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Thanks. It has to be rare.

Tornadic waterspout is the answer: A tornadic waterspout is a true tornado that forms over water or moves from land to water. It develops downward from a severe thunderstorm, bringing high winds, large hail, and lightning. [1, 2, 3]

The supercell started in Richmond, VA. Dropped a tornado on the James river. Could have been anywhere.

"Tornadic waterspouts", also accurately referred to as "tornadoes over water", are formed from mesocyclones in a manner essentially identical to land-based tornadoes in connection with severe thunderstorms, but simply occurring over water.[22] A tornado which travels from land to a body of water would also be considered a tornadic waterspout.[23] Since the vast majority of mesocyclonic thunderstorms in the United States occur in land-locked areas, true tornadic waterspouts are correspondingly rarer than their fair-weather counterparts in that country. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Waterspout

1.22 today

A lot of Suffolk has between 2 and 3”. Im at 2.35”. Islip airport about the same.

That is literally the most idiotic answer ever. I want an answer from Wakefield NWS and they won't answer either.

Everyone knows that an evening at Red Lobster is no small affair. I press my jeans, put on my finest hair product, and drench myself in a musky cologne. Hell, I may even shine up my wing tipped shoes, for I am going to Red Lobster. I strut through the door with my finest lady on my arm and throw up two fingers to the Hostess. I glide past the lobster tank with ease knowing that yet again I will not be eating a red lobster at Red Lobster (who would). I take a seat and before the waiter asks us for our drinks I request 20 cheddar bay biscuits. It's such a bold move that music stops, glasses clink, and everyone in a 5 yard radius gasps in disbelief/shock. Even my company gives me a look of concern. The waiter says " s..sir are you sure?". I don't sweat one bit and I tell that waiter to step and make with the cbb's. he comes back with three baskets filled with biscuits (7 in 2 and 6 in another). I thank the waiter. Then I go straight baller!!!! I'm pounding biszcuits left and right. Smashing them in old dudes faces, rubbing them between my ladies t*tties, telling the waiter to f*** off. I cause a ruckus, only get cbb's, don't pay a dime, and leave with my girl plus three more.That's generally what happens every time I go to Red Lobster, I've gotten banned from 33 locations. I tell you this to let you know that Cheddar Bay Biscuit shrimp sandwhiches are without a doubt the most ballerest thing a baller could ball at Red Lobster.

Squeaked out an 80/70 this aftrn. Comfortably warm.

Could be trouble in that area in Danbury and points south.

Yeah but not this strong though--it's historic. And potentially east-based. That's the part of it that worries me because to me historically strong=97-98 scenario. If it were anything else like moderate to strong, or modoki (I know that one is rare) I'd certainly like our chances much better. I would relish being be HAPPILY wrong though and will wear all of it while I'm measuring in feet

I think it is counted as a “tornadic waterspout”.

We could get a bunch of 'perfect track' rainstorms. The irony of your negative stance is that a strong El Nino is statistically more likely to give you what you want(and esp places NW) than the recent Nina winters- a KU storm.

That is a legitimate question.

Ok Deb.

Late February twice in a row! February 20, 2025 (the more infamous one) and February 22, 2026.

Not mention they break your heart with the big storms that miss. You see what happened late February? It's gonna happen 99% of the time with a coastal in a nina. BUT thankfully we got a frickin' glacier and arctic cold to enjoy for over a month--that was pretty fun!

The problem I have is this Nino is looking historically strong, which is by nature an extreme event like 97-98 (or stronger as some in the forum are predicting). I mean looking at the daily high temps for DJF...that year torched through and through with not one period of being cold enough to snow. At least the other dud super nino of 72-73 had a cold chance but we just got unlucky (glad I wasn't around for that southern blizzard). But with an historically strong event? Maaan I question if we even GET cold enough for snow. In no universe would I root for a nina...they break your heart everytime, lol (though last year was about as good as a nina can get...late February hurt though!) And we're gonna get two more of those ninas after next winter anyway which is why a potential fail this winter is more frustrating.

5.5” and raining again. Yeah, the frogs were crazy tonight walking the dog.

Two areas south of Albany are up to 11" and change for the storm totals. There are some wild photos on facebook if you follow the meterologists.

Extending that Y-axis is extremely good news for me. BRING IT THE HELL ON!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!