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Storm Chaser Brett Musser is in White Horse, Lancaster County, Pennsylvania. · Follow · Could there been a possible tornado here in Lancaster County this evening? Here is some of the damage from the White Horse area!! Part of a barn roof gone, a one room school house lost its whole roof, trees down on wires, and debris scattered across farm feilds!! All pics taken within a mile of each other.

Some real bad flash flooding going on in that training band on the south side of Edouard. Radar estimates of up to 8" of rain in just the past 3 hours. Nearly 12-16" of rain total

90/56 yesterday, oppressive dews return today and look to stick around for awhile. 0.04” rain overnight. Drought begets drought

Record warmth summer and winter

The summer 500 mb pattern was as opposite as you can get from a developing super El Niño in the Northern Hemisphere. The 500mb ridges dominated where the troughs were supposed to be. But the Southern Hemisphere response during their winter may give us some clues what to expect here. Notice how the 500mb ridges were stronger than the expected troughs. It was obvious near New Zealand and South America. This would translate into a weaker Aleutian Low and weaker low pressure near the Southeast U.S and or Western Atlantic than is usual for such a strong El Niño. Could mean a warmer more dominant ridge pattern over North America than is typically the case for a super El Niño event. Should this occur during our winter, then it would follow the general pattern regardless of ENSO of the 500mb ridges being more impressive than the troughs since the 2015-2016 super El Niño. https://www.pyreweather.org/map/?variable=height&level=500&region=World&mode=anomaly&months=202606%2C202607%2C202608&fill_mode=shaded&climo_source=r2-monthly

I think he could still be serviceable, but his days of every down work are probably vanquished. In the right scheme, he could certainly provide value. Considering Flores propensity to blitz, that should be favorable.

0z euro selling a p sick ridge roller pattern locally, want 2 believe

August 2026 finished with a preliminary monthly mean temperature of 16.957C. That would shatter the August mark of 16.823C from 2024. It would also edge past July 2023's 16.953C to become the warmest month on record in the ERA-5 dataset.

Where was the heat advisory, or warning yesterday when we needed it?

Ravens fans, does Kyle Van Noy have anything left in the tank as a backup OLB?

I've been tracking since 2023. Over 1C daily is very warm but it has happened before mainly in the 23/24 nino. 1.04C in Nov 2023 is the highest monthly value. August was 0.942 the 5'th highest monthly value , the higher values were the last 4 months of 2023. Note that changes to the gfs model may change the metric.

Low of 68 with .19” of rain. Amtrak is down this morning due to a fallen tree on the tracks near Philly. Damn.

I see our storms for later on over Lake Erie this morning. Lake Ontario also has a nice batch.

Thunder just woke us up. I checked radar and it’s an isolated storm just around here. Nothing else within hundreds of miles. Rain magnet still working well I see.

Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 430 AM EDT Wed Sep 2 2026 PAZ004>006-010>012-037-041-042-045-046-051-053-030830- Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Tioga- Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming- Montour-Columbia- 430 AM EDT Wed Sep 2 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Multiple rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms with strong winds, large hail, and heavy rainfall are possible today and tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather. $$ Colbert Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 430 AM EDT Wed Sep 2 2026 PAZ017>019-024-025-033-034-049-050-052-058-030830- Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Somerset- Bedford-Union-Snyder-Northumberland-Schuylkill- 430 AM EDT Wed Sep 2 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Multiple rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms with strong winds, large hail, and heavy rainfall are possible today and tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Strong to severe thunderstorms with strong winds and heavy rainfall are possible again on Thursday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather. $$ Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 430 AM EDT Wed Sep 2 2026 PAZ026>028-035-036-056-057-059-063>066-030830- Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Fulton-Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon- Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- 430 AM EDT Wed Sep 2 2026 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Multiple rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms with strong winds, large hail, and heavy rainfall are possible today and tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more information about the following hazards. Heat Advisory. Strong to severe thunderstorms with strong winds and heavy rainfall are possible again on Thursday. Heat index values will range from the upper 90s to the low 100s Thursday afternoon. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather. $$

93 was the high yesterday .24 rain.had a dp of 84 yesterday afternoon with a heat index of 116

An annular specimen, a developing buzzsaw and a sprawling tropical storm scramble spread across the pacific

92 for the high yesterday. I received .38” of rain yesterday while Montourville airport where they record Williamsport readings received 1.59” , they got hit pretty hard. Lots of lightning last night! 68 degrees this morning

You fished your wish, 92-93 and 93-94 seasons are up

All the quoted statements above are useless from a TC analysis perspective. I've done Dvorak analysis and classification for TCs globally for 5 years at my current job, and the details often are everything! "Tstms blossoming around the center," one must ask, "is it smooth, persistent, and banded convection or just irregular blobs pulsing up and down?" This difference is huge as to signs of organization or short-term trends. Also, it makes a difference if the convection blossoms right over the center vs. it not. The former is much better for intensification potential. At about 1230z on 9/1 we finally saw this w/ Edouard after hours of blob convection away from the center and then it started to intensify markedly. "Angle of thunderstorms" No one in tropical met field ever says that. It reminds me of what Bill Paxton said in 'Twister' -- "look at the ANGLE of the updraft!" Artistic license for the movie! "Compact storm, just needs to spin more...good sign it's strengthening" Well, thanks Captain Obvious, we know it is a compact storm, and spinning more is good thing, but how about some actual empirical observations rather than drivel speculation!?

On 9/16/1986, while a spinner occurred at 635am in Scituate MA, it was snowing in NNE w/ 2" at Glen NH. I recall it well b/c during tstms in ern MA, it was so cold during them!

Storm cells nearby racing at uncommon speeds this nox (overnight). Nice MCS hitting Barrie coming in from the SE. I'm at least 50 min drive from the nearest current cell and I can see tepid lightning already no thunder. This setup I can already tell is juiced as hell; 23C/22C DP that is seriously impressive for nox on Sept 2! EC put us under a svr watch for hail up to golf balls and 90 km/h winds. I've had basically zip for real storms all summer. They danced around me only giving thunder and heavy downpours. Its fun seeing how my main summer months now for years are absent of anything - its all in the shoulder months like March, April, and late summer like now.