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WB 6Z EURO AI no change.

With almost all ENS leaning west with some really tucked and strong SLP’s even more west. It’s odd to me that every OP is skirting this off the coast and exit stage right.

Thank you and yep about to go to the dealer for when they open.

Yes

Yep, the same low 100 miles east of Nantucket instead of 100 miles east of s DMV would give e MA what this model run gives Norfolk (30" snow). A track up towards Long Island and then over the islands and cape, with those pressures and air masses, would be a BECS like 1888. Or maybe it stalls where the Bliz of 78 stalled. Of course maybe none of the above, but I think this early in the winter season a block and a right turn are not realistic, that is March into April sort of weather.

Even without a direct hit it would snow for everyone

Wow big jump west by the 6z GEFS. The mean shows a nice hit for a lot of the area.

6z mean isn't bad. Better than 0z.

Kind of an occluded mess on models. Although the precip arc would have the goods.

Riding it^

I believe the chart I had was shared by a meteorologist on X more familiar with the westhernext suite, so I’ll see if I can find that.

Confidence growing for a light to moderate event across central NC. Still relying on early phasing for the higher totals (6" +)

.5 after the 8pm clearing, 17.3" total for the storm

This is guaranteed to get me weenied but I want to see a storm as bad as most of you but can a sub-980mb please not verify because that would be insane for this time of year and be a huge problem.

this one seems like a southeast special. 6Z stalls off the Carolinas then heads ENE, squat for our area, need negative tilt and there isn't any. clock is starting to become a factor on this one.

Yes but don’t want we want some kind of supports? I don’t think we have any at the moment, could be wrong

To be clear the GFS does not show it heading for Nova Scotia, it's going due east towards the Azores. But I figure the eventual solution will be a direct hit on New England anyway. You drive all that arctic air into the eastern Gulf and Florida, it's going to rocket north like the 1993 superstorm or the 1899 blizzard did. These rare intrusions of extreme cold into those latitudes are supportive of explosive cyclogenesis. So is the tidal energy of full moon (Feb 2-3). This thing has huge storm written all over it. (my mind is doing a Jebwalk)

How do u know they get worse?

19”

Thursday will be the day just like the past storm. Data gets injested and things go from good to worse.

6z GFS is a hit!

Still 6 days out, but I think this might be the best scenario, with RI, Eastern Mass having the best shot at snow. Again, 6 days out and plenty time for change.

I've gotta turn off auto correct because it's messing up every post. Idiot tech people.