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Just hit my low temperature around 5:30 am of 25

GEFS went up from 0z

Make a detailed post discussing the modeled synoptics and why you believe this window holds potential for a winter storm.

So the ICON schooled the Euro after all, if this holds. shrug

I was really hoping we would get to stack another 10-15 or possibly more on top of the 15" or so thats OTG. How often does that happen in CT? Virtually never. Last time was like 2011 when there was 3-4 feet OTG. Even another low end warning event 6-8" would have been sick. What a waste of a good setup and frigid airmass. oh well..

We’ve been significantly above forecast lows last couple mornings. Bottomed out at 25.5 yesterday (forecast was 20) and are stuck at 25.2 right now (forecast was 18). Made it to 39.2 yesterday

What a waste of an explosive setup. Back to Steinangle season.

Never had a feel for this like I did last week.

Literally every single model along with RAH shows more than that for those areas. lol. Playing the conservative card because their feelings got hurt after the last system is silly.

This thing is cooked. Multiple lows suck, always screws a good event.

great consistency. sometimes i think we should have stuck to having it run 2X/day, same with the GFS. The mesos can run 4X so we have more up to the hour information getting close to a storm <60hrs or so.

You claim a storm that far away and you ABSOLUTELY can claim it! Lol

WRAL going with 3-6” for most piedmont locations with 5-7+” for coastal areas

I feel like the gfs is honing in a solid 5-10 inches for the foothills .

GEFS meh

Thinking one takes over and models are having a tough time figuring out what to do.. or I could be wrong and we get two that go OTS

00z EURO:

If i recall these systems tend to overpreform. .

6Z GFS looking good:

No end to the cold in sight with this h5 pattern. Hopefully it isnt all wasted.

kevin will hold on to the sinking ship to the bitter end though

Wasn't just meh, it's really odd. It suggests near concurrent bombogensis for two competing lows as part of the same energy It then resolves the two into one lobular thing.

WTTTE

We will see what Euro shows but every other 6z model so far is a miss for RVA...let's root for our southern/southeastern Virginia family lol

She about gone here.