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Dusty

Congrats Springfield https://x.com/wx1box/status/2086558352494993657?s=46

Got another typical thunderstorm here 0.03 But kind of glad we missed this one... 0.60 for the month However there was a lot of wind here... Seeing reports in the Stuarts Draft area south of Waynesboro where they have had good rains recently - of signifcant wind damage to trees and power lines including trailers at the Hershey plant being blown over...

Looks like an attempt at a seabreeze on radar pushing north around Sunrise Highway.

Dew point today mostly mid upper 60's... High temp still up to 93°.

Yup hammering this afternoon.

Either these models are on to something or we are gonna get the old oakie doak on November runs

Nice storm but nothing noteworthy. Got plenty of needed rain and good boomers.

78/66 Nice day

Forcing myself to sit outside in this shit. I’m now sitting in a pool of my own ass sweat. Who the fuck likes this?

Not to be a downer or anything but is it possible/likely that the models that show the favorable Feb/Mar pattern are just falling back on what a normal El Niño would generally do? This is not a normal El Niño. I think @bluewave has touched on this in seasons past about how seasonal models are susceptible to this? Just worried for something like Feb 2024 to happen.

High peaked at 99.1 but heat index peaked at 110.7. This is absolutely brutal weather and no outflows to save us today

91 today. North wind so no relief from a seabreeze

Tropics?

A true gulley washer supreme in the area this afternoon.

Impressive-looking bowing segment just to my west. Some damage reports from this in Michigan City already.

Seems our friend at Mt. Tolland gets easily confused when confronted with facts.

Heavy rain the past 45 minutes with lots of lightning

Hit 99.3 today IMBY but with the humidity it feels hotter than earlier this summer when it was hitting 104-105. Feel like temp is 113 right now.

Sycamore tornado touched down less than 1/2 mile south of my house. Had a great view from the back deck

I'm starting to think this is an organization decision and not an Albernaz one. It's just weird at this point

Above normal temperatures will persist through Tuesday. Highs will generally top out in the upper 80s to lower 90s in the warmest spots. A shower or thundershower is possible late Monday or Monday night. A somewhat cooler air mass will arrive near mid-week. Afterward, readings will be mainly in the lower to middle 80s for Wednesday and Thursay. A push of even cooler air is possible by the close of the week. As a result, Friday through Sunday could see highs mainly in the upper 70s and lower 80s. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.3°C for the week centered around July 30. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.53°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.02°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, which has reached super El Niño threshold, will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -9.89 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.329 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 50% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.1° (near normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.8° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

Monday COULD be a severe weather day, according to NWS State College afternoon discussion. We will know more tomorrow.