All Activity

Temperatures will top out in the lower and middle 60s through midweek. A stronger push of cold air could arrive afterward. Cool temperatures will likely persist through next weekend. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.6°C for the week centered around October 15. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.15°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.47°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue through mid-winter. The SOI was +7.60 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.132 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 67% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 58.6° (0.7° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.7° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

My high school was built on it and is sinking a few inches every decade lol. They are havens for mosquitoes and other awful biting insects. I think if we exterminated mosquitoes and these other biting flies from the planet no one would ever miss them. Aside from draining the swamps, what else can be done? Spraying of pesticides? But that has its own issues.

Wetlands are, but not the ones in our area (especially not the ones near where people live).

Local PWS is at 0.99” for the day. I need a hundredth.

Solid dousing of rain

I picked 3 medium sized bell peppers, 1 banana pepper, a handful of cherry tomatoes and 3 regular tomatoes today. Still some green ones left on the vines and flowers blooming. The lack of sun probably prevents much new growth . But with zero cold anywhere in sight.. summer marches on .

The wetlands are some of the most important ecosystems on the entire planet.

Still haven't even been in the 30's here. Looks like another mid November or later first frost for BDR.

a little surprised by this because it’s more of a strong-storm induced cooler airmass, not canadian-sourced arctic air

It's 91/66 an sure enough I am outside clearing brush like a common inmate such as Cool Hand Luke, except I am not very cool, and it is sure not cool outside. Hell goes on in south Texas. Us getting down to average lows like 57 degrees is a RARITY. We are averaging 10-13 degrees ABOVE avg for lows. No end in sight, it will continue hot and humid likely right into November, and absolutely no RAIN for the foreseeable future. Fuels such as grass and scrub are drier than a proverbial popcorn fart. One spark and the entire state goes up and me with it. What a relief! I can't work in this hot dry torrid environment. This part of the world is CURSED. No doubt about it. Its deep Autumn everywhere but south Central Texas where HELL SUMMER reigns supreme. That subtropical high is made of steel and all other weather systems just bounce off it. Its the Ultimate Klingon Anti Rain and Anti Cold Front Shield.

Climo wins again. Models were suggesting no frost here until November but we'd never made it past October 20th in the last 60 years. Sure enough, 34 and a heavy frost this morning.

Marshes prevent flooding and are home to many important species. They should be tearing houses down that were built on them, not the other way around.

Recorded only .01” What a tremendous bust.

Euro drops like 20" of rain in DC lol

One thing I noticed when it's extremely hot and dry, the mosquitos hide in the shade and come out much later in the day just before the sun sets. Or they come out when you're watering your plants lol.

Marshes are awful, it's why we call them swamps. I'm hoping one of these days they'll chop down the tall grass and get rid of this excess water. There are tsetse flies in there (they cause sleeping sickness). 42 inches sounds right around what I'd expect for rainfall. I always thought a more tropical climate begins with around 50 inches of rain, like what the Gulf Coast receives.

Natural Gas Futures Surging as Weather Models Shift Dramatically Colder Daily Gas Price Index Markets Report Natural Gas Prices Having trended substantially colder over the weekend, weather forecasts were in the driver’s seat Monday morning as natural gas futures mounted substantial early gains. ———— This is referring to colder 2 week forecasts, which is typically what NG reacts mainly to. They don’t normally react in a substantial way to updated winter forecasts.

Up to .86”. We might be able to squeeze out an inch.

By "wireless" we mean the connection between the outside unit and the inside console. The console is still powered by AC with battery backup.

JFK averaged 41.79” from 1970 to 2002. Same old story of the thunderstorms weakening before reaching the South Shore. Didn’t notice much difference in the insects growing up back in Long Beach away from the marshes between the wetter and drier summers. But the marsh areas always had a very high number of mosquitos.

1.3 will Do it.

wow almost everyone averages less than the city lol, even Newark, LGA and White Plains. the average must have been even lower during the 80s when I grew up, do you know the 51-80 and 61-90 averages? 45 inches sounds much more normal to me and probably around 42 inches when I was growing up.

an advantage of wired stations is that they update much more frequently. and you can power them with an electrical outlet and not have to use batteries.

JFK averages less than NYC. As the best frontal convergence is usually to the west. The heaviest amounts from 2003 to 2024 were at NYC and New Brunswick. The greatest difference between JFK and NYC is during the warm season with the sea breeze fronts to the west of JFK. 2003 to 2024 annual average rainfall NYC….52.71” NBW….51.96” EWR….48.86” LGA…..48.04” HPN….46.81” ISP…….46.70” JFK……45.09” May to October NYC…28.79” JFK….23.70” November to April NYC…..23.98” JFK……21.38”

we have that nasty exotic mosquito disease now too. I didn't see all these mosquitos in June and July when we were baking, they seem to come out of nowhere now. I wonder what got them going in October and not before this? Or maybe I didn't notice them when it was very hot and they were hiding in the shade lol