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I think the models are gradually trending colder. Most of the guidance has been indicating a strong cold front around the 11th of the month. Yesterday the front was on the 12th so it's moved a day earlier on today's maps. I do have the feeling it's going to be below normal more often than above and that the duration of warmer temperatures is getting shorter. WX/PT

Unlike most people here, I do not enjoy cold weather. I like snow, it's beautiful and obviously better to look at than brown sticks and grass, but my preferred weather is warm and green.

If you want to surprise me if they're just trying to push a temp up a little bit.So that they're right with their forecast

Still amused that my best t-storms now are in April not mid-summer. This may be the case in other parts of the US but historically not here with the lakes being as cold as they are and other reasons. There has been only 1 storm that struck fear in me mid-summer in the last 5-8 years and it was that cell that moved from the NW. This pattern has been anything but boring in the belts - great for LES here, I'm getting more than pegged.

FWIW, Euro was poor with the placement of snow Wednesday morning. Had it too far west.

The next 16 days look poor on the GFS for several runs now. Next week looks warm . Hopefully once we get past the 15th things get better.

I thought it was a small tick toward the EURO re: phasing but definitely running low on time here. pretty crazy how different even the GFS and the hires models are at 500 in the period of interest. Doesn’t make much of a different for us of course but it’s interesting

Definitely going to snow-maybe 1/2 inch grassy/cold surfaces

9/1 right now 4” of snow cover 23.3” ytd. awesome start to this winter season

Looking like a stretch of “warm” weather on the way. Wasted prime time for snow chances. .

Ever since I made my post the temp has risen steadily. It's now 22.7. LOL

0z GFS is poor. 3 steps forward and then 1 leap back lol

Why? Why is this a good thing…unless you like above normal temps in the winter.

Shortest post I've ever seen you make.

Is every road paved now leading into main area?

Tug Hill Special . I remember going way up in the hills where a gas station log cabin and some houses were and sledding the roads. Matt, Chuck , Me and couple more . Never seen such darkness at 1pm when it’s snow so hard 3-4”ph there

Plan to head out to backwater falls tomorrow with my dad!

Not here

Round 2 in Pulaski, New York. Reached a foot since about 5 pm and is now 4-5” or more per hour. Love the yellows on radar.

Down to 14 now. Coldest of the winter

Finally hit puberty, eh congrats ma’man!

12-5: 1.0" 1-1: T Couple other Ts.... who fucking cares Total: 1 fucking crappy inch that was gone by lunchtime.

Best part of 2025 weatherwise for me was the ball dropping last night.

As of much earlier this morning the temp dropped to 4 at Toledo (as per the 5:00PM climate report)