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I may head out and travel 20 or 30 miles N to see if I can't catch a tail end Charlie pop up as this potent 700mb shortwave works its way NE out ahead of the main line. That thing strengthened out of nowhere.
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agreed, wish it wasn't in such a radar hole, but very impressive mid-level meso eta: warned now!
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yea I'm not confident this survives into the metros either.- 494 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
high risk replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Impressive storms indeed. Just not very well-timed for us. Hoping that the line well to our west can maintain itself in some form into our area, but the CAMs don't love that idea.- 494 replies
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
93F/DP 75F Delightful.... -
Developing Edina MO cell looks like a candidate for a long-lived supercell. Got that kidney bean shape.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Pretty incredible storms near Pittsburgh. Radar showing 60-65kt winds about 1,000 foot off the surface just north of the city.- 494 replies
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Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Models have virtually nothing tomorrow -
97 for a high so far. They “benefitted” from getting very little rain yesterday.
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Yep
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actually these don't appear that impressive. there's not much shear organization. More pulse variety.
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Pittsburgh PA Summer 2026 Thread
Eskimo Joe replied to TheClimateChanger's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Looks like they lost power in the terminal. -
It sucks out there for sure. I am staying in the house.
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Cheshire Village area down there
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Pittsburgh PA Summer 2026 Thread
Eskimo Joe replied to TheClimateChanger's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Very impressive velocity signatures across Allegheny County. 911 centers probably pretty busy right now. That second line coming through Ohio is getting beefier. -
94 with heat index of 108
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sangamon county is in the watch. springfield can't be in the watch if sangamon county isn't.
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Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Wiz should head to Meriden -
Friday is kind of Slight or nothing with that CAPE. Where it goes it'll go fast. Only reason for a marginal is placement of initiation; otherwise, should go from shower to severe quickly. Wind will be the main threat though. MRX has some concern about a boundary draped across the region. Winds will mostly be veered off which keeps the threat straight. However any boundary cooking in June can do things right where the SRH is locally higher. Then if the boundary is on the Upper Plateau, we know what can happen. While SPC omits 2% MRX leaves the door cracked. (AFD not map) Red line is mine. Keep it broad north of Tenn. I'm less familiar with the terrain.
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In the last 10 min we broke 100 at my house and peaked at 100.1 currently fluctuating between 99.4 and 99.9. First 100 reading of the year and I fear it won’t be the last
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Pittsburgh PA Summer 2026 Thread
Mailman replied to TheClimateChanger's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
53mph at the airport, I see. -
True ...I haven't heard any news breaking out of that area tho so it might not have resulted as awesome as that scabby bowed radar looked. These rad products...I swear they're getting goosed for marketing click bate. That thing's rad Rembrandt looked like an atmospheric tsunamis of hail, rain ... leaves and roofing shingles on the leading edge of a-bomb p-wave.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
midatlanticweather replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Mesoscale Discussion 1091 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0202 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026 Areas affected...the Mid-Atlantic into southern New York and southwestern New England Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 111902Z - 112100Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorm development is expected this afternoon across the mid-Atlantic northward into southern New York and southwestern New England. Severe wind gusts and hail are possible with the strongest storms. DISCUSSION...Some deeper convective attempts are underway this afternoon across portions of the mid-Atlantic, particularly in southern New York as of 1900z. This development is occurring in a warm, unstable airmass with surface temperatures in the upper 80s and lower 90s F and MLCAPE values around 2000+ J/kg. The 18z ALB/Albany, NY sounding sampled the northern periphery of this airmass (along the CAPE gradient) with 0-6-km shear of 24 kts. This has supported some sporadic, more organized thunderstorm development recently. As the afternoon progresses, diurnal heating should support additional thunderstorm development across the region. Furthermore, a mid-level impulse in eastern OH -- influencing the ongoing convection in WW312 -- will continue moving eastward and should provide additional support for convective initiation and maturation. Bulk shear is expected to remain generally in the 15-25 kt range which, amidst forecast large MLCAPE around 2500-3000 J/kg, will promote strong updrafts capable of producing wind gusts and hail. Uncertainty remains as to how much convection will develop and coalesce/strengthen in the short term, but trends will continue to be monitored for possible watch issuance this afternoon. ..Flournoy/Gleason.. 06/11/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...AKQ...CTP...LWX... LAT...LON 39937855 42097738 42657579 42777436 42337326 41237290 40177310 37717495 37397648 37777765 38937842 39937855 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN- 494 replies
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