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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 231 PM EST Fri Feb 20 2026 MDZ004>006-008-011-503-505-507-508-VAZ505-210345- /O.EXB.KLWX.WS.A.0003.260222T2000Z-260223T1500Z/ Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil-Southern Baltimore- Northwest Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford-Western Loudoun- 231 PM EST Fri Feb 20 2026 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations 5 inches or more are possible. * WHERE...Portions of central, northeast, and northern Maryland and northern Virginia. * WHEN...From Sunday afternoon through Monday morning. Snow may begin Sunday morning, but the heaviest snow and coldest temperatures are most likely late Sunday afternoon through early Monday morning. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult, especially Sunday night into Monday morning. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

North wey we live in

Are there other percentile maps 50%25% ETC? Thanks in advance.

What? If you have the rates you will get dynamic cooling. Location has nothing to do with it. Getting the rates could be the issue depending on what plays out. If you get under a coastal CCB you're going to get nuked with snow heavy enough that it's gonna accumulate whether you like it or not. The question is whether or not it will get west enough and how strong it will be.

johnnycakes? (throw back to the Sopranos) saw a few flakes 1/2 hour ago, otherwise not much going on here

March 2001 shifted like 200 miles north at the last minute. No chance of that happening this time around. A miss to the east is the bust scenario in this case.

I like that look to get heavier snows further N and W into NNJ.

davidk lol

About 1/2” here in Foxboro

I'll be perfectly happy with 6" tonight and 6" on Monday. anything more is gravy. extending the local snowmobile season would be much appreciated!

I know it's early, but bufkit looks pretty good for BOS. 12z GFS is 13:1, 12.4"

Actually it is. They added 3 or 4 new holidays and came to an agreement with the UFT to not extend school year. They have to meet a minimum threshold of days per year with state. Hence the remote learning. They have no extra days built in. Eid Juneteeth Lunar New Year UFT can not report before Labor Day. up in the burbs, our teachers report before Labor Day and sometimes school begins before Labor Day. And they also have five snow days figured in. They give those back over Memorial Day weekend and they cut the school year if they don’t use them. Long story short, you need to hit 180. If the union contract has a hard stop on Labor Day and last week of June, something has to give if you add 3 new holidays.

I need it Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

This is why one should use probabilistic descriptions, particularly in the medium-range. Making deterministic "yes-no" declarations assumes that the general public is not capable of understanding complexity. That assumption says more about those who make it than the general public. I provided an example in recent days where I referred to the high-end solution being a low probability, high-impact scenario rather than dismissing it out-of-hand. 4-5 days out allows for a lot of change.

It's 70 and sunny right now. Snow by the end of the weekend around here wouldn't surprise me lol.

but what about chasing young ladies?

Different setup...we'll be fine.

Mount Holly 90th percentile (i.e. reasonable worst case scenario)

Man a lot of ptsd in here lmao.

Could be right. Changes to all snow as the storm comes closer Sunday night. WX/PT

S Wey Where you and dad live

Absolutely ripping with the big band on the way.

We only got .03" of rain and flurries. The drought goes on.

Significantly more last weekend