May 2026 Obs/Discussion

[Typhoon Tip]

54 minutes ago, tamarack said:

80s in May happen most years here - only 4 of 28 failed to reach 80 and the median for May's warmest is 85.

As for this week, highs 50s-60s and frost advisory the next 2 mornings.

It's been 82 a small handful of early afternoons since early April... perhaps 3 with a smattering of 78s.  The vast majority of times it has been less than 62 by varying sullenness.   Not sure what the nocturnal biases have knocked out, but as Scott and I had noticed actually back in late March ( and still looks to be the case when cursory running down the numbers), we tend to be negative for 8 or so days back to back, then we get two 20+'s ...skewing the whole month positive.  Figuratively speaking

It's been a bullshit liar spring.  Cold and shitty, despite sun at times and fleeting bombastic warm days.  

The small handful of 80 days we've seen thus far also had DPs less than 50...  The dry air made them rad bleeders, tho. By the time old sol tickled the western tree tops we were already hemorrhaging. By an hour or so post the passage of the astronomical dusk boundary it plummeted to 60, and 38 by dawn.   This is no way to run a real warm up and is, sorry to admit using this word which I hate ... fake.  We haven't had the metallic warm feel to the atmosphere yet.  It feels like warm winter days with high spring sun?  

Miss the evenings whence the wind is warm during the glome light period that summer lingers before the twilight.  You know... pithy warmth.   Doesn't even have to be hot for f'sake.  Just confident your not radiating back to aching knuckles and stunted foliage.  

I think that changes soon enough. As I've advertised above and wasn't seemingly read by anyone  heh it appears this week's the last of the gaslight pattern bs 

[Typhoon Tip]

Looks like 1.5 or so hours of warming vibrant sun before CT gets cirrus plugged by that PA rollback...

Hopefully this stays S-SE of an HFD-BED line so it spares the Rt 2 folk but it probably fans enough mare's tails to keep our temperatures lower here, too.

[HoarfrostHubb]

13 hours ago, ineedsnow said:

1.75 drought over here

Nada at my house yesterday.  It was close though

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Nada at my house yesterday.  It was close though

More snow, more thunder…..Templeton is a magical place. 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Yesterday that looked more plausible. 

Today's indicators more tamed to seasonal+ 

But you're putting up charts that are upper 80s... as a support for your 90+      Do you see the logical problem there?

 

Did you actually look at the maps one asks self 

[Typhoon Tip]

27 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

More snow, more thunder…..Templeton is a magical place. 

Those were CB's yesterday ... I noticed some of them crisp out into glaciation.   The 800 mb was -2 C... which is pretty low freezing heights.  Snow? no.. ha.  Hail, probably. 

Yesterday we made it to 72 here up underneath those low freezing heights. All that was missing was CAPE.  Because I'm a crushingly dweeby nerd, I hesitated in a moment coming out of Ace Hardware to be sexually aroused by a gnarly dark based CU that had a broadly expanding (est) 15kt top leaning E.  It was transitioning to ice with snow falling way up there.  Kind of like it was hybrid convection between cold virga CU and summer crispies.   I also noticed that the base elements had a tendency to move right of the upper tier lean, indicative of some at least modest positive helicity.

So given these obs... yeah... It was unstable and something was going to overachieve eventually with that sort of lapse rate in place.  The cell he's talking about went by N of here and we had some 32-ish mph wind gusts and a temp crash just before sun set.

[Typhoon Tip]

7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Did you actually look at the maps one asks self 

Ah heh.   

dude, you gotta do better than that gaslight attempt against someone like me.   You're like a 5 year old thinking you're pullin' one over on your dad.  

[CoastalWx]

11 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Those were CB's yesterday ... I noticed some of them crisp out into glaciation.   The 800 mb was -2 C... which is pretty low freezing heights.  Snow? no.. ha.  Hail, probably. 

Yesterday we made it to 72 here up underneath those low freezing heights. All that was missing was CAPE.  Because I'm a crushingly dweeby nerd, I hesitated in a moment coming out of Ace Hardware to be sexually arouse by a gnarly dark based CU that had a broadly expanding (est) 15kt top leadning E.  It was transitioning to ice with snow falling way up there.  Kind of like it was hybrid convection between cold virga CU and summer crispies.   I also noticed that the base elements had a tendency to move right of the upper tier lean, indicative of some at least modest positive helicity.

