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  2. At this point just need to hope the euro has a handle on this and adjusts west over the next 48 hours. It's possible.
  3. Yep models might be confused on which low to work with .
  4. Rgem looks way better than the Nam and looks decent.
  5. Pick your choice there’s 17 lows lol models are getting more confused as we get closer
  6. I don't know what's going on but this is the second night in a row I've had house-shaking wind roaring down the holler. Wild and weird.
  7. looks very close to the 18Z euro at 84 Ha - pretty much https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/dec-26-27-2010
  8. 1-2” back to Nashville, 3-4” plateau, 5-6” around Knox, 6-8+ up in NETN
  9. The 0z RGEM develops the lead low. Not surprisingly, it exits well south and east of the region. The earlier run developed the trailing low.
  10. One thing Ive noticed is the models are having a very hard time figuring out where this surface low consolidates. The rgem has literally 6 different LP mins simultaneously. Precip shield will respond to whichever it can consolidate around, but I doubt there will be 6.
  11. Welp the lake effect is no longer in the room with us. Barely any modeled anymore.
  12. Wow, am I the senior statesman? 55 years in RVA, specifically, the Tuckahoe area, with a break in the Fan and sometime in Glen Allen and Goochland for two years. I still think this has some legs, but I am a glutton for punishment.
  13. RGEM with stronger ridging over the West Coast. Trof has a bit more negative tilt to it also.
  14. What’s the status? I can’t read back. Good trends?
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