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May 2026 Obs/Discussion

weatherwiz

By weatherwiz,
in New England

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MJO812
MJO812

Spring and Summer are so boring Bring on Autumn and Winter

dendrite
dendrite

Holy shit

dendrite
dendrite

Every weather event in Templeton is always the greatest ever. 

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Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

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3 hours ago, dendrite said:

Not sure how I’d handle a dry, warm Saturday. 

I was just coming in here to wax the virtue of that synoptic look on Saturday, ...opened the app, this was the first sentence I saw ^

Yeah... sensory overload.  Top 3 day... perhaps taking first place - though it's early in the race.   It feels like a trophy though;  hard to top 74, light wind, lilac aroma sun-gasm weather. 

That's on the backside of the weak nor'easter/closed but still progressive circulation thing later Thur into Fri ( I know you're aware of all that... just sayn' ).   It's a sign of the times, signifying having finally escaped the cold breeze hangover pattern.   It seems the oscillation behavior that comes with will be mild to warm to mild to warm as opposed to cool to mild... with one or two CC exaggerated days mixed in. 

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ineedsnow

ineedsnow

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2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

There’s nothing anyone could possibly get out of that. It means heat on in cars and houses and extreme irritability if they live there. 

I literally slept with the bedroom window open last night and a fan on.. you people are soft lol

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1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Weekend looks great.  Heat building early next week - 80s-90 Tuesday and Wednesday looks possible

I thought it interesting ( albeit likely esoteric ) that the CMC bursts into the mid 80s on Sunday. It has 85 at 18z BDL-to Lawrence MA. 

I was looking that 850s on all three and thinking that given lower ceiling RH/sigma level values ( meaning more sun), WNW wind and now solar max power lasing the countryside, those 73-75's looked a little cool in the Euro and GFS.  Rarely are we faced with a circumstance where a D5 looks more reasonable in a CMC model run.  heh.   I don't know about 85s but I could see the Eur/GFS 2-ms being a bit light there.  The difference is the CMC is warmer at 850 ...seems to be trying to commit to the early week continental delivery scenario, earlier.  So yeah, the others may be couple warmer, and if the CMC ends up right ...the former will end more substantially so. 

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Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

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All the runs seem light on Mon/Tue.  

The GFS is spuriously cooling the 850 mb between 15 and 21Z on Monday, between the Presidential Range and D.E.M., extending barely +10C down into interior SNE.   There is no reason or cause that can be synoptically identified to do that. 

Meanwhile, the CMC has even lower ceiling level RH values, with no means to cool the 850mb ...but opts to keep the BL less mixed and (apparently) doesn't think the sun's strong enough to make the difference there - which is suss because if it is right about a hotter Sunday, the night's going to be elevated some ...setting up a higher Monday launch.  So not likely on that -

I didn't venture into the Euro ...I just figured it's upper 70s under general 566 to 570 dm hydrostats must be the conspiracy to hide CC from the model outputs showing up.  haha.

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HoarfrostHubb

HoarfrostHubb

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1 hour ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I drove through the East Quabbin hill towns yesterday.  Wilderness with scattered houses.  It’s so rural. 
Good sandwiches at Petersham Country Store though.  :)

Back when my wife was working in Royalston, during the early days of Covid, they had her school do a little teacher parade thing where we drove all through her district (it was so weird).  I really got how sparsely populated some of those towns are (Warwick MA is so small!)

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Typhoon Tip

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I can see/sense Brian's complaint on that.   A cursory scan of the higher res vis satellite eyeballs an ~ 50 to 80% sun vs 50 to 20% cloud obstruction, yet you seem to be majority shaded over your neighborhood. 

 

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