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  2. CAPE
    Yeah its not done-
  3. TellicoWx
    Whoever is just on the north side of the pink line is going to get smashed on the Euro setup.
  4. wxman
    What a difference a few days makes, eh?
  5. John1122
    Ratio European. Still rolling state wide at this time.
  6. winter_warlock
    Hell yeah!!!! With the cold temps in teens we could be looking at 20:1 ratioss
  7. Brick Tamland
    Euro another Carolina Crusher and Euro AI went south again.
  8. mappy
    A red tagger earlier said 12:1 or so was reasonable, I think. check your texts
  9. MillvilleWx
    7H FGEN ALWAYS comes into play for these setups. A secondary jack will occur on the northern fringe and that can actually be pretty prolific. That happened with a few storms in the past where people in Central PA were puking dendrites and got 1-2’ while we got hammered further south with the 85H FGEN and traditional deform. More than one way to score, and that stuff is a long way from getting resolved. I like what the ECMWF and AIFS are depicting. GFS improved too, just a bit different on evolution.
  10. stormtracker
    Let's just weenie out and only use Kuchera maps from here on out....until it shows less snow...then switch to 10:1
  11. Lucy Pull
    Next couple frames could’ve been interesting. Almost like this whole potential is changing structurally. Expecting some waffling the next couple days.
  12. clskinsfan
    Yes for sure.
  13. winter_warlock
    Looks like maybe another 8 hours or so to go depending on how fast or slow it's moving!!
  14. Carvers Gap
    When the AIFS and Euro get close to a similar solution...that is a good thing. Very slight trend south on the 18z Euro...50 miles? Looks like maybe some coastal backing to boot.
  15. John1122
    That Euro was the whole hog. 12+ most everywhere and still snowing.
  16. Kevin Reilly
    I think it may be one of those situations where if you lose liquid further south you gain ratios as you go north due to very cold temperatures. Less liquid but with the cold higher ratios more snow pure powder.
  17. NYweatherguy
    Looks like all sleet north of Atlanta. Still nasty.
  18. WxUSAF
    A good amount more I’d wager? The slower storm start means we’re only about 12 hours closer to game time than we were yesterday. lol
  19. TellicoWx
    Euro doesn't include sleet/ice in its raw output data..unless host site algos it
  20. CAPE
    I agree(you saw my post a couple pages back). 12z does actually eject significant energy from the SW, via a partial phase with the energy dropping south from the Pac NW. 18z doesnt, its flatter, but is slightly better with the silly snow maps. Ofc that's only part of the story- the timing/depth of NS energy associated with the TPV is another component.
  21. stormtracker
    Should be some more after that?
  22. Carvers Gap
    Here are two slides. The second slide is when the map cuts off.
  23. Weatheriscool
    So what is everyone general thoughts on the pattern is this one and done or could we have another system in February?
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    If atmosphere has memory, which I do believe in similar tendencies, this will likely be another minor event like either last Saturday or Sunday, respectively.
  25. winter_warlock
    Oh I'd definitely be happy with that!!!
  26. winter_warlock
    To my untrained eye, looks like maybe about 12 hours of snowfall to get thru after the 144 hour cut off. Unless I'm misjudging how far back precip is on the model at hr 144
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