atlanta TV station was given death threats for interrupting the Masters because of tornados that day. 5 minutes of coverage every hour is enough and a scrolling crawl at the bottom of the screen with a radar inset. Or maybe allow each state to handle it separately tornados are much more of a danger in other parts of the country.

Kauai is really going to luck out here. This could easily rival Iniki if it were slightly further east on the recurve .

Looks like I'll be sitting this one out. Southern PG and Alexandria look to have a good shot.

Yep today was great right from 9 am onwards.

It was absolutely awesome at 9 am when I went outside perfect weather for a walk.

Ping pong ball sized hail report just NW of Orange.

Always great to give the cactuses some water.

1. My post started with “Consistent with OISST, the August relative ERSST anomaly for Nino 3.4 just came out”. Thus it should be understood by anyone following along that the entire post is talking about “relative” anomalies. 2. My entire post is addressing anomalies, not absolutes. You’re using an absolute in your example. 3. Relative anomalies are now official for NOAA and BoM at the least. 4. The outdated traditional way of determining anomalies is currently inflated ~0.5C due to GW. 4. August of 2026 was very warm, but it wasn’t the warmest relative anomaly on record as Aug of 1997 was 0.18 warmer. 5. The main point of my post is that the models had way too rapid warming in 3.4 from July to August. It warmed only 0.34C per ERSST, which prevented a record high relative 3.4 for Aug. like had been progged.

You're missing the main point. Wasn't about absolute temps, but instead warming relative to forecasts.

Looks like .56" from that storm. Flush hit. .9" since last night.

Just wait til the soil gets hypersaturated! Then you'll get to see something!

Even TRI has been scorching hot. Our real feels have only been 3-4 degrees cooler than you all at times. Boiling hot. Jeff, let's hope the Weeklies today were dealing with feedback. Super torch and prolonged.

I remember them building 68. I remember hearing the dynamite blast in Artemas.

Looks like the OKX forecast zones moved up to 8th place so far for annual flash flood warnings while the PHI zones are in 1st place. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=44&plot=bar&opt=wfo&station=OKX&state=CT&fema=7&limit=no&c=single&phenomena=FF&significance=W&syear=1986&eyear=2026&s=jan1&_r=t&dpi=100&_fmt=png

Congrats on the rains, DMV! Welcome to a Record Nino Autumn! You are all in perfect position for this! The Plume is coming straight at you! It's a massively East-Based Nino and you are right in the middle of it! Enjoy all those rains! There's a hell of a lot more where those came from! Look out for a Roided-up STJ!

Yeah hopefully some with the annual Holiday screamer

Some cool weather new for Maryland/DC folks. Montgomery County is developing an extension to the statewide mesonet with a focus on suburban and urban tripod stations. This will be known as the Montgomery County Micronet, with at least four (4) additional stations coming online this autumn. The first site just went online this past week. @wxmeddler and I rushed this site to completion as the MCS dove south from PA and we got it online maybe 10 min before the storms came in. When all is said and done, we'll have stations about ever five to seven miles in Montgomery County.

Dimed my way to another 0.34 with this batch up to 1.47" for the week and hopefully counting

Drove that stretch a lot, in all kinds of bad weather, before I-68 was there. Rt 40/48 was a thrill ride crossing those hills, especially in thick fog or blowing snow. Glad you and the truck made it safely.

Not as much severe here-but lots of flooding events. 7/4 was our big severe day in CT