So given these obs... yeah... It was unstable and something was going to overachieve eventually with that sort of lapse rate in place.  The cell he's talking about went by N of here and we had some 32-ish mph wind gusts and a temp crash just before sun set.

Yeah I noticed some TCU as well. Bit of humidity in the air so some instability certainly there. 

[metagraphica]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

SNE and a neighborhood near you 

 

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Yesterday that looked more plausible. 

Today's indicators more tamed to seasonal+ 

But you're putting up charts that are upper 80s... as a support for your 90+      Do you see the logical problem there?

 

 

51 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Did you actually look at the maps one asks self 

 

44 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Ah heh.   

dude, you gotta do better than that gaslight attempt against someone like me.   You're like a 5 year old thinking you're pullin' one over on your dad.  

Look, now I'm 100% for logic and bustin' people chops when they deserve it, but really John???  90+ is pretty damn clear in this image.  Who's gaslighting whom here?

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

I’d say we’re definitely behind leaf out wise here. Kind of sad we’ve been rotting mostly in the 50s for weeks. Even yesterday was nice but struggled to upper 60s

[dendrite]

Worried about another frost/freeze the next two nights. It’ll be close. 

[kdxken]

15 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Worried about another frost/freeze the next two nights. It’ll be close. 

Your wife is probably petrified.

[Typhoon Tip]

40 minutes ago, metagraphica said:

 

 

 

Look, now I'm 100% for logic and bustin' people chops when they deserve it, but really John???  90+ is pretty damn clear in this image.  Who's gaslighting whom here?

Hm  Not sure that you do ( bold ^), because your ensemble of reply is overbearing, out of line, and looks petty - seriously ...why in the fuck are you bolding text that was completely in jest.  He knows that.... chill out and go away

Besides ... those are outliers.  They don't represent the intent and spin of his typical attempt at overselling - so ...I'm just bustin his balls 

Hopefully, you are sufficiently offended now.   

[mreaves]

25 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Your wife is probably petrified.

She only looks petrified, she's actually frozen stiff.

[vortex95]

16 hours ago, dendrite said:

Every weather event in Templeton is always the greatest ever. 

In this case, Templeton got the best storm of the day, and its intensity max right over the area, and then weakened.  When you are not expecting it, and the isolated happens to be in your backyard, of course you are going to be elated!  Also, early season convection after a long winter always gets more notice.

[metagraphica]

43 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Hm  Not sure that you do ( bold ^), because your ensemble of reply is overbearing, out of line, and looks petty - seriously ...why in the fuck are you bolding text that was completely in jest.  He knows that.... chill out and go away

Besides ... those are outliers.  They don't represent the intent and spin of his typical attempt at overselling - so ...I'm just bustin his balls 

Hopefully, you are sufficiently offended now.   

lol...never offended by anything I read online, but you do certainly make me laugh at your pretentiousness.

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

In this case, Templeton got the best storm of the day, and its intensity max right over the area, and then weakened.  When you are not expecting it, and the isolated happens to be in your backyard, of course you are going to be elated!  Also, early season convection after a long winter always gets more notice.

5/21/96 or bust.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 hour ago, metagraphica said:

 

 

 

Look, now I'm 100% for logic and bustin' people chops when they deserve it, but really John???  90+ is pretty damn clear in this image.  Who's gaslighting whom here?

Nobody in SNE is hitting 90 next week.

[vortex95]

3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

SNE and a neighborhood near you 

Use 2m temps w/ caution, esp. in the longer ranges.  They do not have MOS incorporated, so often run much too warm.  I recall the GFS at times when a heat wave is fcst, showing BOS max of 110 on days 8-10.  And look at the GFSX MOS for BOS, 70-75 Sun-Mon.

[vortex95]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

5/21/96 or bust.

Or 6/1/2011.  Even when a spinner occur in Weymouth a few years ago, Scott was unimpressed!  "If I do not SEE it, doesn't COUNT!"  LOL.

[dendrite]

18 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

In this case, Templeton got the best storm of the day, and its intensity max right over the area, and then weakened.  When you are not expecting it, and the isolated happens to be in your backyard, of course you are going to be elated!  Also, early season convection after a long winter always gets more notice.

