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Pretty solid GEFS/EPS clustering from 06z runs. Not a bad look verbatim for the most hated subsection of the forum.

Ok, I need someone to make a case for me explaining why I'm not going to get at least 6 inches of snow in Chesapeake/Virginia Beach.

Getting a new cutting edge tomorrow!

Our location is sooo close to something or nothing. Gotta stay vested at least until Saturday.

I noticed a subtle trend with that too. The vortmax may dig for oil just the same, but if we can tick everything a little west we can swing the system closer our way as it gains latitude. I’d like to see some of the late suppression over New England back off a bit late week to help the heights recover over the weekend.

Yes. I just was thinking the same thing.

The closer to the spine of the Apps that one lives and north of I40.....that is the sweet spot for now. BTW, that is not me. I am roughly in the same boat as Knoxville in hoping for storm trends. I am on the far west side of TRI.

Great video of the ice floes in the Hudson.

This is great discussion, but the info from late last night’s runs aren’t included

BUT - still have to consider this old saying "Every Dog has its Day"

Truth be told it's all going to depend on where the cyclogenesis sets up off of the coast along with where and how much the moisture draws. The $64,000 question.

hopefully the weather model is better than the spell checker for Winter Srorm Gianna

I watched a weather video last night and the synopsis was that the low isn’t wrapping up or phasing with the sub tropical jet therefore it’s as it is being pulled east

For sure...This is too finesse for my liking. It may well work out, but the cutoffs for this are going to be rough for some folks. Very steep gradient between snow and no snow in some areas. Just kind of has the feel of one that stops at the NC line w/ some light snow west of the Apps and heavy snow to the East. DC to NC snow axis is generally good in E TN. Hatteras to Boston has given me many headaches.

It’s all good .

Low of 2 in Sparta. Lots of variability in the lows. Walpack bottomed out at -17! They might do better than that in the next couple of nights.

Whether it's a NIna thing or not. It definitely matches up with what has been happening the past 5 years. As far as areas threatened.

Sorry...catching up overnight shenanigans, but what sticks out to me the most in this cinema above ...the trough bulk spatial positioning is bumping slowly W - as it really should - while noticing, the western ridge component of this total +PNAP flow orientation is wobbling but otherwise transfixed along roughly 110 W. That actually best teleconnects said eastern trough closer to 80W than the Del Marva/off the eastern seaboard during greatest amplitude. Basically... these things don't always come into reality in best fits. But, they due tend to at least shuffle closer to where they should be while doing so. This slow, albeit perhaps crucial bumping W with the trough is suitable.

CFS if I remember correctly was the first to show the warm nose in the last storm. Sent from my SM-S926U1 using Tapatalk

4” of snow this weekend and I’d give the winter an A. 6” and it’s an A+ and best in at least a decade.

Rug pull watch may be warranted later today.

I would not hate on a 6-8” snowfall here Sunday. (Although ratios would be lower than some of the fluff we’ve been getting this winter here)

Hopefully. This weekend is approximately duster event #9 for my area. At about 26-27" on the season. RFD lagging a bit at 23.9"

0.7". Thanks.