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Napril 2026 Discussion/Obs


Torch Tiger
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Look at the ass hammerin' abuse the NAM afflicts Boston with on this 12z grid for Thur, compared to Albany and New York City... The highlight are the T1 temperature... actual SFC is typically 3 or so warmer than these.   Luckily for warm enthusiasts, the wind field at Logan on Thursday is only 8kts so it's not likely moving west of the city... but jeez!

OUTPUT FROM NAM 12Z APR 14 26
TTPTTR1R2R3 VVVLI PSDDFF HHT1T3T5   TTPTTR1R2R3 VVVLI PSDDFF HHT1T3T5
ALB//864549 -1800 162203 59151207   BTV//944846 00505 160304 55090706
06000576954 -2996 091917 63241608   06000798766 11400 071510 60161307
12013654356 03797 082814 64231607   12025944631 00999 073110 61151205
18000853022 -3003 122912 62161509   18002973223 -3006 143307 56050708
24000974357 01701 142402 61131509   24000964160 00006 141504 57061207
30001798361 -0196 112111 64201610   30022989263 15800 111708 59111207
36005749067 -2697 102108 66221609   36008959169 03800 102011 60161306
42119999367 03199 090701 65181509   42002997344 -0103 093304 60131007
48052926953 -1701 103106 64161409   48000986339 -1703 110103 59090907
54000717153 -0899 091502 65211408   54000907850 -1004 101503 60131006
60000627337 15997 042119 67241809   60018989567 27599 041111 63151307
BOS//742946 -0203 152811 60171308   LGA//774047 00700 163104 62191709
06000616339 -2501 121410 61211508   06000545045 -1698 132011 64241710
12000725866 02597 082123 66191811   12000535544 -1696 112418 67251911
18005762735 -3499 092718 64191510   18000716556 -0398 122911 65221811
24000802325 -2206 133607 62151610   24000764830 -1297 142408 65201710
30000727561 -2002 141211 63141408   30000596752 -2796 131910 67251811
36002897366 -3098 121612 65131710   36000505148 -3697 112216 70262013
42031989070 24698 091002 66111810   42000685853 04497 102316 69222113
48058989169 -1099 123508 64071410   48000685952 00200 112615 68211713
54001897248 -0402 120408 64081310   54000523744 -1799 092210 70261814
60000985249 03998 111008 65051611   60000422654 -2501 072218 69251913
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Absolutely wild the differences in guidance in how convection develops/evolves tomorrow. the 3km NAM highlights exactly what I was thinking yesterday in terms of potential/evolution but it doesn't have much support. But then again, not one model has support from another. Ahh the fun of convective forecasting :thumbsup: 

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21 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Look at the ass hammerin' abuse the NAM afflicts Boston with on this 12z grid for Thur, compared to Albany and New York City... The highlight are the T1 temperature... actual SFC is typically 3 or so warmer than these.   Luckily for warm enthusiasts, the wind field at Logan on Thursday is only 8kts so it's not likely moving west of the city... but jeez!

OUTPUT FROM NAM 12Z APR 14 26
TTPTTR1R2R3 VVVLI PSDDFF HHT1T3T5   TTPTTR1R2R3 VVVLI PSDDFF HHT1T3T5
ALB//864549 -1800 162203 59151207   BTV//944846 00505 160304 55090706
06000576954 -2996 091917 63241608   06000798766 11400 071510 60161307
12013654356 03797 082814 64231607   12025944631 00999 073110 61151205
18000853022 -3003 122912 62161509   18002973223 -3006 143307 56050708
24000974357 01701 142402 61131509   24000964160 00006 141504 57061207
30001798361 -0196 112111 64201610   30022989263 15800 111708 59111207
36005749067 -2697 102108 66221609   36008959169 03800 102011 60161306
42119999367 03199 090701 65181509   42002997344 -0103 093304 60131007
48052926953 -1701 103106 64161409   48000986339 -1703 110103 59090907
54000717153 -0899 091502 65211408   54000907850 -1004 101503 60131006
60000627337 15997 042119 67241809   60018989567 27599 041111 63151307
BOS//742946 -0203 152811 60171308   LGA//774047 00700 163104 62191709
06000616339 -2501 121410 61211508   06000545045 -1698 132011 64241710
12000725866 02597 082123 66191811   12000535544 -1696 112418 67251911
18005762735 -3499 092718 64191510   18000716556 -0398 122911 65221811
24000802325 -2206 133607 62151610   24000764830 -1297 142408 65201710
30000727561 -2002 141211 63141408   30000596752 -2796 131910 67251811
36002897366 -3098 121612 65131710   36000505148 -3697 112216 70262013
42031989070 24698 091002 66111810   42000685853 04497 102316 69222113
48058989169 -1099 123508 64071410   48000685952 00200 112615 68211713
54001897248 -0402 120408 64081310   54000523744 -1799 092210 70261814
60000985249 03998 111008 65051611   60000422654 -2501 072218 69251913

This is more for Wednesday but wild differences between guidance at BOS for tomorrow

6z MAV: 65

0z MET: 57 9z high then dropping

7z NBM: 69

I was actually expecting the 13z NBM to tame down at BOS but nope...came in at 71 :lol: . Been that seems wayyyy too high. Highest 3hr value anyways is 64 which still might be a bit high...though BOS might have a chance to climb before the E winds kick in

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4 minutes ago, Brewbeer said:

i'm with kev on this, you don't want to rely on irrigation to get the fert into the soil - you want actual rain, more than a 1/4 inch.  that's a lot of water, and relying on a well in a steiny pattern is risky

I'd worry though about a heavy thunderstorm washing it away vs throwing some hose water on it right now.

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5 minutes ago, Brewbeer said:

i'm with kev on this, you don't want to rely on irrigation to get the fert into the soil - you want actual rain, more than a 1/4 inch.  that's a lot of water, and relying on a well in a steiny pattern is risky

Yup.. exactly . Running a sprinkler merely wets the top soil . Need rain to prevent fert burn . How many lawns have we seen over the years where the landscapers drop fert, and then it doesn’t rain for a week plus and bakes in the high sun angle. By then the damage to the lawn for the summer is done and they are torched and/ or die in many spots. By the same token don’t want an inch in a heavy downpour in 10 minutes . It’s tricky 

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1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

Ya cuz water from your well/reservoir, and water from the sky are different…?  It’ll due in a pinch... put the stuff down. 

I’m not a lawn guy per se but ask any golf course superintendent or golfer, having irrigation is great but it’s not that same as rain. It will keep your stuff alive but not really thriving. 

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