Ju-ply 2026 Obs and Disco - Kicking it off with heat, humidity, and ... severe?

[Lava Rock]

90f for the high. Cooler than yesterday

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[dendrite]

Damn ACY may have tied their all time all time of 106

[tamarack]

22 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Every year. One NW wind  day can unwell 7 to 10 degrees colder

Many years ago (1960?) I was with a group of kids on a trip to Sandy Hook, NJ.  Expecting the mid-July ocean to be 70-72, we were a bit dismayed to find it at 57.  Went swimming anyway but not for as long.  Of course, some years earlier (1952) on our vacation at Spruce Head, part of Boothbay Harbor, I swam most every day in water that might've been even colder.  Of course, 6-year-olds don't feel the cold water until mom or dad sees the blue lips and pulls us out.

[Damage In Tolland]

19 minutes ago, kdxken said:

 

Sell the soak. You have been warned 

Around
BDL about 25 percent of members are greater than 1 inch QPF, vs
around 15 percent as you move towards LWM. It is also notable
that many of these rainy member are from the ECMWF ensemble.
That`s why I`m leaning more light rain at this time than a true
soaker.

[ineedsnow]

Euro going wild with that Typhoon

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

Euro going wild with that Typhoon

SREFs?

[Damage In Tolland]

13 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

It's definitely a EPS heavy skew, but it's like half of the EPS members so it's not nothing.

Euro suite loves doing this in summer . Convection will rob heavy moisture transport north and lack of baroclinicity in summer . Other guidance will take it to woodshed again 

[WxWatcher007]

12 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Euro going wild with that Typhoon

It’s going to go nuclear 

[Damage In Tolland]

Stein wasting water in drought times 

https://x.com/growingwisdom/status/2073131088889745692?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

[moneypitmike]

Winds have veered to the SW FTW.

86.

[tamarack]

29 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Euro going wild with that Typhoon

Didn't take long to increase from 65 mph to 145.

[Baroclinic Zone]

98-99F

[Modfan2]

Looks like Sea Breeze trying to push north from SE CT/RI coast

[HIPPYVALLEY]

7 hours ago, moneypitmike said:

Enjoy your time on the Cape.  Are you in Falmouth?  I look right out toward that. 

Give me any tinge of south vector and it's a different story.  Up to 87 now while I take a break from mowing my postage-stamp sized lawn.

Yes, just got down to new Silver Beach (North Falmouth)about an hour ago.

It’s 82° in the yard at their house!
Natural air conditioning of the West wind coming across Buzzards Bay.  

At 4 PM there was zero traffic coming over the Bourne Bridge!  I’ve never seen it that light!  

[Modfan2]

Storms in ENY make into New England?

[ineedsnow]

53 minutes ago, tamarack said:

Didn't take long to increase from 65 mph to 145.

160 mph now cat 5

[MJO812]

My apartment is a sauna. AC isnt that cold. Fan isnt doing the job.

 

My baby is sweating. Not good at all. Fuck Summer.

 

 

[MJO812]

Just got an alert from Con Edison stating they are reducing power until late tonight

[dendrite]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Damn ACY may have tied their all time all time of 106

"Only" 105F

Sad

[rclab]

5 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

My apartment is a sauna. AC isnt that cold. Fan isnt doing the job.

 

My baby is sweating. Not good at all. Fuck Summer.

 

 

I’m sure both of you are both keeping the young one hydrated. Is it possible to get to somewhere cooler for the evening with better A/C?

[MJO812]

Just now, rclab said:

I’m sure both of you are both keeping the young one hydrated. Is it possible to get to somewhere cooler for the evening with better A/C?

It is but I dont want to go out in this heat. 

[ChangeofSeasonsWX]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

Euro going wild with that Typhoon

Its a damn shame that we don't have recon anymore in the WPAC. Even if we get something that surpasses Tip, we will never know.  

[Torch Tiger]

3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

"Only" 105F

Sad

Damn

[ineedsnow]

Just now, ChangeofSeasonsWX said:

Its a damn shame that we don't have recon anymore in the WPAC. Even if we get something that surpasses Tip, we will never know.  

Could hit a island or Taiwan.. it would be nice to get a peak then..  btw for being a cat 5 right now satellite looks meh compared to what we usually see

[Damage In Tolland]

7 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

It is but I dont want to go out in this heat. 

What are you.. a senior ?

[ChangeofSeasonsWX]

7 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Could hit a island or Taiwan.. it would be nice to get a peak then..  btw for being a cat 5 right now satellite looks meh compared to what we usually see

Yeah, I'm saying even in general, it's a shame that if we ever get a typhoon stronger than Tip we will never know because we don't have recon. I'm sure that Tip has already been surpassed but we can't prove it. 

[MJO812]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

What are you.. a senior ?

Yea man too hot.  Swamp ass.

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Yea man too hot.  Swamp ass.

You’ve got severe coming in over next few hours . Take the fam out into that for relief