donsutherland1 Posted Wednesday at 02:34 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:34 PM Given NCEI's and the Central Park Conservatory's choice to permit tree overgrowth to persist at Central Park's ASOS, I've run the statistical model to see what Central Park's highest annual temperatures might have been had the statistical relationships to the 30-year period preceding the tree growth persisted (proxy for pre-tree readings). The estimated 102° reading in June 2025 would have set a new monthly mark. During 2015-2026, Central Park would likely have seen four to as many seven 100° readings. 2021 and 2025 had the highest likelihood that Central Park would have recorded one or more 100° or above readings. In an increasing number of cases, Central Park's reported highest temperature falls more than 1 standard deviation below the statistical estimate. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted Wednesday at 02:52 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:52 PM 13 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Given NCEI's and the Central Park Conservatory's choice to permit tree overgrowth to persist at Central Park's ASOS, I've run the statistical model to see what Central Park's highest annual temperatures might have been had the statistical relationships to the 30-year period preceding the tree growth persisted (proxy for pre-tree readings). The estimated 102° reading in June 2025 would have set a new monthly mark. During 2015-2026, Central Park would likely have seen four to as many seven 100° readings. 2021 and 2025 had the highest likelihood that Central Park would have recorded one or more 100° or above readings. In an increasing number of cases, Central Park's reported highest temperature falls more than 1 standard deviation below the statistical estimate. I just don't understand how the "powers that be" let the CP climate record go to hell and don't seem to care. How difficult is it to properly site a temperature sensor? It was fine where it was at the castle and was much more reflective of the temperature in CP. Frustrating. The topic has been beaten like a rented mule so this will forever be my last comment on the subject. Don, thanks for the stats. as always. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted Wednesday at 03:04 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:04 PM 89 / 71 here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted Wednesday at 03:28 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:28 PM 19 hours ago, jm1220 said: If we moved the site any distance away from the tree canopy it would be 102-103 easy. It’s ridiculous this is still an issue, and it’s the “official” climate site for the city. I partially blame local media outlets too. They can put more emphasis on other sites when nessasary. Or stop saying things like, NYC has not experienced 100+ since 2012. Central Park hasnt. There have been multiple offical 100 degree readings within NYC at LGA and even JFK. Plus plenty others where ever Con Ed puts a thermometer for what its worth. They probably just don't give it much thought, since many do not have decades of real life context about NYC climate records like people here. They work in NYC media because it was the best job offer. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted Wednesday at 03:38 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:38 PM .67” this morning with loud thunder. A nice surprise 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted Wednesday at 03:38 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:38 PM 11AM Round up New Brnswck: 88 BLM: 87 EWR: 87 ACY: 86 LGA: 86 TEB: 86 TTN: 86 PHL: 85 JFK: 85 NYC: 84 ISP: 81 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted Wednesday at 03:43 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:43 PM Sea breeze as expected doing its thing today. 80 here, 75 on the barrier island. Up to 90 a mile inland. Water's ice cold from upwelling again. Back down to 58. There will be a lot of water rescues over the next few days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted Wednesday at 03:50 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:50 PM Where did people get thunderstorms?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted Wednesday at 03:51 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:51 PM 2 hours ago, Intensewind002 said: About 0.18" from the storm this morning, Only had 0.62" for the entire month of june 0.13" from this morning and only 1.02" for the entire month of June. The entire south shore is dry as a bone! Currently only 81/72 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted Wednesday at 04:00 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:00 PM 9 minutes ago, steve392 said: Where did people get thunderstorms?? I’m in Suffolk county LI did well with this morning storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted Wednesday at 04:00 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:00 PM 16 minutes ago, TJW014 said: Sea breeze as expected doing its thing today. 80 here, 75 on the barrier island. Up to 90 a mile inland. Water's ice cold from upwelling again. Back down to 58. There will be a lot of water rescues over the next few days. 58? Where's that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Wednesday at 04:02 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:02 PM 12 minutes ago, steve392 said: Where did people get thunderstorms?? Mainly over CT and parts of LI 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted Wednesday at 04:08 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:08 PM 5 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Mainly over CT and parts of LI Ahhhh. Checked my cameras and everything was dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OldSkool Posted Wednesday at 04:22 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:22 PM 91/72/99 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted Wednesday at 04:34 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:34 PM 94/75 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted Wednesday at 04:35 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:35 PM 93/78/108 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted Wednesday at 04:47 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:47 PM 4 hours ago, MANDA said: Came across this kind of by accident just now. This is "Earthlight" who used to be a regular and great poster on this forum. Wishing him well. Way too young for this. Jeez. Scary because im also 36 and seeing this spooked me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted Wednesday at 04:47 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:47 PM 47 minutes ago, Dan76 said: 58? Where's that? Water temp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted Wednesday at 04:50 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:50 PM Temps manageable....high dews making the HI nasty. Lots of sun through some slight haze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted Wednesday at 04:54 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:54 PM 58? Where's that?It’s not. Waters warm at jones beach right now with the onshore flow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted Wednesday at 04:57 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:57 PM 22 minutes ago, winterwarlock said: 93/78/108 94.5/79/113 A lovely 83 and breezy here in Aruba though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted Wednesday at 04:57 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:57 PM Temp is up to 95 here right now. Don't think we'll hit 100 today ... probably 98. But I'm looking for 104 or 105 tomorrow and Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted Wednesday at 05:00 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:00 PM 95 per Corona mesonet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted Wednesday at 05:21 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:21 PM 26 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: It’s not. Waters warm at jones beach right now with the onshore flow. . It most certainly is at the beaches at northern Ocean County. The buoys 15 miles offshore never get the localized upwelling. It's usually within 3 miles of the coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted Wednesday at 05:35 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:35 PM It most certainly is at the beaches at northern Ocean County. The buoys 15 miles offshore never get the localized upwelling. It's usually within 3 miles of the coast. Just enough west in the wind to upwell on the Jersey shore. Forgot you were a Jersey guy. Near shore water temps are incredibly sensitive to local winds. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Wednesday at 05:36 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:36 PM Just now, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Just enough west in the wind to upwell on the Jersey shore. Forgot you were a Jersey guy. Near shore water temps are incredibly sensitive to local winds. . Yeah that's the worst there-you get 100 degrees, cold water and green flies from the bay that move in on the west winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted Wednesday at 05:42 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:42 PM 82/72. Sticky outside but temp actually dropped a few degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted Wednesday at 05:52 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:52 PM 96/74 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Wednesday at 05:53 PM Author Share Posted Wednesday at 05:53 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted Wednesday at 05:59 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:59 PM 88/73. Everything nice and lush. The rain last night helped green things up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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