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It’s all going to end up in the Atlantic or around the OWD ASOS.

Obligatory 240 snowmap GFS off hour:

ask anyone irish....it's always cold on st patty's day....i was down in monmouth co i think it was 2003 in march, we were at a meeting at a school in matawan and it started snowing. it started coming down heavy and our district called early; but we were already stuck at this meeting. it got very bad quickly going up the gsp; heavy wet flakes.

Forgot we have some good winds after this!! Going to look pretty awesome if we can get 3 plus

Thank you

Pretty solid draft, too. That trade would have sucked if they included this year’s pick.

now that is funny....they do have mountain snows, and they do get these awesome hail storms that actually can accumulate and look like snow otg.....see them in bogota.

In the very mild air mass, dense fog developed late overnight and has persisted all day in many parts of eastern WA and southern interior BC. It returned to yesterday's very warm readings closer to the coast and also in chinook zones. Some current readings: 73F Tillamook OR, 68F Cut Bank MT (71F highest value in MT), 59F Portland OR and Abbotsford BC (Fraser valley), 36F dense fog Spokane WA, 43F dense fog outside my place, visibility under 100 yards. Probably sunny on local peaks but visible satellite shows widespread low cloud in valleys.

Yeah, especially the CCTI side of town. The bypass area always scores during these type systems. Can see some wide variance from the bypass towards Deep Gap but the NAM has pretty deep moisture for a while tomorrow afternoon/night.

Folks better measure this the second it stops . Otherwise it’ll be blown into 5 foot drifts against snowbanks

Hey thanks! Never had these links before and just relied on the hype machine of this forum. Appreciate you

Freezing fog after the snow last night produced some scenic views this afternoon as I headed off the mountain and back to the basketball tournament. High today was only 31. School has been out two weeks here and the lake is frozen.

I highlighted a colder risk for the last third of february this morning and gave reasons…low-medium confidence for now. I’m also a little too regionally biased/focused with this because even if the blocking pattern breaks down and a cutter pattern develops, i tend to be in a better spot being 300-400 miles west of I-95 in the eastern great lakes.

Snow depth 10" It's a glacier

Or mby with the NAM's 2.1"

I wonder if some of these guys on the long range discussion on here actually keep track of how many times they're right and wrong two weeks out . It's like every day people flip-flop and I'm not talking about them top 10 posters who know what they're doing I'm talking about others. It's kind of like people who predict football scores and stuff they never come back and say they're wrong lol

If S Wey gets 6”…yes

I think we get one more cold relative to average shot. Obviously not like what's coming this weekend, but serviceable for late season snow chances. In any case, I noticed some melting, a few bare areas on steeper south facing slopes driving home. We are getting to the end of the reasonable expectation for snow retention anyways if its a sunny day. Looking forward to the clipper and wind this weekend.

If Ray gets 3-5”, would he still be mad?

Its probably wrong, but running up the ass end of that northern vorticity isnt gonna work. Need more spacing.

I said a month ago about how it can torch all it wants in April. Well if the metros can get enough snow this month to surpass climo then I can accept a March torch. It’ll have earned it in that scenario.

You forgot a completed SF-86. Fully vet everyone.

1-2" is the general idea for tomorrow. NBM mean is 1.4" at PIT and 1.1" at AGC with decent enough odds of >1" (70%+). Only takes 0.1" at 10:1 to get an inch, so we don't need a ton of moisture with even better ratios. Could be between 15:1 and 20:1, give or take. Latest NAM and GFS are both ~2" according to BUFKIT. Next weekend still a ways out. Nothing really interesting on the operationals. Cutters and other sheared-out messes. Ensembles have also lost a bit of the signal, so I think odds are against anything relevant for now. It will likely change.

Shitty ridge over Texas gives nothing any chance.