SACRUS Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 https://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/satellite/img/vis_nj_anim.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 High of 86 so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 Hanging 84-85. Jumped in the pool to cool off. Didn’t think I’d be in this pool in mid April 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 First time hitting 90 this year in Morristown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mgerb Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 Mid-90s in interior southern NJ. Yeesh. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 It's 89 at home. 3 Miles away on the beachfront it's 61. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 No A/C units installed yet. Thermostat reads 87 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 Topped out @ 86 today. Looking forward to seeing temps in the low 50's for daytime highs next week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 What a day. time to grill and hang outside, no bugs. the absolute best 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 Still showing 93 at home in little ferry. In shade that breeze feels good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 86 my high, now 75. Way to warm,look forward to the cool down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 86.3 in Muttontown & 85.5 in Syosset for highs today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 Down to 69.4 still comfortable. Max of 82.2 here on the south shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 Surprised there hasn't been a crazy Ambrose Jet day yet. JFK up to 20mph when many times it would be over 40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 Temperatures approached and reached record levels across parts of the region yet again today. Central Park registered a high of 89°. Newark reached 90°. Daily records were set at Atlantic City (91°), Baltimore (91°), Norfolk (92°), and Philadelphia (91°). Readings will return to the upper 70s to around 80° tomorrow, upper 60s on Saturday and upper 50s to lower 60s on Sunday. A sharp cold shot is possible early next week. Generally dry conditions will also persist through at least Saturday. Some showers or thundershowers are possible Sunday afternoon into Sunday night. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.2°C for the week centered around April 8. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.30°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.07°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring. The SOI was +1.51 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.115 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 85% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 56.1° (2.4° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.1° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 For comparison it's 47 degrees in Boston with fog and an east wind 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted April 17 Share Posted April 17 23 hours ago, MANDA said: Our area might get lucky with something later on tonight. Further east chances less. Picked up .24” from lasts nights stuff. I did sprinkle the grass seed earlier so I am not overly confident we get anything later. Nothing from last night to my knowledge. The Tuesday night line went all around me with a gap over Sparta. I only recorded a trace. Meanwhile, western PA and up through Buffalo, Finger Lakes and the upstate is having it's third night in row of a pretty solid line of storms. No rain issues there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted April 17 Share Posted April 17 Today's highs TEB: 93 New Brnswck: 92 PHL: 91 ACY: 90 BLM: 90 EWR: 90 NYC: 89 TTN: 88 LGA: 86 HPN: 85 ISP: 82 JFK: 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted April 17 Share Posted April 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 17 Share Posted April 17 65 days until we start losing daylight. Lets go ! 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted April 17 Share Posted April 17 After the heat in April 2002, the temp didnt exceed >70 again till May 5th. After the heat in April 2009 it stayed basically near avg utill May 8th After the heat in April 2023 it stayed above normal as a whole overall that month EWR: April DeP 2002: +2.6 2009: +1 2023: +4.6 EWR May Dep 2002: -2.4 2009: +0.1 2023: +0.2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted April 17 Share Posted April 17 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: 65 days until we start losing daylight. Lets go ! That's okay, because it's only a few seconds each day, and the sunset remains at 8:30 until like mid July 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 17 Share Posted April 17 4 hours ago, weathermedic said: For comparison it's 47 degrees in Boston with fog and an east wind The price they pay for getting buried twice this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted April 17 Share Posted April 17 Brush fire in Westchester we spent some time fighting today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted April 17 Share Posted April 17 11 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 85% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 56.1° (2.4° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.1° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. If this is true, then the last part of April is going to feature Top 5 record cold. I don't see it happening. April is going to finish with at least a mean temperature of 57. I mean, 2023 ended at 57.6, and that last part of April was really cold. Warmer than normal April should be locked at 100% at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 17 Share Posted April 17 21 hours ago, jm1220 said: This time of year it’s only a matter of when and how much we’re paying for a summer like stretch like this. I am curious to see how much rain we actually get vs just low clouds and onshore flow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 17 Share Posted April 17 9 minutes ago, bluewave said: I am curious to see how much rain we actually get vs just low clouds and onshore flow. If the trough is east of us, probably not much which isn’t good either since many of us are back in a drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 17 Share Posted April 17 15 minutes ago, jm1220 said: If the trough is east of us, probably not much which isn’t good either since many of us are back in a drought. We are seeing elements of the spring 2023 pattern with how early and strongly this El Niño is developing. That year had a shift to stronger blocking in late April following early record 90 warmth. Notice the 2 matching dates from 2023 and how close in time the record warmth was. So it’s possible that this week will turn out to be the warmest we see for a while. But rainfall has been generally disappointing. Maybe the developing STJ can allow for some better rainfall opportunities especially by the early summer like we saw in 2023. Newark Area, NJPeriod of record: 1893-05-01 through 2026-04-16DateHighest maximum temperatures (degrees F)Top Record 2nd Record 3rd Record 4/13 92 in 2023 86 in 1977 84 in 2018+ 4/14 93 in 2023 89 in 2026 88 in 2022+ 4/15 91 in 2026 88 in 1960 87 in 1941 4/16 92 in 2002 90 in 2026 89 in 1896 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 17 Share Posted April 17 2 hours ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said: If this is true, then the last part of April is going to feature Top 5 record cold. I don't see it happening. April is going to finish with at least a mean temperature of 57. I mean, 2023 ended at 57.6, and that last part of April was really cold. Warmer than normal April should be locked at 100% at this point. Personally, I think the modeling may be somewhat too cool for the second half of April, but the ECMWF weeklies show cooler than normal conditions for the April 20-30 period. In addition, a strong cold shot lies ahead for early next week. One or two days will likely to see readings approach or reach 10° below normal. Outside NYC, some areas could experience a late-season freeze. In mathematical terms, one would not need near record cold to reach the figure from the guidance (overnight the guidance ticked up a few tenths of a degree). If one took all the readings to date and assumed that the remainder of the month would average normal, one would come up with a 56.6° mean. Normal for April 17-30 is 56.8°. Since 2020, five years have had a cooler April 17-30. As for 2023, April 1-16 had a mean temperature of 59.9°. That was much warmer than April 1-16, 2026. This year's mean temperature was 56.4°. Finally, the probability is based on a normal distribution. Part of the region under the curve is still below normal at this point in time based on the standard deviation. Although I would be quite shocked were April to wind up cooler than normal overall, that doesn't mean that a statistical probability of such an outcome doesn't exist, even if it's low. The stated probability means that a warmer than normal April is very likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted April 17 Share Posted April 17 it's possible we get a little snow Monday night huh? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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