ineedsnow Posted Thursday at 06:56 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:56 PM Hopefully the Euros trend north a bit before heading west.. on a side note Hawaii is having a great year.. some models at 12z hit the southern end then northern end now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted Thursday at 07:03 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:03 PM Hopefully LBSW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Masswx Posted Thursday at 07:16 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:16 PM If the euro is right it’s a nor meh ster not interested if it’s not gonna give me much 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Thursday at 07:23 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:23 PM 6 minutes ago, Masswx said: If the euro is right it’s a nor meh ster not interested if it’s not gonna give me much The exact evolution of this thing is still to be determined. And then the ultimate track is still up in the air. So ways to go on this thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Thursday at 07:33 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:33 PM Scooters boss @vortex95should really go wild overnight! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Thursday at 07:51 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:51 PM 27 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: The exact evolution of this thing is still to be determined. And then the ultimate track is still up in the air. So ways to go on this thing. I’ll slap some sense into him. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Thursday at 07:51 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:51 PM fwiw the 18z HRRR and 15z SREFS are pretty far south with the westward turn 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted Thursday at 07:54 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:54 PM . 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DirtySnowDen Posted Thursday at 08:08 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:08 PM The only difference is that was a lot more tropical in nature , but the high to the north is more potent, ergo the pressure difference will be the same, high-pressure placement will be key to “meh” to something a lot more significant, over the next day. The area of the low pressure’s location makes me wonder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Thursday at 08:10 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:10 PM LLJ looks a bit more robust on the 18z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Thursday at 08:12 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:12 PM a bit north of 12z but still loops it pretty far south 3K is further north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBudMan Posted Thursday at 08:13 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:13 PM 56 minutes ago, Masswx said: If the euro is right it’s a nor meh ster not interested if it’s not gonna give me much this is just straight up trolling Boris. Well done young padawan !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted Thursday at 08:16 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:16 PM 5 hours ago, dryslot said: This, Ruptured tendon, Partially torn tendon, Fractured hamate bone, Carpal tunnel surgery, Certainly wasn't going to be typing on a keyboard. Jessuss! You're a shoe in to take the Halloween contest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted Thursday at 08:17 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:17 PM Without detailing, seemingly a no-brainer. Power outages will be the greatest impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted Thursday at 08:19 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:19 PM 1 hour ago, ineedsnow said: Hopefully the Euros trend north a bit before heading west.. on a side note Hawaii is having a great year.. some models at 12z hit the southern end then northern end now.. Hopefully it goes west in Virginia. I don't need five effin' inches of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DirtySnowDen Posted Thursday at 08:26 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:26 PM If that high-pressure splits at the right time, it will “ dual-carb” the low with cold-ish water vapor off the North Atlantic, whilst also not allowing a clear “path of least resistance.” Hence the Fujiwara effect all models have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Thursday at 08:31 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:31 PM both NAMS are so far south most of us get less than a half inch of rain lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DirtySnowDen Posted Thursday at 08:33 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:33 PM 2 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: both NAMS are so far south most of us get less than a half inch of rain lol Do we trust the NAM this far out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Thursday at 08:34 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:34 PM Just now, DirtySnowDen said: Do we trust the NAM this far out? nope but it has maintained its solution for a couple runs now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DirtySnowDen Posted Thursday at 08:45 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:45 PM 5 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: nope but it has maintained its solution for a couple runs now. It’s picking-up on its convective nature to wrap-in. A LIS or RI special, while the Globals are tuned differently…. You take the middle road at this timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Thursday at 08:52 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:52 PM 16 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: nope but it has maintained its solution for a couple runs now Then it’ll just bring that bitch up into RI in a run or two. We’ve seen this NAM movie before. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Thursday at 08:53 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:53 PM Nam may be doing Nam things along with the other hi res. It’s also putting a low where there is no low currently. It’s northeast of where models have. Not sure if that means much yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted Thursday at 09:06 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:06 PM 47 minutes ago, kdxken said: Hopefully it goes west in Virginia. I don't need five effin' inches of rain. disastrous timing for plants currently flowering .. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted Thursday at 09:13 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:13 PM 3 minutes ago, ma blizzard said: disastrous timing for plants currently flowering .. In the past, I’ve literally put easy up tents over my plants for these situations. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted Thursday at 09:37 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:37 PM 3 hours ago, dendrite said: Apple picking may still be on for Sunday! Again, I’m not convinced this is some prolonged widespread event. this could easily be breezy days with periodic downpours. Which is why im not sold on big rain totals. Isolated areas, maybe 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Thursday at 09:38 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:38 PM Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Again, I’m not convinced this is some prolonged widespread event. this could easily be breezy days with periodic downpours. Which is why im not sold on big rain totals. Isolated areas, maybe Shocking. Are you ever sold? I mean you’re never sold until the storm ends at your house. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted Thursday at 09:42 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:42 PM Models are trending a good bit stronger in the short term (HRRR out 14 hours is 5mb lower than a few runs ago) but of course a little more south/west. I think to max this out, either we stop the bleeding there while maintaining intensity, or hope that it is able to maintain intensity and occlude later, and move over SNE instead of burying itself in Long Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCHurricane Posted Thursday at 09:50 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:50 PM 18Z GFS well south 42hrs out, yet not rotating to the coastline. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Thursday at 10:06 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:06 PM Gfs is good 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Thursday at 10:11 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:11 PM 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gfs is good Please elaborate a bit…please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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