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  2. I hate to say this, but a hard pass on that. Middle Tennessee no snow again forget it. I’m over snow going north south east and west of Middle, Tennessee. It’s like a nightmare that won’t let you wake up. That has Freddie in it saying no snow for you.
  3. January 2011 was nuts here in central CT…those didn’t bury you. Nemo(Feb ‘13) wasn’t more than that there?(33” here) Dam…no wonder you’re always putting the sad face emoji.
  4. i'm still navigating the piles and hit one again today; still can't park on the street, still have to wear ice grip shoes, still freezing my ass off on morning walks. today seemed balmy. yes i would have liked a few more events; but we had a few in december, and then we had a major storm where we almost had a foot here if not for sleet, in a regime hostile to snow chances; and it stuck around forever. they were digging for a week here. let's take the win guys. it does not look like much else will be happening, but i would take this every year.....
  5. Even if we don't see more snow this winter, I'm going to have a hard time grading this season below a B or B-. One more significant (6" or more)snowfall will move this winter to an A, especially given the forecasts going into it. Not sure if I'm thinking right grading it this high if we end up well below normal snowfall (which would be the case if we're done) but the past the past few weeks have been remarkable. Glad I returned from FL in time to enjoy it.
  6. Actually ripping here pretty good right now. Very good snow growth. Everything coated. This little band won’t last long though.
  7. The persistent and often severely cold pattern is now breaking. Tomorrow will be even milder with the temperature topping out in the upper 30s. A few places could reach 40°. A cold front will likely cross the region, possibly touching off a few snow flurries or rain showers. It will turn somewhat cooler into the weekend. By early next week highs will mainly be in the upper 30s and lower 40s with lows in the lower 30s. 20s are possible outside New York City. Precipitation could arrive on Sunday or Monday. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.5°C for the week centered around February 4. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.25°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.52°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue into at least late winter. The SOI was +5.72 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -2.407 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 91% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal February (1991-2020 normal). February will likely finish with a mean temperature near 31.3° (4.6° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 4.0° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. Overall, Winter 2025-2026 is on track for a seasonal mean temperature of 31.9°. That would be the lowest winter mean temperature since Winter 2014-2015 when the mean temperature was 31.7°. Winter 2025-2026 would only become the fourth winter of the 21st century with a mean temperature of 32.0° or below.
  8. Radar downstream in NY state looks good . Really filling in
  9. *checks notes* Lack of cold air? Check Lack of moisture (trending drier)? Check Anything notable on the horizon? Not really for NC for now. Ill cash out and see yall for severe weather season, and for most, next winter.
  10. I've said this before but I don't see how it's a waste of cold when we had a 10-18" areawide snowstorm a few weeks ago.
  11. Yes, We’ve had our good breaks compared to SEMA on some of these 12 to 16 inches which of course is no complaint but I would much rather be in their shoes where those memorable snows that, we’d tell our grandchildren about, happen more frequently.
  12. If you look at the ensembles, you will notice there's also a lack of cold air at the surface and aloft to support snow in south-central Virginia.
  13. Just to put some background on the cancellation issue. Almost always, once an advisory or a warning is put into effect, most districts will cancel evening activities. Secondly, the decisions have to be made early in the afternoon; often by 1 pm. They don't have the luxury of waiting until 4 or 5 pm to see how the precipitation shield is trending. If there is even a 50/50 shot roads could develop a light coating prior to the end of the evening period, also including the time it takes for any visiting team buses to get back to their district, it's always going to be a cancellation. As it looks right now, it might have worked out, but they always will err on the side of safety, especially in the Litchfield County hilly districts. Just the nature of what the thinking is these days.
  14. It depends on preference. If you're one to prefer persistent snowcover and cold then I don't know how this could be less than a B but if you look purely at snowfall amounts in total then it's been average at best as it's been predominantly cold and dry outside of the big storm and the 2-3 moderate ones.
  15. 19” jack at Atlantic beach. It could have been us. Glass half full take - if it can happen down there, we still have our chances. Maybe not this season, but next year during an el nino we might get a hit.
  16. Poundage here. Gotta be a couple inches an hour. Wet all over....the roads.
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