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  2. Picked up 0.61" this morning. Up to 1.82" on the month. Not bad for 3 days.
  3. The atmosphere is so worked over and there's a metric ton of debris clouds. Classic fail modes in these parts.
  4. Finished up with 0.96" this morning. More possible this afternoon once the temp cranks up. Currently overcast with temp/dp 71.
  5. (psst startin to think 'people of earth, get a new planet')
  6. Autumn thread is up - Noting that I finished up with 0.96" from the early morning storms. Currently 71 with dp 71.
  7. active pattern today... line after line.
  8. Hrrr seems to eventually wake up. NAM has been awful this year. Limping to the grave lol. FV3 and Herpderp seem to do decently.
  9. That's what I have. Only 1 storm produced above that since July 31st, which was .29".
  10. The Nam nor hrrr had been handling storms well. Even the bow line in western pa right now just shows it fall apart every run after an hour but yet it is still there every hour lol.
  11. Actually yeah... can almost see a pathway to improvement - yup, right when I f'n clicked Submit Reply. Told ya The visible loop now better exposes that there are two main ceiling layers. The higher one is moving exceptionally fast for this time of year... That's another thing. wow. Perceived 'back edge' moved from near Syracuse NY at dawn, to almost Albany in 1.5 hours. Some 150 miles ? that's 100mph. That seems a bit fast for September 1? more like a flat flow in winter thing. interesting. Anyway, depending on the underwear in this scenario...as the upper peals away here over the next couple of hours we'll see how much grunge lingers frumunda -
  12. JB has invoked 1925 where we had a record warm September followed by a very cold October. He thinks that it will cool down in October significantly. Me...it's gonna be the warm and droughty base state until it isn't. No signs of change yet.
  13. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  14. I know it’s mostly heat stress, but noticing a variety of species with some fall color this morning.
  15. The Graf scored closer to reality than the NWS for Staunton/Waynesboro yesterday evening. Staunton/Waynesboro didn't get a drop. NWS says 60% this pm while Graf says 41%............... With an approaching front tomorrow that will stall over the Central Valley for Saturday, my probs. crawl up from 30% today to 40% for Friday and 50% on Saturday.
  16. More mid 90s/mid 100 heat indices today and tomorrow, and then slowly starts to downtrend. Much drier air may be on the way by later next week.
  17. well, at least CSU-MLP thinks much of our area is in the sweet spot for 30% wind damage probabilities for tomorrow, so even if today turns out to be meh, there's hope:
  18. I only glanced at the NAM so probably low scoring anyway, but the front appears behind schedule relative to what I saw. Supposed to be thru the region far enough to improve skies and elevate temperatures all the way to Logan by 2pm. Looking at morning satellite, doesn't lend much confidence of those two metrics laying into the area, huh. I'm routinely wrong in this morning arm chair analysis shit, though. I always see them pessimistically and then usually ... the moment I click 'Submit Reply' it was as though the button really said should, 'Clear skies and warm up anyway' hidden from me. So we'll see.
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