6/16-6/18 Severe Weather

[SchaumburgStormer]

11 minutes ago, nvck said:

don't disagree w/ the spc often, but not a single tor warning, let alone report, out of that line

Fucking Broyles

[CheeselandSkies]

7 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

Fucking Broyles

I got a DM from someone purporting to be Chris Broyles over on Talkweather; addressing the opinions I've expressed about him in the posts I've made on there (I was a LITTLE more tactful than that!). Not sure if I believe it. That's I'll I'll say about that.

[Powerball]

1 minute ago, CheeselandSkies said:

I got a DM from someone purporting to be Chris Broyles over on Talkweather; addressing the opinions I've expressed about him in the posts I've made on there (I was a LITTLE more tactful than that!). Not sure if I believe it. That's I'll I'll say about that.

I'm sure it was in fact him, lol...

Heeeyyy Chris!!! 

[SchaumburgStormer]

Quite breezy as the backside of the rain starts to work through 

[Jackstraw]

Well, this thing is far from over for those of us down in my area and west. There were always 2 shortwaves forecasted with this for the last 72 hours and a lot of questions if the WF would make it up to the IN/MI border after this initial shortwave. Spacing will be everything. The surface reflection is just now getting wound up. TBH, this MCS is coming through a couple hours sooner than I was expecting.. There's still a good chance of recovery as the second SW comes through and the surface low rapidly deepens. I think at least S of I80 to the I70 corridor from MO up through Central IN and Western OH are still going to be under the gun for broken lines of long tracked sups from around 3pm on. Especially if that LLJ cranks up like it did yesterday. You don't need huge Capes and/or dews in the mid to upper 70's with a setup like this. We know this from our experiences with early and late season powerful kinematic setups like this. 60 to 180 veering winds through the column can more than make up for large Capes IMO. I'm not shutting the door at all yet. 

[Chicago Storm]

Not sure if i get the EF4 tor threat mentioned on this MD for the morning convection

one of the worst md’s and watches from them this year, maybe the worst.

totally uncalled for.

[nvck]

47 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

Fucking Broyles

he's had some wins in the past, but this is definitely not one of them

[mjwise]

Wind really roared here for about 10-15 minutes. 51MPH gust at recorded at DKB. Power has flickered several times. 53 degrees out. Pretty unreal for June 17, feels more like April 17.

ETA: Winds still going, 49MPH gust recorded as well.

[cyclone77]

Yeah the back side winds have been impressive.

[Eskimo Joe]

28 minutes ago, cyclone77 said:

Yeah the back side winds have been impressive.

Dumb question, but is that the rear inflow jet flexing its muscles?

[IWXwx]

12 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Dumb question, but is that the rear inflow et flexing its muscles?

Wake low?

[cyclone77]

20 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Dumb question, but is that the rear inflow et flexing its muscles?

Think it's some process that's enhancing the surface flow.  Bringing some of the higher velocity winds down to the surface.  

[Chicago Storm]

2 hours ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

Reverse jinx. 
 

THIS IS OUR MOMENT 

 

not this time, that was a real call of a change.