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As usual has the screw southern wake co look. Don't even care at this point

Someone may get NAM’d tomorrow afternoon. It seemed to my faulty memory that secondary lows were common in the 70s and they were always good for a couple of inches.

It’s over. Above 32°.

From RAH. Improved storm signal but climo favors limited accumulation due to nature of cold chasing precip: Both deterministic and ensemble guidance of the GFS/ECMWF/CMC have gotten wetter, which has resulted in more ensemble members producing measurable snow. The best chance would be across the north. However, this is a case of cold air "chasing" the precipitation, which typically results in limited snowfall if any across our area. Still certainly worth monitoring.

A Nino with a -AO and possibly -NAO? Sign me up

The latest CANSIPS was indicating a possible modoki nino. That would increase our chances significantly.

Temp spiked to 35.9, a couple degrees above guidance. Some decent melting in sunny areas.

RGEM brings a widespread 3-5 on the south side. 2-4 across most all Hampton roads.

Of course, Kuchera will be more accurate, but that's still pretty sweet. I hope somehow Raleigh gets 3"+ just for the memes

Been seeing some crazy good skating on Sebago.

This was the post that did it for me. He has an unshielded max/min thermometer just sitting out in the middle of the tree farm. I mean of course it’s going to lose more heat at night.

Nice improvement at 500 mb on ICON, surface didn’t change much

Random stat alert... For the first time since the winter of 1978/79, Chicago has had average or above average snowfall in each month (Nov-Dec-Jan).

Poof ...and compaction begins.

RGEM bringing the goods now. Oh my lol

I went to a hoodie last week and no jacket this afternoon.

The snow in my yard where people have walked is now a solid ice glacier. If we suddenly had a day of heavy rain and temps in the upper 40's it would turn into an unmitigated street flooding diaster due to water having no where to go. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

We had highs in the mid teens.And we had lows at zero or negative for a week

Rgem has some 5-6 in totals now in northern Central NC!

I was referring to the ECMWF weekly maps in general. I prefer the ECMWF chart to vendors.

I for one am glad for the NHL going on break. Lord have mercy the Blues stink.

Don, Do you mean the WxBell 850 mb maps? What daily data are you referring to? Be careful with their 2m temp maps because I’ve been saying they’re colder than ECMWF’s in house data.

Out in just a grid fleece today, crazy how much one acclimatizes to the cold when it becomes truly significant with respect to the human body. Felt to me today at 34ish how 45 feels in a normal winter, just chilly.

Conversely, we are going to bust high. It’s nearly 50 here. After a low of 12 this morning.

@psuhoffman i know it might be a little early but if the Cansips is seeing a colder Canada for next winter(el nino), it could be an epic winter. Last nino--canada was a torch--next winter---we should be starting from a much better place