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  2. Mesoscale Discussion 1101 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0638 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026 Areas affected...Southwest Lower Michigan...central and northern Indiana...far western Ohio and eastern Illinois. Concerning...Severe potential...Watch needed soon Valid 112338Z - 120115Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...A tornado watch will be issued within the hour east of tornado watch 313. DISCUSSION...Instability continues to increase across northern Indiana and into southern Michigan as the outflow boundary from earlier convection continues to modify/lift northward. South of this boundary, an environment similar to the 21Z ILX RAOB is present with near 4000 J/kg MLCAPE. Along and north of the boundary instability is more limited, but shear is very strong with 250 m2/s2 0-1 km SRH and strong low-level clockwise curvature per an 22Z RAOB launched by the Valparaiso University Meteorological Department in Valparaiso, Indiana. Along and south of this boundary, widespread damaging winds are likely along a squall line this evening. In addition, embedded QLCS tornadoes and occasional embedded supercell tornadoes will be possible through the evening given the presence of strong low-level shear. The last few runs of the HRRR hint at some pre-frontal convection ahead of the line across central/northern Indiana later this evening, likely in response to the strengthening low-level jet. It is uncertain whether this will occur, or have sufficient time to mature before being caught by the main squall line, but these storms could pose an additional supercell tornado threat later this evening. ..Bentley/Smith.. 06/11/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ILN...DTX...IWX...GRR...IND...LOT...ILX... LAT...LON 39568995 40378866 40948771 41958718 42708671 43028575 43028496 42878447 42168429 41088455 40078471 39638548 39258687 39568995 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-145 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
  3. Picked up another 0.11” so far today. Quite a different atmosphere compared to yesterday. It was 91/68 yesterday, right now it’s 63/50.
  4. 96 here, by far my hottest day this season.
  5. Man, your location might be underrated. You get the desert in the mid-Atlantic.
  6. Confirmed tornado in northern Kenosha. Missed me by a few miles. Video here: https://x.com/kenoareaweather/status/2065212739945934931?s=46 Absolutely beautiful storm though
  7. We don’t miss storms anymore lol. This one is super breezy. Just got home in time for the downpour portion.
  8. Storm tops already collapsing on that squall line south of Route 80.
  9. Pretty boring in my area of the South Hills, but that's no problem for me.
  10. Gonna need a downstream watch soon, environment in Michigan the storms are gonna be entering is juiced
  11. Line coming into Frederick.
  12. Iffy. It could end up morphing into something more disorganized, and be more spotty. Either way, doesn't look like a lot of rain, unless it manages to intensiify.
  13. Rather pronounced gust front from essentially the PA/MD line down to Middleburg, VA. Wonder if this ignites a fresh line or signals the end of the northern section of the storms?
  14. Really thin line of storms just approaching Harrisburg PA looks like 20 miles wide or less moving fast going to be interesting how they hold together after sunset as they approach the coast - just like the last few lines of storms in the previous weeks looks like the main threat is the winds in front of the storms passage
  15. Picked up 0.33" of rain yesterday, with a lot of sound and fury but not as much rain as expected but I take! Made it to 85 after a 67 low yesterday. Today it looks like I maxed at 94 just after 3 pm after a low of 71. Currently 89 with dp a horrid 77 and a STS was just lofted for the area (saw the line way out west and will see if it holds together) -
  16. In a severe warning. It’s not a severe storm. But spotty heavy rain (comes and goes) and fairly gusty winds (low 30s).
  17. Still 85 here and if I take my local WeatherBug app at face value, a dp of 74 as well. This is deep summer stuff for sure!
  18. BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 718 PM EDT Thu Jun 11 2026 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Eastern Washington County in north central Maryland... Northwestern Howard County in central Maryland... Western Montgomery County in central Maryland... Frederick County in north central Maryland... Western Carroll County in north central Maryland... Northwestern Stafford County in northern Virginia... Loudoun County in northern Virginia... Northeastern Orange County in central Virginia... Northwestern Fairfax County in northern Virginia... Southeastern Rappahannock County in northwestern Virginia... Fauquier County in northern Virginia... Culpeper County in northern Virginia... The City of Manassas Park in northern Virginia... Prince William County in northern Virginia... The City of Manassas in northern Virginia... East central Madison County in northwestern Virginia... The western City of Fairfax in northern Virginia... Eastern Clarke County in northwestern Virginia... Southeastern Jefferson County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... * Until 800 PM EDT. * At 716 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 8 miles west of Culpeper to near Delaplane to near Boonsboro to Greencastle, moving east at 40 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Emergency Management has reported many instances of trees down with this line of storms. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Germantown, Centreville, Frederick, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Reston, Leesburg, Hagerstown, South Riding, Herndon, Fairfax, Culpeper, Vienna, Damascus, Broadlands, Lansdowne, Lowes Island, Brambleton, Warrenton, and Thurmont.
  19. Sitting out back with my shorts fully rolled up, embracing the dews, rhodie bush war style has to be one of the most satisfying feelings across the realm of all human experience. #IYKYK
  20. That newer to cell to the south looks ready to drop the next big one
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