All Activity

Looks like there will be storms over the next few weeks but who knows who does best.

Yup, 16th is a Miller A that's wide right.

but there's no reason to believe it's not either. It's a crap shoot!

And Ray's favorite, a Miller A, developing later on. Just fantasy, but funny stuff. Would surely crush the south/Mid Atlantic

A key ingredient for any legitimate snowstorm in these parts.

As an influential posters it is probably equally annoying for us to swing between tones of optimism and then despair, inside the same hour LOL buuut... Re the GFS operational. I do like the position of the western ridge better in this run than the previous. Previous left ... new position right That S/E repositioning may seem subtle but it is crucially important/sensitive in how the wave spacing behaves wrt S/Ws ejected down stream. The subtly more compression along the Rockies S flow on the right is also an homage to attempting a ridge farther S/E. You don't ( as winter even enthusiasts ..) want to see the left variant of the +PNA. ... As much. I mean I'm sure in the last 3,000,000 years of eastern N/A there's been event with the left version... but excluding the rarefied scenarios. Anyway, bump that a little more and it would be better.

Haven't heard any traffic on the club trail thru our woodlot, though I might've missed some. Had 12" at the stake this morning, but the northerly 100 yards of trail on us require 15-18" of dense pack to avoid having the groomer clanging on the rocks.

lets melt all the snow before the next Arctic blast .. sounds about right

lol there's a 1043 high over ontario on the GFS (at the end)

Very helpful info - thanks for taking the time to add this.

Favorable pattern doesn’t guarantee KU’s

Spring showers bring…

Of course some ridiculous set up developing at the end of gfs run.

No point over analyzing anything beyond day 5. But it is a Nina and I suspect at some point the Outer Banks up to VA Beach will get smacked while we enjoy cold cirrus. Let's save our sanity and accept that now. 50F at noon. Just sitting here being patient for the time being.

There's literally a coastal storm signal on a bunch of the models for the 15th/16th. This comment makes no sense. .

There's no reason to believe there's any better period coming out beyond the range of models.

Still a good signal for next weekend on the 12Zs so far. Agree we see a reload by the end of the month.

i disagree, i think our biggest snow threat this year will be next week. That favorable pattern continues into february

GFS misses with a coastal on the 16th but has something on the 18th now.

i am getting extremely frustrated. Its like our kicker keeps hitting the goal post and bouncing

Just need Dr No to become Dr Yes! LFG! If you want to be remain King, prove it MoFo!

gravy in the sense that the signal for anything significant from that is diminishing so if it happens to work out its a bonus.

Reloads nicely after the 15th as well. Very cold run after the pattern change