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Could. Depends on what guidance one chooses. The Euro's the best; the GFS is worst. I just compared their respective ceiling RH levels. The Euro's ~ 6 hrs faster in the wholesale deep layer. Has a sharp back edge clearing in the 300 and 500 mb levels by 12z...with <= 50% in the 700mb by 18z going clear by 21 z. As is such...it's 2-m Ts are 68 to 72, but the 900 mb T argue that it's really warmer than that in the "real" 2-m ... The GFS, being slower with back edge not only retards any recovery but actually is still raining through 15z. It does finally clear in time to salvage the afternoon but the damage is done, and since this model is deliberately coded to seek out and destroy warm solutions ... it's thus succeeded damping just enough to get to it's goal of ruining the day. heh

Yeah after next Wednesday things could get back to mehhh for the weekend...go figure

31 this morning, light frost and no damage to the fruit tree blossoms. Median here for spring's latest frost is 5/23 - might hit that tomorrow morning (low chance). Deep blue this morning, leaf development has leaped from <25% to >75% since last Friday - instant spring.

Ha I don’t think so, it’s just a different climate. We recover like 8-10F per hour rapidly… so comparing here vs OXC/Waterbury, CT 6am… 29F vs 48F By 9:15am… 54F vs 54F Very quickly normalizing after sun-up.

May showers bring June flowers? All kidding aside, hope this happens over the entire 2 week period, would be very beneficial in helping relieve some of the drought conditions.

no ... they "make it sound" as though everyone in here must be needling neurotics

Yea, just having some fun. I appreciative his insight and refreshers in espanol.

Ha, you guys make it sound like it’s 30s up north while it’s 70s down south. We had a hard freeze and are now the same temp as Waterbury, CT. We go up and down fast.

38 to 54 so far. Could actually be an impressive diurnal recovery day. 35+ sun dependent. We're flirting with the main b-c axis smudge running by to the south but if we can keep the rad counts > 70% say ...

3/4 days are nice. 65-75 Monday will surprise to the upside. The one day with rain (Sunday) will treat the gardens so I can avoid watering. winning.

Gorgeous morning.

I have accumulated 0.59 inch of rainfall since it began yesterday.

S 19, it’s a bit of refreshing humor and a compliment. Perhaps just a bit left handed but a compliment just the same. Your post attachments give me the impression that you must be multi lingual. Im sincere, if you think not, I’ll accept your ‘pito’ Stay well, as always ….

It's also possible that pattern's being over amplified in the operational tenor - just speaking to as is... Set coffee down, let's see what the overnight's selling - oooh, dog shit. It's okay. 'Can always come on into this social-media's particular brand of bi-polarism to offset the implications of a Maritime retrograding vomit look.

There may be some subjectivity to it... If that's what people want, that's what they want ...blegh There's a coherent synoptic indication for a deep, possibly -2 SD back-door calving pattern there. It arrives with a front Wednesday...then gets re-enforced toward the weekend. There's even implications for elevation grapple in the latter frames. Not sure why this black and white, clear depiction isn't registering with ya'll but so be it. Personally, ... Monday and Tuesday look decent. I'll give you that. Beyond? gets douchy. The other thing, even if Mon/Tues are warm and more appealing, it's hard to psycho-babble enjoy that when you know the Labrador's dildo is getting all rosined up and ready for penetration right after.

Beer?

One or two storm chances next week too with the ULL and surface trough passages

Looks like shit after Wednesday

Ya who needs 30 or below now…they can keep those temps. Upper 70’s to around or just over 80, and dry is perfect weather. Hopefully it plays out like that. This weekend though looks very wet now here, especially Sunday.

Just fired my coal stove up hopefully one last time this spring. 70 is lot more comfortable in the house than 58. Cool and rainy weekend ahead I’m not being cold. Coal is paid for, not costing me nothing.

Next week does look nice

Those would all runoff though.

The last time NYC had an above normal month for precipitation was back in May 2025 with the ongoing drought conditions since the fall of 2024. Monthly Total Precipitation for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 2026 2.70 2.60 3.60 2.48 1.02 M M M M M M M 12.40 2025 0.61 2.60 5.52 3.25 6.58 2.46 4.03 2.21 2.76 4.08 2.09 3.38 39.57 2024 5.28 2.05 9.06 3.47 4.11 1.71 4.20 7.02 1.58 0.01 3.35 4.53 46.37

I’d much rather bust the drought through afternoon thunderstorms than this.