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I'll be the one who gets all the heat for posting the snow maps, 18z Euro AI

I'm not here to troll even if that's what some think. One person told me to make sure I look at the EPS, and AI models. I just post what they show.

I always tell my brother. You want a mild winter? Say goodbye to the sun.

2.75” in Greenfield MA.

If I had to guess..prob 1.5"

It’s cold, but this is a wind chill event more than anything imo

Looks like Falmouth is probably getting it pretty good right now. I really wanna try and get down there this week to see the frozen Bay.

i dont trust the GFS especiallya week or two out. this winter the models havw been dowright horrible,, even 48 hours out they are very unpredictable

Dunno the euro stuff actually improved the Atlantic presentation leading into next weekend with a monster 50/50. GEFS went the other way. Mixed messages. AIFS just dropped pretty good run. Im Not saying I think a snowstorm is likely but I’ve seen this setup work. -pna with cold in front of an ejecting pac wave and a 50/50. It’s happened. Could end up warm. That’s definitely a threat. But I could see it work. That’s all I’m saying.

Awesome!

I thought Southbury to you had 2-3?

I was in Chatham all morning, looks great on radar.

Love their early stuff, esp this one.

That's why I blocked him a long time ago. If enough people block him then he won't be able to converse with anyone. Simple as that!

Tommorrow it will show cold and snow - Good For S model

@GreyHat, I do not think I add a whole lot of help to discussions either. I do post infrequently but somewhat regularly. It is all the point. The way you phrase things matters. Question don't assert. Take everything as a way to learn and not tell people how they are wrong or right. Seriously.. Ask questions... Like, why would you think the GFS is wrong here? You know what.. You will understand more why we think it is a turd model many times. It just has not been consistent at all. Additionally, the Euro has had some challenges in the long range as well. We are all being interested in the new Ai stuff because it seems to have ideas on upper level patterns and has been helpful. Ensembles will help us in the long range.. Jumping verbatim on every model run is a curse we all can tend to have, so people curse the models and have fun or join the misery of missing snow. It is the posture of learning, being skeptical, asking questions, and non assertive or critical that helps this place be fun and worthwhile. And yes.. In the Mid Atlantic (and trends over the last few decades) the threat of warmth is not only real, it is a given. Getting a good clean snow in the mid Atlantic outside the mountains is getting harder. So we always know it. I always have doubts.. Even cold systems can do crazy things like sleet on you for 5 inches with temps in the low teens. Just take the posture of learning.. Asking questions, being no assertive, and also be considerate. Weather is a huge challenge no matter what. We all know it. That is my advice.. Not sure it helps

Lots of gusts reported in the high 50 s today.

Thank you, agree, the current setup is bad and the GFS shows another system on the 21st going up towards MN. I've listen about looking at all models, AI, EPS etc.

Well 2-4” would have busted as all of the western third of ct only had .5-1.5”

Well I do enjoy some of our discussions. Just realize that models have really trended away from -NAO for the medium range threat.

Well said!

No stop 850s do not as support any of this

AI shows a chance too. Euro/AI is what you want on your side at this range. The GFS is still smelling it's farts

Why are you yelling? Note: i have no idea what the conversation was. Just scrolled and saw the giant font. Lol