Jump to content

All Activity

This stream auto-updates

  1. Past hour
  2. Dew of -4 hopefully we can keep temps down later.. NAM kind of tame compared to the HRRR.. HRRR has a bunch.more qpf.. guess we see how this trends
  3. A balmy -2.7 this morning. Most will be basking in the 40's and 50's before long.
  4. This winter is nothing like the other 2020's winters that everyone has PTSD from. Just look at how December has behaved. But don't only look at that. Look at how we're rolling forward into January now on the heels of that. Look at the big picture. It's true there is a stemwinder set to visit the great lakes region in the near term. There are blizzard warnings in the upper midwest stretching into the lakes. At the same time, there's blocking out in the Atlantic. It's been a long time since we've been faced with anything like what's going on. Reach back into your memory banks and recall that a stemwinder into the lakes, while there is blocking in the Atlantic, is the classic way to achieve a good old fashioned west based NAO block. Which is starting to become more clearly visible on the EPS now. While that's happening, the Pacific block which had been very persistent, is broken down due to a fortuitous Pacific jet extension. Which results in Aleutian troughing that forces a period of +PNA. Then even at the very end of this loop, look at what is happening. The Pacific pattern starts to retrograde. That is going to act to pull the +PNA ridging west and up into Alaska and beyond all of this we'll probably transition to a -EPO from there. Which you can start to make out on this loop with the height rises happening over Alaska, but also the falling heights in Canada and Hudson Bay. That would coincidently also be consistent with how weekly guidance is currently rolling all of this forward as well. Which, by the way, with this configuration if we did indeed follow that roadmap. We'd likely reload Canada with the arctic again. Plus we'd end up faced with a 500mb pattern which is the precursor to a PV split. Eyes wide open.
  5. Got down to 8 this morning.. I see orange is -1 fake cold
  6. Six degrees on my car thermometer and it runs warm. FYI roads are pretty icy in spots.
  7. I just hope we get some glaze on top of the snow before we warm
  8. 6z Gfs (days 8-9) is a perfect example of a wasted block. But this run is so different from 0z, it's beyond entertainment and fantasy.
  9. Today
  10. 7F here. On December 2nd it didn't get above freezing. Feezing rain for a few hours.
  11. Any sun is not happening for Sunday, according to NWS and TWC/Wunderground. Can expect the high of 66 to be a nighttime high.
  12. Down to 3F in the valley in Eastern CT, a little concerned that cold air here will be hard to erode. Hoping we warm nicely today
  13. If I had an inch for every "potential" in the last decade my house would be buried under 30 feet of snow drifts. Latest EPS looks really good though, not gonna lie
  14. Nothing says Chicagoland winter better than wintery temps without wintery precipitation. Early December was a fun time but now we’re at real winter.
  15. Down to 3F here in Eastern CT, wasn’t expecting to be this cold
  16. Almost every part of the state now has either or both, broken a max daytime or overnight high minimum temp record this week. Amarillo & El Paso are also included looking at Nexlab data. Amarillo has broken both daytime high and overnight high minimum temp records this week. And so has some cities in ETX/SETX, like College Station and Tyler. Also, Texarkana has set a new all-time record high for December this year.
  17. I'm not upset at you at all . The frustration is strictly over the weather....
  18. 8F here. I wonder if the cold air gets trapped like December 2nd. It never got above freezing.
  19. Legit upper air pattern incoming and a bunch of chances to track. That’s really all we should be taking from models this far out. Specifics of a given threat is pointless at this range. If models hold this look for the next week, we have reason to get excited.
  20. MWN +19 and First Lake -14 tells you how fake the cold is.
  21. I really love that Dec 16-17, 2020 blizzard. Getting a 12"+ snowstorm during December is exceedingly rate probably the only time in my life I've seen one around here. Despite those 35-45" reports from that death band I was more than happy with what we got. And those gravity waves at the end were cool as sh*t.
  22. Our area had a sweaty 80 high today.
  1. Load more activity
×
×
  • Create New...