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We live on an island surrounded by water…

Yeah I’m selling on 104-106. 100 though seems possible

This looks fun for Thursday....

We just set the all-time 500mb height last June at 599 DM. So getting a ridge nearly this strong only a year later is pretty extreme. Several spots around the region made it to 100°. This time around the models are forecasting 850mb temperatures which will be several degrees higher around 22C to 23C. So there is a good chance that the usual warm spots from Central NJ to interior Queens will see 100° or higher heat next week with how unusually well the ensembles agree. Newark recently set their June all-time high of 103° back in 2021 which could be challenged. LGA recorded their 2nd highest June high temperature at 100°. Their all-time June high is 101° set in 2017.

lets frickin roast

Slight risk for Thursday…of course I won’t be around, instead I’ll be in Denver baking in 100 degree heat. I also managed to pick the deadest 3 day period for storms in Denver since storm season began, so no chasing like I was looking forward to. Oh well.

Euro ran way too high last year at range. GFS seems to have a high bias in the metro areas too.

While a bit warmer out than yesterday, 71. Just got myself a nice cup of tea and popped my slippers on. Also I know there are others on here with PWS in their yards. I have had my station reporting to Weather Underground for sometime now. But I finally was able to get my reporting set up for PWSWeather. It does not activate right away as it does quality checks of your station before making it active. But I have mine up and reporting now. You can find the link below in my signature. They have a handy App also for on the go.

Yeah, that is why I was confused a bit. I never noticed that either.

Pouring in Greenfield at the moment.

65/63 small droplet sheet rain nonstop since 11pm last night. Far cry from the 20% chance of showers that the NWS forecast was showing as late as 5pm yesterday.

all time june records are possible

Managed to get .24" from the scattered storms yesterday and early this morning, plenty for the garden.

Damn NAM...

I haven't watered at all this year. Not even my planting beds. And I'm cutting my grass every 5 days.

That MCV looks like a frickin' landcane on the 12Z 3K NAM. Too bad it can't be coming through 3-4 hours later.

keep dreaming snow bunnies

Is this what happened on 7/22/2011 when EWR got to 108?

Hey not only is the 6z Euro AI free (regular 6z Euro is locked on Pivotal and Tidbits takes forever) it also goes out to 360 hours. I don't know how I never noticed lol

Any break from the heat is good, I really hope the AI is right

2 days, as it has lower 70s on Friday, then back to 90s for 2 days

The updated CPC map (from yesterday) has us in an even higher probability contour. We gonna cook

Today was always modeled as a bit wet. Dry here so far but the warmth moves in a bit tomorrow but Thursday looks downright hot. Summer dew break Friday and Saturday and then we’re off to the races.

Dawn awakening.

It's on Pivotal, Euro-AIFS. Is that the Euro AI? It has 70s on its 06z run, but I'm not sure if that is the AI model?