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  2. CheeselandSkies
    It really seems like a mixed bag with ENSO. Feels like in my adult life we've had wet Ninos, dry Ninos, wet Ninas, dry Ninas, warm Ninos, cold Ninos, warm Ninas (most dramatically 2012), and cold Ninas. The strength and timing/speed of transition (TNI) makes the biggest difference.
  3. CoastalWx
    Total cancel on gfs. Hope it’s wrong.
  4. brooklynwx99
    there was also a major block that was poorly forecasted in February... one of the worst pattern busts I've ever seen. if that occurred, things would have turned out a whole lot differently that month
  5. A-L-E-K
    today's run selling some fantasy relief for NE IL, screw hole moved detroit's way gonna ride it
  6. HoarfrostHubb
    Wheel of 'rhea.... probably won't be quite that awful
  7. forkyfork
    should he hold your hand and tell you it's going to be a modoki?
  8. ineedsnow
    Awesome pattern on the GFS
  9. michsnowfreak
    That cansips was from Sept though...pretty far out.
  10. roardog
    2015-2016 had some big snowstorms here. Once upon a time there was a map posted here that showed that once you cross into super Nino threshold that we actually start to get above normal winter precip. The worst part of a Nino around here is the tendency for dryness. Even the weaker ones where we get below normal temperatures have a tendency to be dry. If super Nino can get us above normal precip, I would take that any day over a garbage non Nino winter like 01-02 or 11-12.
  11. SouthCoastMA
    Jersey south was boiling, regardless
  12. A-L-E-K
    yeah, not too into getting into a debate with lawn obsessed americans but the notion that women are the ones into lawn care was p funny real heads know baddies are all about the native plants
  13. weatherwiz
    Time to drop by and share a few of these
  14. SouthCoastMA
    I wonder if Eastern NE was cooler, and if higher nighttime lows skewed the mean out there. That said, I do know there were several hot days mixed in this month, especially further west.
  15. snowman19
    You’re a f*cking asshole. Par for the course from you. Troll
  16. Wxoutlooksblog
    Only if this pattern holds. I'm skeptical. WX/PT
  17. dendrite
    It’s not going to change that much with 95% of the days already baked in.
  18. kdxken
    Been hit with a few of the pop-ups. Drops the temp into the '50s temporarily.
  19. NEG NAO
    My insensitivity analysis says that June will average below normal temps and precip - I'll leave the more accurate sensitivity analysis outlook to Don.
  20. weatherbo
    Came across a random patch of snow today. It's at the end of a camp drive so it's remnants from a plowed pile, but impressive to see on May 28th, nonetheless.
  21. Ginx snewx
    Repost June 1
  22. FPizz
    Should Snowman change his name to Ben Noll? Its pretty much his feed non-stop in here.
  23. NEG NAO
    Someone should tell Upton this is not Mostly Sunny - they make the same mistake in these set ups contently - and now it is even showering
  24. Stormlover74
    Yeah supposed to be totally sunny today
  25. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Yup. Even some brief heavy downpours around. .
  26. michsnowfreak
    On the contrary....everyone goes into strong/super ninos expecting a less wintry than avg winter. It is the warmista weenies who will lose their minds if the warmest strong nino analog doesnt turn out to be the best analog, and/or if its snowier than expected despite mild temps.
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