All Activity

100% correct!

Read this over the weekend... Consistent snow cover through the first 12 days of December has happened only four other times since 1938. Cleveland hasn’t seen bare ground since Thanksgiving, with snow remaining on the ground through every day of December so far — an early-season stretch that has happened only a handful of times in the city’s recorded history. Climate records from Cleveland Hopkins International Airport since 1938 show that Cleveland has had consistent snow cover from Dec. 1 through Dec. 12 in only four other years: 1958, 1974, 1976 and 2002. Snow-on-the-ground measurements come from a single site at Cleveland Hopkins Airport, where trace readings can occur even when substantial snow remains on the ground elsewhere in the region. The four Decembers that began with snow on the ground for all 12 of the month’s opening days did not all unfold the same way. In 1958, snow remained on the ground for nearly the entire month, finishing with 24 days of snow cover. In 1974, 1976 and 2002, snow lingered well into mid-December before warmer stretches briefly erased it, preventing those months from rivaling the most snow-dominant Decembers overall. In other words, an early lock-in doesn’t guarantee a snow-covered Christmas — but it does tilt December toward a more wintry-than-usual outcome. Historically, the most snow-dominant Decembers — measured by days with snow on the ground — include 1963 and 2010, when snow cover lasted 25 days, and 1958, 1989 and 2000, each with 24 days. But for those who feel like winter arrived early this year and never really loosened its grip, the data supports that impression — and shows just how rarely December begins this way.

Good on him. I could use some conditioning myself. I'm quite out of shape. Shovelling yesterday kicked my ass.

For those unaware, Jon has transformed his body and is in insanely great shape. He is ripped!

There you go antagonizing people again... Just kidding. I chuckled when I read this. And I see Sauss thought it was funny, too.

always got the 12z Euro AI which brings snow in Christmas eve

Wonderful day for a power outage

I’ve been exploring home snow makers so I can never experience a drought again

Bam wx update. I'm in!

That looks like a lock. Unfortunately if the PNA is still -2 to -3 that won't work, even getting it to 0 is ideal

He’s just sitting back…watchin’…waitin’…smilin’…

good thing they probably don't have many large trees in the northern Plains or upper-Midwest (or maybe they do...never been).

Yeah true. Hopefully enough pressure from a favorable MJO and Blocking will get rid of those flies in the Ointment. Once the Nina weakens the STJ should strengthen.

5.1 from the recent storm, 8.2 inches for the season. Highland Mills NY in Orange County. Thanks for doing this. Your stuff is great, we all appreciate all the time you put into this.

I disagree with this. There would be 100 posts just showing snow maps from 50 different models and then comparing changes in the snow maps to justify any trends and then the if game on how if a,b,c,d,e,f do this it has a chance.

This is 100% the problem. These posters look at every op run and get all upset and think it’s the final outcome. Then they make posts like “ the next 10 days look like garbage “ or 3 cutters thru day 10” . They aren’t able to understand that it’s not the final outcome or solution and so it affects their moods, behaviors , and posts.

Exactly. I don’t get it?

But you keep harping on these Op runs at 10 plus days out…and how bad they look. And yes, Brett, if they showed a blizzard, at 8-11 days out we’d take them just as insignificantly. As Steve said…op runs at those lead times are BS for sensible weather. Yet you continue to use them to push your disdain for the weather. It’s frigid. It’s been frigid. Yes, we got boned in the snow department…especially compared to basically everyone around us…but that shit happens bro. Maybe we make up for it going forward at some point. I know you don’t like to hear this, but it’s really not even winter yet. But That’s a fact.

Why are folks dissecting op runs .. especially at long range ?

After today DCA will be -10 for December with 16 consecutive below average days including Nov.

Here's the thing though. May not be true for other parts of the sub, but here in Wisconsin we can be solidly AA in Jan/Feb and it's still cold enough to snow. I'm firmly part of the camp who can do without the extended periods of barely cracking 10°F.

Another rainy New Years Eve!