mjwise Posted Monday at 07:31 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:31 PM I never start threads but I thought there should be one for this with a Day 3 enhanced and Day 4 30% severe delineation already posted. Smarter people can discuss. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted Monday at 10:11 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:11 PM Annoyed I will be missing the severe threats in MBY due to a planned trip to Cleveland to visit family tomorrow through Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Tuesday at 12:00 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:00 PM promising look, nice that we should see multiple rounds impact klot 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted Tuesday at 01:39 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:39 PM Let's get ready to Derecho 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Tuesday at 01:43 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:43 PM that would be cool 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted Tuesday at 01:44 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:44 PM Starting tonight into tomorrow for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted Tuesday at 02:51 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:51 PM NAM looks volatile for S WI and N IL Thursday evening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted Tuesday at 03:16 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:16 PM Despite a good-looking setup for eastern Iowa Wednesday into Wednesday night, all of the morning CAMs show almost all the storms forming northeast, east and south of this area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted Tuesday at 03:33 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:33 PM This Thurs may be the best chance for something decent (nothing like the main risk areas tho) IMBY as everything in 2026 except 2 storms in Mar has been pathetic, and all but 1 between midnight and 3am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Tuesday at 03:38 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:38 PM 2 hours ago, MidwestChaser said: NAM looks volatile for S WI and N IL Thursday evening. multiple comma head mcs wed-thurs or bust 12z guidance looking p sweet, we locking in gang? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted Tuesday at 05:26 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:26 PM I am in favor of daylight visibility at the expense of overall wow (to a point) so I enjoy that some models pop a mid-afternoon line for tomorrow now. Obviously don't want that to end up dudding the whole day or shifting the crosshair for later by accident but if we could sneak a good hit in the afternoon and then another at night that would be baller. Not even to speak of getting another even better chance Thursday to my understanding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luckyweather Posted Tuesday at 05:44 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:44 PM New D2 Tor Outlook. Seems like SW WI always gets the bullseye these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjwise Posted Tuesday at 05:53 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 05:53 PM Enhanced for severe wind also expanded into Chicagoland on the new D2. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted Tuesday at 06:00 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:00 PM Get ready to Day 3 Moderate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted Tuesday at 06:46 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:46 PM Getting excited for this one. I wish I didn't have to work because I'll be stuck in the newsroom/producer booth, but I'll be watching the storms on radar and through weather cameras. There are worse ways to make a living. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Tuesday at 07:15 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:15 PM 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted Tuesday at 07:23 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:23 PM Funny last night for no reason I was thinking about derechos and the pronunciationIt is written Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted Tuesday at 07:36 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:36 PM That is quite a potent shortwave on the 12z Euro for Thursday with a 90+ kt 500 mb max, especially for June. Morning convection will rule the roost as usual, but I would expect a pretty widespread and potentially significant severe event given the magnitude of the flow overlapping strong instability. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted Tuesday at 07:43 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:43 PM The HRRR is top tier for tomorrow around here, projecting 3 rounds of back-back-back severe clusters locally. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted Tuesday at 07:50 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:50 PM 6 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: The HRRR is top tier for tomorrow around here, projecting 3 rounds of back-back-back severe clusters locally. Shades of? https://www.weather.gov/lot/2014_06_30_SevereStorms 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pen_artist Posted Tuesday at 07:56 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:56 PM The end of the 18z HRRR also showing a well recovered powder keg of an atmosphere early afternoon Thursday. Can't imagine what 00z runs will show if trends continue 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted Wednesday at 01:29 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:29 AM That is one spicy bow echo on the Hrrr tomorrow afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted Wednesday at 01:55 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:55 AM Am I reading this wrong, but does the HRRR also want to keep things discreet going into the metro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pen_artist Posted Wednesday at 02:00 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:00 AM 6 minutes ago, MidwestChaser said: Am I reading this wrong, but does the HRRR also want to keep things discreet going into the metro? Are you referring to Thursday? Because I am seeing/wondering same. The convection isn't quite as large/robust at the very end of run but a bit more discrete than earlier models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjwise Posted Wednesday at 02:10 AM Author Share Posted Wednesday at 02:10 AM 41 minutes ago, MidwestChaser said: That is one spicy bow echo on the Hrrr tomorrow afternoon. Model sounding here for 18z is nearly 5000 SBCAPE with minimal to no capping, 87/76 T/Td, and PWAT of 2 inches. Charged! Already felt quite juicy out tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted Wednesday at 02:18 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:18 AM HRRR for tomorrow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted Wednesday at 02:58 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:58 AM Boy howdy, this is one loaded sounding from 3knam for me: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted Wednesday at 04:00 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:00 AM Eastern Iowa is gonna get hammered early tomorrow evening with the main wave. Looks like Thursday action may focus more along and south of I-80 due to the morning wave. That morning/early afternoon batch will be severe as well, but may push the main show further south in the later afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luckyweather Posted Wednesday at 11:16 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:16 AM overnight d2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Wednesday at 12:07 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:07 PM mesoanalysis showing over 4ksbcape in n il this afternoon 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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