HoarfrostHubb Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago 5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: this event actually could be really good and not as minor as some think @HoarfrostHubb It’s got some work to do. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: It’s got some work to do. yup but does have potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 14 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: lets see if 0z we can double-team DIT He'd probably be all for it, but you'd probably have to lure Hunchie to participate with at least a ski pass or something... Damage in certain parts of the anatomy, too... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: He'd probably be all for it, but you'd probably have to lure Hunchie to participate with at least a ski pass or something... Damage in certain parts of the anatomy, too... You making a map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 20 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Huh? Wasn’t this you saying you don’t want any more of this mess crap from this morning, and whatever falls tomorrow night? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 12 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: It’s got some work to do. How so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: How so? Temps. Dynamics. Hopefully it hits the juice a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JACKASS Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Temps. Dynamics. Hopefully it hits the juice a bit. He's already done that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Wasn’t this you saying you don’t want any more of this mess crap from this morning, and whatever falls tomorrow night? Yea...the commute sucked immensely...I guess I didn't follow your post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 10 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: You making a map? Just did. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Temps. Dynamics. Hopefully it hits the juice a bit. It’s an inch + primarily frozen . Snow for you ice others Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea...the commute sucked immensely...I guess I didn't follow your post. Ya, that’s all I meant…that you were adamant you don’t want anymore of this. Let’s hope mid month can deliver a siggy event. Then we close the book. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Hrrr has an insane sleet snow line at the pike. Congrats Ray on the best event since Jan 2024. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s an inch + primarily frozen . Snow for you ice others Not trolling you here. But you have to advect this in on NE flow over Wor county. You’re going to need a good low level push to avoid that annoying 31.5° kinda-sorta-not really ZR. I’d feel better on decent accretion in the NW hills. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Hrrr has an insane sleet snow line at the pike. Congrats Ray on the best event since Jan 2024. SREFs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Not trolling you here. But you have to advect this in on NE flow over Wor county. You’re going to need a good low level push to avoid that annoying 31.5° kinda-sorta-not really ZR. I’d feel better on decent accretion in the NW hills. My guess is 30.5-31.5 for most of it . Since it’s happening at night that will assist. I don’t know that it will be damaging at all . But I’ve lived here long enough to know there will be some decent accretion . Will this be ORH 2008.. no. But it has the chance to be pretty significant all things considered . I just hope the sleet line stays north of here . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago HRRR, GFS, Euro are on crack. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hrrr has an insane sleet snow line at the pike. Congrats Ray on the best event since Jan 2024. There’s a pretty big area just sitting near 0C between 750-850 for many hours. Tough forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago Almost an inch of ZR near Charlton. although doesn’t that model do weird things with that? (Hardie HRRR HRRR) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: There’s a pretty big area just sitting near 0C between 750-850 for many hours. Tough forecast. Probably intensity dependent too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JACKASS Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Almost an inch of ZR near Charlton. although doesn’t that model do weird things with that? (Hardie HRRR HRRR) Happens all the time, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 23 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Ya, that’s all I meant…that you were adamant you don’t want anymore of this. Let’s hope mid month can deliver a siggy event. Then we close the book. If it's on a weekend, great.....but I'm taking Friday off...fu(k this shit. I work on the only major hill in Chelsea and it's awful in the wintry weather. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 58 minutes ago Share Posted 58 minutes ago 10 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: HRRR, GFS, Euro are on crack. That’s a lot of models to be on crack…just saying. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCHurricane Posted 47 minutes ago Share Posted 47 minutes ago 00z HRRR says Boston sees moderate snow accumulations...not buying that at the moment. Severe gradient just to the south, little to nothing down at the Braintree split. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted 44 minutes ago Share Posted 44 minutes ago Nam going wild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 43 minutes ago Share Posted 43 minutes ago Let’s get play dough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted 40 minutes ago Author Share Posted 40 minutes ago NAM arrives at the party Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted 34 minutes ago Share Posted 34 minutes ago 3k not nearly as good as 12k. Handling of the convection upstream seems to be jumping around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 30 minutes ago Share Posted 30 minutes ago I wouldn’t get too hung up on models generating convection, and then using that as QPF distribution Thing is that these general isenreopic event types are better handled by the coarser smoothed solutions. The meth models are going to spuriously trigger convection that is completely driven by chaos in the model and then that’s gonna turn around and fuck up all the works Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCHurricane Posted 12 minutes ago Share Posted 12 minutes ago For Boston... 00z 12k NAM coming in with 6-8" 00z 3k NAM says, what snow? 00z HRRR says 4-6" 18z GFS says 4-6" 18z EURO says 4-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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