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Pollen can give children life long illnesses. It is legit

Machine learning to improve snow liquid prediction or SLR https://waterdesk.org/2026/05/machine-learning-snow-to-liquid-ratio/

May 2026 PDO: -1.76 MAM 2026 ONI: +0.5 MAM 2026 RONI: -0.1 Eric Webb finally updated his page: https://www.webberweather.com/ensemble-oceanic-nino-index.html He considers 2025-26 to be a weak la nina, and 2024-25 to be a 'maybe weak la nina' (borderline cold neutral/weak la nina), and lowered the strength of 2011-12, 2021-22, and 2022-23 to weak la nina (had previously been considered moderate), and upgraded 1892-93 to a strong la nina.

Haha, your entire house is masked up with those window ventilators. All jokes aside, you do live in a heavily wooded areas. I know it’s the same up in the woods at the family lakehouse in Woodstock… trees overhang everything and cover it in pollen.

Absolutely, any chance I get to air the house out with fresh air, I take it. You Absolutely sleep better too!

I could be down for a ring of fire pattern. Tis the season is the reason.

there's been a signal for about a week now, favoring next week for a ridge to poke up into the region. i wouldn't say it'll be a heat-wave, but it looks to be deep summer-like.

Will never , ever wear a mask for anything

Mask up.

82 for the high today. 90s until Monday, a day in the mid 70s, then back to AN for as long as the eye can see.

Yep. As much as it sucked it's good we got the rains over Memorial Day Weekend. Here on out we rely on daytime T-storms or whatever organized T-storms, or tropical system which will be rare during this oncoming very strong Nino. Lawns will be crispy in a few weeks.

Torch incoming?

It's locked in. Just like the wet period this month, I've got a good feeling.

pine peaked here a few days ago..seems a bit better today

Falls lake is falling about 18” a month right now, and over last 3 days the rate has increased from about .5 to .7” a day

What an awesome day! Felt almost cool in the shade with the breeze. Probably the last day like this until September.

A warming trend is now underway. Tomorrow should see temperatures top out in lower 80s and perhaps middle 80s. Friday and Saturday will be very warm days with highs in the upper 80s and lower 90s. Should Central Park reach 90°, 2026 would become the first year on record that New York City had a high of 80° or above in March and highs of 90° or above in April, May, and June. Saturday will remain warm before somewhat cooler air arrives to conclude the weekend. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.0°C for the week centered around May 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.90°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -34.80 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.384 today.

Finally got a solid storm (and hail that was appreciably small) today. My yard was due after all the storms spinning up all around me the last week or so.

Where's my invite?

You didn't post h5 for Feb. The time for an east coast historic blizzard. +PNA, -EPO and -NAO.

it might be but this isn't

Well the NAM is discontinued

Yeah... it's the yellow shit. I think that's pine ?

Getting hot for couple days this weekend and then quickly back into 70’s for highs. 2003 and 2015 prominent analogs

I'd watch for models to continue speeding up with the timing. There certainly could be a bit cutoff though within SNE where WOR is favored. Seeing the 18z NAM come in even quicker is something to watch...typically the NAM can be too slow.