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It’s probably too cold . Need the AI’s to hold

Yeah we’ll get model consensus by 00z tonight and it’ll verify like 25 miles off or something. lol

Being in the bullseye 7 days out rarely works out with this type of setup. This is more likely than not to turn into a mix or rain event IMO.

he needs it

GfsAI is a lot of rain as the systems go to our NW.

You started last months storm thread on January 19 for the January 25th -26th major storm and that worked out well

To be fair I don’t think there’s ever been a system in DJFM where you felt it couldn’t snow.

Forget it. Imagine the sun angle, not to mention the moon angle, by next week. What's the use.

Still not icy. But decent for you snow wise

Need euro to come through though this’ll bounce around all the way to game time

I don’t know what to make of Sun-Mon TBH. @bluewave did a write up on the pattern that’s going to be place at that point this morning over in the NYC forum

meh its close here and doubt it would be that warm in SNE

When you don't seem 110% enthused and are instead modestIy enthused, I know it's a crap solution for 90% of the forum

Thanks. Hard to tell how "heavy" the precip is in that image above, with those green shadings (and what they mean). On a related note, I believe the AI models typically are not the greatest for amounts, but are better for overall coverage. Something like that.

There’s almost always statistical anomalies. The 61 ball in Powerball has been drawn 1.7x more than the 13 ball since 2015.

Wish that would be correct but cannot fully buy that.

If you like rain. Even for your area.

A little north. But basically noise.

Nice shots!

Looks like precip around .3"

Slightly under 1/2”.

12z AIGFS like the end of the weekend

Yes, one swipe of the wiper blade and it was gone!

Actually, phase 7 has on average (using Baltimore as a representative) been the coldest phase in March (1.7 BN) following La Niña winters with phase 8 second coldest (0.7 BN). But regardless, those are just averages with wide variances and the MJO seeming to have less influence in March vs Feb. Also, the combo of the progged -PNA, +AO, and +NAO would strongly favor mild in early March.

GFS is low end warning for parts of W MA and CT.