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Yep, flurrying here too
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Sorry, I'm late to this but I just saw this and it brought back some great memories seeing you and some of the older posters doing play by play. It's really nice to see you back.
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
codfishsnowman replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Yup -
my guess is 1-2 inches Hampton Roads, 2-3 inches DC, 3-6 inches east of Philly, 6 inches NYC, 10 inches Boston.
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And the million dollar question is...adjust which way? We shall see...
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Same here in Vernon, NJ
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Who's still up?
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GFS has been steady until this point, while Euro has been flip flopping
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After looking at the Euro further I believe it's coastal low is misplaced. This is not how a typical occluded low looks. There should be a double barrel low with one surface low at the east end of the coma head at the triple point and another one at the west end with a curved band connecting the two. The Euro has one funny looking low in the middle with a little hat of precip to the north. The Gfs and Icon have a much easier to understand solution, the surface low forms right where the 500mb energy hits the coast.
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February 22-23 Storm Thread/OBS
MickeyTim6533 replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
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It's currently snowing in Port Washington...WTF???
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You know damn well you’d be shitting your pants if you were home, Randy! [emoji1787]
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Both of those storms here in Harrington were the worst snow storms I have ever witnessed in my life. That was back in my high school days. Geez I'm getting old...lol
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True...and same thing with Europe too
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Still a significant west lean with some deep members; steady as she goes at this point.
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At this point the ens is going to pretty much mirror the op run.
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It’s going to be too warm unless that thing cranks. Total rate dependent system south of NYC. But if this tucks a sub 980 into the coast temps won’t be an issue in the deform band areas. You might be a little south but im starting to think MA to NE east of 95 gets buried
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9.3”—haven’t gotten much since 8pm but the upslope machine is trying to get started. We’ll see if I can pick up a little more by the time I need to clear the board again later this morning.
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Snowstorms are better then spring. Spring is nice....but let's not get crazy
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
codfishsnowman replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
That was brutal back here but that's just how it is back here a lot. That's a huge move east by the GFS though especially if its the start of a trend for some of us back here -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
SNOWCREATURE1 replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
I have the distinct impression that long after AI has solved the mysteries of the universe, dark energy and matter, aliens, and the like - we still won't be able to forecast the accumulation from east coast snow storms. It's the final frontier of science! -
Damn right we are. Ugh....now I'm not going to sleep well
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Euro is alone and a terrible model this winter.
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I don't envy the position of the NWS. Very interested to see what they do. Euro is clearly an eastern outlier but I don't seem them throwing out the euro suite in the same way that they would if it was the GFS depicting this solution.
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Next winter?
