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Winds picking up... 43F

Still snow on the ground here, but I expect it to dissapear in a timely manner...right when the rain stops. The timing seems to work out that way 9/10 times. It's like the rain is scheduled to stick around long enough to wipe out the snow. Then it freezes up the brown ground again.

Damnit

I use photobucket. @John1122metnioned a service he uses as well. I use photo bucket. I just upload the photo, and then grab a hosting link for it. Some hosting sites are free and some are maybe five bucks a month.

The GFS was actually pretty close. GLL just a bit too separated. Game is still playing ya'll.

Can't believe after all this crazy cold since gobble gobble, we end up with only 2 rat rainers to show for it. When it's actually needed, the cold this season has been retreating faster then the French.

And the cold front (with the wind), is coming through now. Made it up to 51 just before 1 pm and temp is now falling rapidly and down to 44 at post time. Picked up 0.33" of rain today with the prefrontal precip.

12z Euro/EPS and the GEPS try to pop a +PNA just before the Jan 6th - 10th window. To see it on multiple ensembles is encouraging.

Also, ensembles are starting to honk that an Alaskan block is setting up. Now that....that would deliver cold.

I have frequently posted about the drought, I wish to set the record straight and assure everyone that I'm not blaming low snowfall on the drought. High ratio snowfall can easily accumulate with low moisture. My January qp averages 2.95". I could receive only 67% of normal at 2.00" and easily accumulate 25 inches of dry snow. Yes, I do believe with co-operating temperatures its easier to accumulate heavy snowfall with above average qp. That is a common sense call. Farmers often wish for snowfall in a drought to rebuild the water table. High ratio snowfall doesn't do a lot for the water table.

12z euro Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Uptick in fantasy events today, 12z euro was so close to something crazy that run. Take away from today’s runs is that Jan 6-10+ has legit potential. .

It’s the CMC but yea. That’s FOLKS all day

Duh. Told yall. No point at even looking for anything before Saturday.

Yep, super low dark clouds outside currently as well. Looking forward to the winds this afternoon/overnight. Drought guy will be posting more potential drought conditions locally. Probably busy with Lake Mead in California reaching historic low levels. Dead body surfacing...

The 12z AIFS Euro has three storms back-to-back-to-back. Easily the best suite of the year in terms of just synoptical setup.

not bullish enough. 50 kt gusts easily

Snowin and blowing away. Winter quickly has returned.

Careful with the language....there are children present

Yeah euro still generates a system on 1/8-1/9 but it’s a bit strung out and weak going almost due north and scraping eastern areas. It doesn’t take much mental gymnastics to see that thing being much stronger and more coherent. The PNA ridge is pretty amplified which is going to want to force a lot of energy to pile up around the base of the trough.

Agreed. The 12z suite has been encouraging. I'm happy to see the Canadian and it's ensembles joining in as well.

Euro brings everyone back to reality.

5 day mean for the deterministic 12z Euro...~d6-11.

That run was showing a chance every 2 days...and stj stuff involved to boot.

Shocker