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  2. Was waiting for AI Euro to get to the matching number of panels and finally got there. Ya'll be the judge!
  3. Guy is laughing but making direct comparison to February 14 2016… 1) Significant El Niño year. 2) significantly above average month temp wise in northeast. 3) significantly less snowpack in the northeast. Using MOS verbatim for this makes little sense given how cold this year has been vs historical norms.
  4. Can't wait when it's in the Carolinas at 0z and the angst to bring it back
  5. weird winter so far. feels like winter just missing, you know, the snow
  6. Here’s the start of the 2nd storm 14th
  7. This is about the best solution we can hope for if you want a snowstorm here - takes a LP from Colorado moves it directly east while a HP travels across Canada and sets up shop in southeast Canada blocking the LP from cutting - then another LP develops down south moving Northeast - too good to be true though IMO
  8. Does NYC hit zero this weekend, should we start a cold/snow thread or leave it in here? 12z HRRR was extremely cold
  9. We know what happens when storms push into SW PA. Besides it's going to morph into a thousand different solutions on all the guidances
  10. snowing nicely just north of Winchester
  11. I showed you yesterday how the EPS was so close and if that Baja wave just ejected a bit more energy…boom. Once in a long while I know what I’m talking about. There are still 5000 little things that can go wrong. Over amping becomes an issue if it ejects too much. Remember Jan 25! This time we won’t have arctic cold to offset a hostile track. But when guidance was squashing the thing I knew there was a good chance it came back because it needed a slight adjustment in a way models often are biased.
  12. Moderate snow. But nothing sticking. Welcome to SAS.
  13. Seneca might be. Bottomless pit
  14. GFS bufkit is nuts for Boston. Definitely supports warning criteria potential
  15. bro what? Euro is a textbook thump to light sleet/frz rain. Almost the same storm as two weeks ago.
  16. Last thing I need is any kind of winter storm next weekend so yeah that one is a very high probability
  17. weird how the AI models led the way. Today is the first time we have seen the OP models join the fray. All the big models show a storm now lol. Euro,GFS,Canadian
  18. Advisory out for us just the extreme cold warning is covering it
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