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snow-> period of sleet->some zr->then back to snow->fin My first call for our area.

Still in testing. It runs several hrs after the NBM 4.3, so that will bump up with the next run, don’t worry. It also is biased low on these kinds of setups. This is what the testing is for! We have lots of comparison analysis and notes for developers that will be sorted out after the winter season.

Same feeling here… I’m down in the Fayetteville area and hoping for just a few inches. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

HAWT

I like the look of the ICON at h5 on that h84 frame above... let's see where it goes. Nice to have a less closed off s/w there.

I agree, More into the northern envelope with heavier returns south down to DC.

That guy really fell on hard times after Jackass. Might be back on the sauce again.

12z ICON at 96 looks improved with the Baja ull moving out a shade quicker and also with the angle and strength of the sw diving South out of Alberta. Relative to its 6z run. Should be a better run.

Well, 5-7" is "significant", but I'm disappointed with that with 20" in VA.

Today’s 06z Euro at 12z Sunday vs yesterday’s. What a difference.

Am thinking that the southern portion of the sub could cash this weekend, especially as this has been trending a little north recently, coming in line w/ the EPS.

January 20 1982: Just over 17 inches of snow falls in the Twin Cities. Amazingly, it was to be outdone two days later. 1917: 16 inches of snow falls in the Twin Cities. For Tuesday, January 20, 2026 1937 - The wettest Inaugural Day of record with 1.77 inches of rain in 24 hours. Temperatures were only in the 30s as Franklin D. Roosevelt was sworm in for his second term. (David Ludlum) 1943 - Strange vertical antics took place in the Black Hills of South Dakota. While the temperature at Deadwood was a frigid 16 degrees below zero, the town of Lead, just a mile and a half away, but 600 feet higher in elevation, reported a balmy 52 degree reading. (David Ludlum) 1954 - The temperature at Rogers Pass, MT, plunged to 70 degrees below zero to establish a new record for the continental U.S. (David Ludlum) 1978 - A paralyzing "Nor'easter" produced a record 21 inches of snow at Boston, 15 to 20 inches in Rhode Island, and one to two feet of snow in Pennsylvania. Winds along the coast of Connecticut gusted to 70 mph. (David Ludlum) 1987 - Gale force winds lingered along the northern Atlantic coast in the wake of a holiday weekend storm. High winds along the eastern slopes of the Northern Rockies gusted to 67 mph at Livingston MT, and high winds in southern California gusted to 70 mph near San Bernardino. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - A storm in the Upper Midwest produced heavy snow and gale force winds. Up to 27.5 inches of snow was reported along the Lake Superior shoreline of Michigan, with 22 inches at Marquette. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - The temperature in the Washington D.C. area warmed into the lower 50s for the Presidential Inauguration during the late morning hours, before gusty northwest winds ushered in colder air that afternoon. (National Weather Summary) 1990 - While heavy thunderstorm rains drenched the Central Gulf Coast States, with 4.23 inches reported at Centreville AL in 24 hours, unseasonably warm weather continued across Florida. Five cities in Florida reported record high temperatures for the date. Tampa FL equalled their record high for January of 85 degrees. (National Weather Summary)

Exactly, but not huge amounts IMO.

Euro had something similar but further south Seems like a weak wave developing along the boundary from Thursdays front.

12z NAM at 84 for reference

That’s why I keep specifying a significant hit, not 1-3” of arctic sand

Well, That is the one i was looking towards, I had mentioned our next shot was 2/1 or so, This one coming up has NYC-DC written all over it for a SECS, That cold dome over NNE is going to keep this one further to the south, Maybe it will get up in to Southern SNE to the pike area.

Might have pushed the initial overrunning south a smidge but brings the coastal further north from phasing. Throws heavy precip into New England actually.

Where is your location in Georgia?

There’s a lot of people who let their emotions get to them when it comes to the weather and sports. No one on here expects the weather to behave the way we would like it too and nobody expects the models to be accurate all the time. If this storm ends up being a bust, I’m not going home and being a (bad word) to my family over it and the same goes for Tennessee sports. What I am going to do is tell my family I love them, Pray with them and go to bed. I know I’m not guaranteed tomorrow. .

Hmmmm... 12z ICON h5 at 84

EZF to RIC to SBY is going to get their snow climo in a week. Wow. What a way to break a snow drought.

It came from a tired old model that loves to make shit up way out of range

The idea of our entire state being buried in well over a foot of snow is absolutely wild.

Good luck.