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Definitely copium but we are leaving the AIFS's reliable range

In other news just took my dogs and garbage out and there is thunder and lightning.

Go to bed

Unreal how many times were mid decent trend in the right direction at 18z euro wise, then it just goes way in the tiger direction at 0 with the ai and parent.

I may just say uncle if this storm Sunday does anywhere close to what some models are projecting... Anyways here is that last few weeks of TAO subsurface some interesting motions taking place. Rather than this reconfiguring the subsurface this just looks like a 'burp' of warmer waters for now as we head into spring and summer. Oceanic and atmospheric things are not aligned and look to be even further apart from each other over the next few weeks to months.

I wonder if the GFS is once again way overdoing the qpf like it did for the 1/25 storm. Some runs had 3”+ of qpf at ATL just a few days in advance but they ended up with only 0.85”. If so, it would likely gradually reduce it from run to run.

Why trash anyone? Let it go.

take your time. SV initialized at 12:13. I won't step on your pbp. plus we always have maps at the end. Godspeed young man

AIFS out? That’s a wrap.

Yes we do care about HR. We have gotten the shaft all winter. Need some love. Running out of storms this winter.

0z GEFS snow

AIFS no good. Tick east

Meant to respond further up sorry

Aren’t you guys well above your average and sometimes have winters with no snow at all? I get being frustrated though I always want more snow .

And how do you define brand new? I joined in 2020. Are you confused as to what brand new means?

Euro AI running

What? I’m not talking about Hampton Roads or specific locations. What I’m saying is that models “showing a blizzard for HR that never materialized last time” is irrelevant to this current storm.

FYI I don't have access to SV so PBP will be a bit more slow. Here are a few things to expect: 1. I'm a JV PBPer. Like I'm the benchwarmer for the benchwarmer. 2. This means I may get things wrong. I will try to be as accurate and as "making sure I'm right" as possible, but I may slip through the cracks. 3. If the Euros are bad don't blame me, I'm the messenger!

Lake Effect King still participate?

That I plan too, just felt like voicing a very valid opinion.

A little harsh, tri…we’ve all been there.

Trashing everyone or just the whiny babies? Being a little dramatic, just like some of the overactive posters?

Welcome and carry on then

Then take the good with the bad. You are always going to have whining here. And not everyone defines it the same way.