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The SOI has crashed. -33 today. The 30 day average is now negative

0z GFS is legit zero rain for the entire forum through the entire run

These charts are all posted upthread. All the adjustments come directly from the raw data. As an example, easy to see the impact of the two Coatesvile moves in 1946 and 1948. Easy for most people that is. 1945 site 1948 and later site

Same.. I was constantly outside when I was a kid and never got one.. now it seems everytime I hike and go in the woods I get them.

Actually, the last plowed snows were back on 3/18 and it's been above freezing almost every day since. I'm surprised and unhappy how stubborn the piles at work have been. And they were mostly just from the winter 2.0 that we got between 3/13-18. The ground being very frozen helped that. Open water on our lake in Harrison just happened maybe a week ago - that has boosted the mood after looking at solid ice for months. My golf buddy near Mackinaw had 40" of snow from those back-to-back storms. Last weekend his place was still snow covered while I played an early first round in Clare. He's tired of winter too.

Another big swing in temps coming up....I'll take rain and 50s any day. 39F at 1:30am...thinking 35-ish will be the low.

Impressive! We haven’t had piles since some time in February down here.

Add to those using a peak of 2+ RONI for 1950+: 1888-9, 1957-8, 1965-6, 1972-3, 1991-2

What a sad existence

Grew up in a very wooded neighborhood with a mountain very nearby with thousands of acres of forest…always was in the woods, and high grass, never had a tick ever on me, or my sister, or my friends. I guess we were just dam lucky.

10M+ households ain't terrible

When you look at those piles in winter it always feels like it’ll take forever for them to melt but they do go fast once you get to this time of year. I bet even the ones in Grayling will be gone next week.

Nice evening. 50° and breezy.

Full sun and 60 degrees today - drifts are finished - down to plow piles. At work in Grayling some of those are taller than a pick-up truck tho.

Sacrilege

No one watches or cares about the women

I’m encouraging these guys to take care of them

RDU officially hit 32 this morning, which is actually a day later than normal for the last 32 reading of the season. Actually impressed the airport got to freezing, after the extended heat of the past month+

"Summer-like warmth arrives early next week. Highs well into the 60s to the lower 70s Mon and potentially 80+ Tue. Duration of warmth is uncertain, with backdoor cold front lurking nearby midweek. Other than a few brief showers possible at times...dry weather dominates" What's not to like?

Fypfy

A warming trend is commencing. Temperatures will return to the 60s tomorrow. The warmth will extend into the weekend. It could turn even warmer next week with temperatures peaking near or even above 80° during Tuesday through Thursday. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.2°C for the week centered around April 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.25°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged 0.00°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring. The SOI was -32.74 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.247 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 79% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 56.5° (2.8° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.5° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

Not good when so many areas are in drought, or near drought conditions.

Hilo, Hawaii is under an Ashfall Warning! https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=HFO&wwa=ashfall warning

All these folks that have ticks. How often do you get the yard sprayed?

Get ready 2 torch