He did…I watched it on radar. But you will eventually learn that every storm and gust front will elicit “biggest drops EVER” and “gusts at least 60mph” in leafed out trees.

[dendrite]

29 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

Use 2m temps w/ caution, esp. in the longer ranges.  They do not have MOS incorporated, so often run much too warm.  I recall the GFS at times when a heat wave is fcst, showing BOS max of 110 on days 8-10.  And look at the GFSX MOS for BOS, 70-75 Sun-Mon.

Yeah that’s the goofus with overmixing issues. They did something to it 5-10 years ago where the mixing just went wildy superadiabatic a month or so either side of the solstice. The 110s were fun though. It does it every summer under the heat ridge in the Plains too…120s into the eastern Dakotas and Minny for a couple of days when in actuality it ends up 95/75 instead of 120/45.

00z euro definitely supported near 90° a day or two next week, but that’s pretty far our there in lalaland for us up here given our climo. 

[weatherwiz]

36 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Nobody in SNE is hitting 90 next week.

There definitely is some support for the typical torch spots to hit 90

[vortex95]

54 minutes ago, dendrite said:

He did…I watched it on radar. But you will eventually learn that every storm and gust front will elicit “biggest drops EVER” and “gusts at least 60mph” in leafed out trees.

Well, is this any different that CoastalWx having a PT for "MASSIVE DENDRITES" when "WE SNOW?"  It will be 3/4S-, and we will get "RIPPING!"

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, vortex95 said:

Well, is this any different that CoastalWx having a PT for "MASSIVE DENDRITES" when "WE SNOW?"  It will be 3/4S-, and we will get "RIPPING!"

I know when to get excited.  I definitely would not say ripping at S-.....but Ineedsnow will.  

[weatherwiz]

Maybe we can try sneaking in an EML ~next Tuesday 

[powderfreak]

27 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I know when to get excited.  I definitely would not say ripping at S-.....but Ineedsnow will.  

The 3/4-1.5sm -SN is probably one of the more over-stated weather obs by all.

I mean, it can be 1”/hr though too with even decent snow growth at 3/4-1sm.  So sometimes hard to fault folks.

I will say if any of us started seeing 1.5sm vis -SN right now we’d say it was ripping out, lol.  When you haven’t seen snow in a while, a mile and a half is a steady snowfall.

[Typhoon Tip]

15 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

The 3/4-1.5sm -SN is probably one of the more over-stated weather obs by all.

I mean, it can be 1”/hr though too with even decent snow growth at 3/4-1sm.  So sometimes hard to fault folks.

I will say if any of us started seeing 1.5sm vis -SN right now we’d say it was ripping out, lol.  When you haven’t seen snow in a while, a mile and a half is a steady snowfall.

Goes either way ...  I've seen it snow 30 straight hours at 3/4-1.5sm -S and end up with 3" of cobwebs you could move with the broom.   Does that a lot around the Lakes in very frigid air...etc.   I've also see that analysis be 6" overnight.

Heh, it would be funny if not actually more practical to have qualifiers rmks in there like "3/4-1.5sm -S meaningless mood", or "3/4-1.5sm -S  Ineedsnow trigger flake size", or "3/4-1.5sm -S; 30 hr tortoise event"   etc

[powderfreak]

14 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Goes either way ...  I've seen it snow 30 straight hours at 3/4-1.5sm -S and end up with 3" of cobwebs you could move with the broom.   Does that a lot around the Lakes in very frigid air...etc.   I've also see that analysis be 6" overnight.

Heh, it would be funny if not actually more practical to have qualifiers rmks in there like "3/4-1.5sm -S meaningless mood", or "3/4-1.5sm -S  Ineedsnow trigger flake size", or "3/4-1.5sm -S; 30 hr tortoise event"   etc

Yeah I know I’ve seen like 3-6” overnight without the ASOS going below 2sm -SN in deep snow growth layer orographic snows.  Big arms of dendrites hooking together.

Honestly the late January storm yielded like 10” overnight of mid-level fluff at like 1.5”/hr in 3/4sm visibility.

Meanwhile the flip side is you get the SWFE poor snow growth needles in a 6-hr QPF dump and struggling to 1.2”/hr snowfall but at M1/4, ha.

[Damage In Tolland]

Good agreement now