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Makes sense with this North Atlantic puke airmass over us .

Bottom of the 10th. We win and I’ll buy a round at a get together at sapwood next week. i think I’m safe.

Thanks for reminding me I didnt update it

HRRR has been trending SW with the convection tonight keeping even SW CT out of the game, lol.

Another week and we have...NFL FOOTBALL!!!! Bring it.

WTF is with Holliday? Horrible error last night that contributed to a loss and now a boneheaded decision when he was in scoring position.

O’s. Albernaz is awful.

Unfortunately another inch of boring rain /downpour incoming here with no lightning except what is seen over NW CT

LOL Rockies tied it in the 9th. Orioles still are who we thought they were.

I understand that has happened in the past, but I would still prefer a +PDO in east-based Nino. Remember that correlates with warm water in the GOA and off the West Coast. PDO is further west than east-based Nino position, and doesn't necessarily only fuel it. It can shift things a bit west if strong enough Some of the east-based Nino composite is warm in the NE because of +NAO (which is a more random part - if anything warmer 10mb in +ENSO may slightly favor -nao over a large enough sample). Jan 1998 is an anomaly, but I'm willing to say if that upper latitude pattern happens 10 times in east-based Nino it's cold in the east 8/10. Some times things just don't line up like they usually do. See Dec 2022 and March 2023 as 2 good examples of that. It's only because the correlation isn't 100%.

Anything for tomorrow ? .

Anyone take a look at lapse rates? It also had decent inflow off of peak warm gulf waters. .

Wagons SW again overnight?

High of 97. Dew point high of 85. Feels like high of 127. I am so over this crap and we still have at least 2 more days of this.

Yes it’s been a dry six hours. I was starting to worry.

96 here today with 105 heat index, MLI hit 95 for the 2nd day in a row.

Orioles still struggling to score more than a couple runs, even against the worst team in baseball. If they lose this game that Cowser robbery the other night doesn't mean shit. Not sure how they are going to win important series against the better competition going forward.

Honda clearing on auto thermometer accuracy, no surprise there

Cue the snarky data centers comments on Jay’s Wintry Mix page

The way it completely sidestepped you and IAD was very Stephens City.

You have to wonder if it rains at all tonight/tomorrow

My high was 82.

0.00”

It will be interesting to see how the negative PDO interacts with the east based nino. Historically east based isn’t good for us, especially if the PDO is positive because too strong of a GOA low would flood the continent with mild air cutting off any polar flow. How will the negative PDO interacts with that is the big question. GOA low still amplified with a stronger jet further north? Or weaker and further west low that allows polar air to move south? I think we’re in uncharted territory and the analogs can only do so much here.