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Engagement bait

Stepped outside just now and noticed a few flurries. Looked at the radar and noticed the infamous Bays Mtn. Snow band has set up!! I’m not sure if it ever got going last year? At any rate, sure enough there she be!

Our bedroom faces NW. I think this wind is the loudest I have heard in quite a while. The younger Ms. J said while driving back home today on our street she saw a street lamp blown down.

57 at 12 noon and 32 11 hours later so 12 hour 25+ degree drop mega front i may have a 20 year furniture toss on back patio . Something big sustained as one is upright stil but moved 6 feet and another tossed about 10 and more scatter

Good rates, wind relentless.

After a balmy high of 58 this afternoon, the Triad has crashed down into the 20s with a ferocious wind

Like a PRE in a tropical set up?

Ok peeps DT from wxrisk. Just posted this on Facebook.. he must see something lol FWIW!!! Here's what he said... "If You Like Cold & Snow on the East Coast you REALLY Need to Get The NEXT 3 WEEKS Newsletter !" I'm taking it with a grain of salt.. lol

11 with light snow and LOTS of wind in Wolf. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk

15 degrees with SN. Looking at the deck and you’d think it wasn’t snowing because the wind is blowing it all over but it looks like a snow globe. Gusts to the 40s right now.

Yeah. It was a very odd year for spinups.

December 2025 is likely to be the lowest Winter month NAO (DJFM) since Dec 2010! 15 years! With -NAO projected for the start of Jan, it's also looking more likely that we'll have the lowest -NAO Winter (DJFM) since 10-11. We need to beat -0.24 Winter average for that to happen.

I've found that deep 500mb patterns are reversing year-to-year, at a much greater rate than random, 8x more likely to be a pattern than random. Jan 15 - Feb 5 last year had a +200dm Aleutian/GOA ridge. I was saying in the Summer, that period, Jan 15-Feb 5 could have a negative anomaly in that position.

Both Feb 2013 and Jan 2015 were modeled to have some sort of stall and loop. While the stalls never materialized, even if they took place the 50” spots would be extremely localized. You’d need to maximize both the initial extreme banding (i.e what was over CT in Feb ‘13) and a CCB type element of the storm, and THEN cash in on the stall via some sort of deformation or decaying mid level banding training over a thin slice of longitude amid what would likely be a shredded occluded mess of a precip shield. Like Will said, for a storm with more widespread biblical totals you’d need a predecessor phase of the event like the overrunnning he mentioned.

periodic flurries here in Staunton (headed back to DC tomorrow) - cold.

Good question I’m not entirely sure how they are made, combination of radar estimate and ground reports possibly. There were plenty of 6-7” reports around the metro that this map doesn’t reflect.

BWI 10 consecutive hours gusts 35*. Rough drive down 95 south last hour

In this day and age, I will gladly take any snowfall and be happy. I am not getting any younger. LOL However snowfall brings the kid out in me.

Although I didn’t live in New England at the time, I actually stayed up here during the Feb 2013 storm, not so far from where I’m now located. And I could’ve sworn the snow was supposed to last until midday, but I remember it ending early morning, maybe mid morning at the latest. Can’t complaint though, it was around 27” or so. I think there’s a reason why Feb 1978 is considered one of a kind… you got 50” totals in northern RI. That kind of thing just doesn’t happen in non-LES, non-alpine areas. I think March 2001 was also expected to do the loop between NJ and SNE and bring some astonishing totals to a few lucky spots.

More bark than bite here. Just some light snow blowing in the breeze

Down to 25.5° off a high of 35.5°. Pretty icy. With a little skiff of snow to make the ice even slipperier.

That means you didn’t spend enough time in the stores lol, we hit every store on 5th and worked up a sweat. It really wasn’t windy until we got off the train back on the island.