All Activity

Pretty sunset last night from the parking lot of the Portsmouth traffic circle liquor store as we stopped to get ingredients for delicious Dark Manhattan’s. Key feature you’ll likely appreciate- no geese! They definitely GTFO town this year finally.

No, it’s not funny. It’s our normal.

Guh.

Seems consistent with prior runs and other guidance:

Euro has just never let up.

Sigh still bydont buy this warm pusg of air

Why is Dendy so shook?

Enjoy! The cross country skiing should be phenomenal. With multiple layers of snow and plenty of compacting/settling/drifting, its that perfect "packed powder"

Average them out its 1.2"

I'm trying to understand how much plain rain to expect and what the duration could be, because there seems to be quite a bit of variation in the models still today. Surface temps at TYS range from mid 30s to mid 40s at peak depending on the solution you look at. That has a lot to do with how much rain falls to wash away the slop. I guess the models that are punching the low right up through TN will be correct and we'll have more rain and maybe a minimal ice problem when the temps crash. But, if the low slides below, we're looking at the potential for concrete. Can someone explain it to me like I'm a 5 year old, which low path and rain scenario seems more realistic at this point and why?

I had a comment that this seemed like this storm was a Miller B/Miller C hybrid- but no one seemed to appreciate my comment. It was mocked even.

Its an outlier of sorts. Very dry and doesnt make sense with this setup.

Just ice from freezing rain.

Well guys. We made it through Helene. This is starting to have similar vibes in terms of widespread/historic impacts. I’m still hoping it will pan out we get more sleet than freezing rain. But, if not, been a pleasure tracking with you guys. Hope there’s a solid plan in place to restore the grid/power. Just hard knowing that Raleigh/Charlotte will get a lot of the initial attention.

Euro pushes sleet line well up into York/Lanc by 7pm but only after most the precip has fallen. 10:1 below....

Apparently just ZR accumulation.

meant to post this one. Sorry

This one's 10 to 15"

100%. That is why I was away for a few years. I sensed a big one this years so I wanted to be a part of this group when it happened.

AIFS has something at like h300 but its a miller b

Throwing out NAM, very good consensus of around 8 to 10

Nope, Fluff bomb for all pretty much.

Agree. February has been our pot of gold frequently in recent years. I believe either Sunday or Monday is the exact halfway mark of the snow season average-wise. Breakdown of 6”+ snowstorms at Detroit by month (Nov 1880 – Jan 2026) Nov- 8 Dec- 37 Jan- 45 Feb- 46 Mar- 31 Apr- 4

can really see the warmth at the 850 level. Must be crushing ratios. Would love to see a sounding if anyone has access to the Euro soundings