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  2. Ukie wide right & hook back, RRFS left hook into Delmarve and 3k NAM goes nuclear on the pressure. Agree completely!
  3. HWW here now. Would think that’s coming. Long Island could get the best winds out of all of us.
  4. At of today's runs so far I'd toss the RRFS, Ukie and 3k NAM
  5. Both are always conservative. When Ryan gets excited or posts you know it’s going to be something. .
  6. The jet stream has broken down in to some strange patterns today, with a north flow over the Great Lakes, south flow over the Rocky Mountains, blocking high over Quebec
  7. We’re wrapping up a trip down south. It’s been a chilly, breezy day. Ready to follow this storm home tomorrow night. Some interesting solutions on the table for this weekend.
  8. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  9. It's about 36hrs behind the capture of the low and retrograding it W compared to all the other models. I'd toss it.
  10. Death Valley Nat. Park July average is 117/91. On 7/1/26, when the norm is 115/89, the 107/87 was 5° BN. Touched 30 this morning, waiting on the weekend rain (assuming it's getting much this far north).
  11. If the Euro comes in strong…all these outlets will be upping their amounts…just like in the winter.
  12. I wonder if the NAM is having it's mid-winter moment wrt putting the low center over the convection which is closer to the coast? Most likely overdone but who can say for sure. The 3k is scary if you loop it. That deep low is taking a hard left at the end and hurricane force winds arent far off the coast.
  13. Sun has poked out in the last 30 minutes here, 59.0/50.2 with NE winds about 10 mph.
  14. WB 12Z RDPS and RRFS push rain west of 95 as well.
  15. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  16. CMC and GFS took a step towards the EE solution but it's crazy how far off they remain from the euro/icon/NAM. Euro leading the way would be quite the coup, no other model was even close at day 4.
  17. Not sure what it showed in prior runs. Here it is at hour 72 for example, now compare it with the western camps. It does inch it's way west eventually, but at that point the winds have very little bite left.
  18. upton too, although I think their 4pm update will be stronger.
  19. Notice how it gets deeper warm core at Z. That's the transition that is unusual. Something to watch
  20. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  21. Lol then why did I read online just now that the 12z ukmet came West.
  22. Yeah SSTs really drop off with northward extent and models don't seem to hang this over the Gulf Stream very long so I am shocked at how long guidance is maintaining this as a warm core system. Like Scott said this morning though, it terms of sensible weather this has really has very little impact on the sensible weather side of things. Maybe one thing it influences is the overall strength of the LLJ. If you're able to maintain a 70-75 knot LLJ and push that to the coast...would be some problems
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