All Activity

Thanks for this, Ray. Very educational--good luck with the call. Actually, I hope your call of the first system likely to be suppressed is off and we get clobbered.

I like our position after the morning runs significantly more than before them last night. Seeing the Euro and Euro Ai together with positive steps from the CMC and GFS is very good.

More like 48 hours before.

Out working in RI in the Exeter/North Kingston area and eye balling 5-7” of heavy wet snow @The 4 Seasons5” in Brooklyn, 4” last night and 1” from the am; nothing on Saturday

After all that whining and complaining and calling the storm off completely, he pulls a near warning event you feelin better yet? cuz we aint done yet

EPS came slightly south. In a good spot overall, with ice being the primary limiting factor for a higher end event for now.

A run for James.

Squash city again on GFS. Le sigh

Finished with 0.72” yesterday which was a nice surprise given the severe drought we are now in

Looks like pure zzzzs after the midweek duster

6z GFS almost has a 50/50 low.. We have a strong composite in our biggest snowstorms for DC/Balt for negative 500mb anomalies in the 3 areas I marked with a black line. In the last few days it's come a little closer. We need that Great Lakes trough to trend south or SW.

That's one heck of an ice storm for the whole southern states

Magnolia Delaware Extended forecast as of now shows possible Saturday 1-3". Sunday 1-3". I like the conservative forecast till Thursday and see how things shake up. One thing to remember is the GFS showed this past storm to be suppressed before the other models. If I'm not mistaken I did not see the 1050H on any of the current maps.

about 3 or so.. mod fluff coming down now

Around 8 inches of cement. Over 100k without power here in Nova Scotia at this hour. Yore !

If you get a chance, take a look at the Cfs2 on Tropical Tidbits. It has the fun going thru March.

How reliable is the AIGFS when it comes to Qpf?? .

It holds the sw vort back so it's just overrunning and that can't come north. Though 6z run did weaken the Midwest high pressure.

WB 6Z GFS is still south but further north than 0Z.

Looks like around 5 inches out there. I was a bit worried yesterday afternoon, but fortunately looks like the storm played out as expected here. Plowable snow + Pats W, what a weekend!

6z GFS is continuing to do one of these things.. it's at least showing significant southern jet stream energy, which is something we haven't seen for several months.

The fact the one gfs shows a cutter and the other one shows surpressed tells you all you need to know about America’s long term flagship model future

chatgpt list of the coldest places in hell

This might be a big dog…. Snow breaking out at 12z Saturday. .