Ju-ply 2026 Obs and Disco - Kicking it off with heat, humidity, and ... severe?

[Damage In Tolland]

28 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Making predictions so soon after your rainfall debacle? 

Was no debacle . Just a furnaced summer . Lay the saws down until further notice 

[Lava Rock]

Perfect weather

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[kdxken]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Was no debacle . Just a furnaced summer . Lay the saws down until further notice 

That looks quite comfortable thanks!

[kdxken]

Just now, Lava Rock said:

Perfect weather

Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk
 

Yeah pretty sweet evening.

[Brewbeer]

41 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Making predictions so soon after your rainfall debacle? 

no shame

[CT Valley Snowman]

Party's over as the rain and storms are rolling in here in Maine after being dry since last Friday when we arrived.  

[mreaves]

Had a pretty good set of storms rolled through here between 6:00 and 7:30 or so. Lots of lightning and some heavy rain. Over an inch and a half in that timeframe. 

[powderfreak]

7 minutes ago, mreaves said:

Had a pretty good set of storms rolled through here between 6:00 and 7:30 or so. Lots of lightning and some heavy rain. Over an inch and a half in that timeframe. 

Only a half inch over this way.  Seemed to get a bunch of 7-10 splits until finally catching a core.

Sharp gradient… only a couple miles south showing 1-1.5”… only a couple miles north under <0.25” like at the ASOS.

[CoastalWx]

Looks flaccid tomorrow for storms. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Looks flaccid tomorrow for storms. 

Steincid. Most folks see nada. Then a dry next 10

[Torch Tiger]

Definitely some unsettled wx late next week - weekend? Hopefully some much needed severe.  And it doesn't hold off until beyond

[dendrite]

8 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Steincid. Most folks see nada. Then a dry next 10

Can’t believe this is happening again 

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Can’t believe this is happening again 

Except this summer SNE shares it with you 

[CoastalWx]

Mild down this weekend and then mid 90s return next week. Man what a summer. LOL strong Nino. 

[BrianW]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Mild down this weekend and then mid 90s return next week. Man what a summer. LOL strong Nino. 

Just amazing out there this morning on my run. 

 

[Cyclone-68]

Whoa…Storm chances really dried up this afternoon? Never mind severe, just a terrible summer for thunder around here at all so far 

[weatherwiz]

40 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Mild down this weekend and then mid 90s return next week. Man what a summer. LOL strong Nino. 

I still don't understand how ideas can be drawn on how a summer will be based on the concept of what *may* occur in terms of an ENSO event which is in the stages of development. 

[weatherwiz]

I don't think storm chances were ever particularly high for today. Always seemed more isolated 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

43 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Mild down this weekend and then mid 90s return next week. Man what a summer. LOL strong Nino. 

It will be a classic “strong Nino” winter though. 

[Great Snow 1717]

4 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

It will be a classic “strong Nino” winter though. 

Cue the meltdowns by the usual suspects...

[CoastalWx]

27 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

Whoa…Storm chances really dried up this afternoon? Never mind severe, just a terrible summer for thunder around here at all so far 

We only winter weather now. Summer is stein.

[dendrite]

32 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

It will be a classic “strong Nino” winter though. 

+4C or bust

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

+4C or bust

If it gets to what models are predicting, I'm intrigued to see what it brings. Maybe we can get a 950mb benchmark rain event.

[CoastalWx]

In the meantime, EPS says deep summer rolls on and on. We love to see it.

[weatherwiz]

5 minutes ago, dendrite said:

+4C or bust

Gotta say...definitely impressive how the guidance for such an anomalous event have not backed down. About to have another impressive WWB too 

http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/ventrice/real_time/timeLon/u.anom.30.5S-5N.gif

EDIT: this is July not June  

[weatherwiz]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

If it gets to what models are predicting, I'm intrigued to see what it brings. Maybe we can get a 950mb benchmark rain event.

Same here. 

Watch it be so anomalous that it has the complete opposite effect of what we'd think and it results in historic cold/snow across the country  

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Gotta say...definitely impressive how the guidance for such an anomalous event have not backed down. About to have another impressive WWB too 

http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/ventrice/real_time/timeLon/u.anom.30.5S-5N.gif

That looks old?

[weatherwiz]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

That looks old?

yup...just caught that. 

[tamarack]

Modest TS last evening (8:30-9) plus a shower about 6 AM totaled exactly 1/2".  Looks to be all there we'll get before late next week. 
So far this month's temp is running 2.2° warmer than our warmest July (2010) and the average continues to get warmer through late month, though only by 0.5°.  Summer here has a 5-week plateau with average temp only varying by one degree.  (The one-degree winter valley is less than 2 weeks.)

[dendrite]

22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

If it gets to what models are predicting, I'm intrigued to see what it brings. Maybe we can get a 950mb benchmark rain event.

Yeah I’m definitely curious. Watch us somehow end up with a 100” winter.