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Enjoy. I’ll be in nyc. Bf got selected for a modeling gig in NYC. I’m sacrificing. Sigh.

5 days shy of a month with snow on the ground, hoping it holds out until the 17th haha I think early 2014 was the last time I’ve had snow on the ground for this long

No said it was too early to say, mentioned maybe slushy couple inches before rain

Thanks

Did he show potential accumulations?.

I need more snow to be happy until next year!

Didn’t know there was a chance for snow but Tommy T showing euro with snow IMBY Sunday night

But he said the CAD was underdone, which would lend credence to the ptype it was showing. Also, the physics based models have all started to say the same thing, lending even more credence to the AI solution.

I'm dying.

The LP is a weakling. Not gonna work in this setup with marginal cold. A couple inches in the favored areas looks to be the upside.

verification scores on the placement of global 500mb anomalies don't mean much for events like this. None of these models are verified based on ptype

Gfs is a Loudoun Special. I’m back in.

Could be a hot summer nationwide with such dry soils everywhere

You said it was fools gold but then said the NWS was wrong and the CAD was underdone. But if the CAD was underdone then it gives more credence to the Euro AI solution vs the rainier physics based model solutions. Your two posts together make no sense. Lastly, the Euro AI has the highest verification scores on the planet right now. So your comment about it not being ready for primetime makes no sense to me either.

colorado is desperate for snow and warm....

Does AI understand we have glaciers hanging around and accounts for that (colder temp) or it has nothing to do with it and I'm a idiot? 33F

nj.com has a piece today on the lack of rain; north jersey is under drought conditions. they need the snow to melt and feed the reservoirs. and we need rain, snow, sleet whatever we can get...

can you put your profile picture back man, sorry but i don't like this one

HAARP

Wow

Yep. Gfs isnt good with phasing.

Like @psuhoffmansaid it's probably a 20% chance, there is definitely a chance it's just not a great chance. In the past having the Euro and GFS in your camp almost guaranteed it.

naw have to reproduce more some how

It wouldn’t be shocking—but if you look at the soundings, we’re barely isothermal, which leaves us no room for error.

It’s better than 12zee