March 2026 Mid-Long Range

[stormtracker]

That's right people.  Wake up.  I'm going to get us snow through sheer will.

Don't be a quitter people.  I can't believe some of you let the seductive charms of a few mild days get you.  

[SnowenOutThere]

1 hour ago, stormtracker said:

18z GFS on the board for one of my comeback specials.  No bandwagoners when this happens.  We know who you are!! 

Present but wondering why I’m still in class after the ap exams type feeling. Something could still happen but would take a miracle.  

1 hour ago, Weather Will said:

WB 18Z GFS between the 17th and the 24th delivers the goods below.  I guess the run shows at least there is potential during this period.  I guess everyone is not buying it because it is very quiet in here.... been a long time since the GFS produced this kind of epic run.

Unironically a January Storm redux but somehow even more impactful. I’d be seated for this one. 

[Solution Man]

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

That's right people.  Wake up.  I'm going to get us snow through sheer will.

Don't be a quitter people.  I can't believe some of you let the seductive charms of a few mild days get you.  

Damn right, we got this

[Stormchaserchuck1]

it's actually not a bad time to be bullish on March, analogs of the DJF pattern shows it repeats for March 60% of the time, which is pretty high. The SW, US heat ridge is looking like a constant. That drops a trough into the Northeast. 

[Weather Will]

10 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

it's actually not a bad time to be bullish on March, analogs of the DJF pattern shows it repeats for March 60% of the time, which is pretty high. The SW, US heat ridge is looking like a constant. That drops a trough into the Northeast. 

CHUCK IS ON BOARD!!!!!!

[LeesburgWx]

I keep trying to focus on life and warm weather but I’m constantly getting sucked back in. When does it end?

[Weather Will]

WB 18Z AI EURO does not have a flake for us.

[nj2va]

4 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said:

I keep trying to focus on life and warm weather but I’m constantly getting sucked back in. When does it end?

It already is, lets go spring.

[Stormchaserchuck1]

10 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

CHUCK IS ON BOARD!!!!!!

Well 2nd half of March snow is really hard, especially with the -PDO pattern this decade, but a below average temp pattern does look likely as that High pressure starts to build strong in the Southwest in the medium range- the pattern of the Winter. 

[mitchnick]

1 hour ago, CAPE said:

10 day snow maps galore! In mid March lol. Could happen, but op run snow maps aren't going to provide much insight.

We're not here for insight, we're here for entertainment....and the 18z is just that!

[bncho]

7 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

Well 2nd half of March snow is really hard, especially with the -PDO pattern this decade, but a below average temp pattern does look likely as that High pressure starts to build strong in the Southwest in the medium range- the pattern of the Winter. 

Chuck is starting to cave yall, big news for the unemployed weenie

[Weather Will]

WB 18Z GEFS 7 day period .

[mitchnick]

Anyone other than me notice the Gfs Kuchera is more than the 10:1 map? That's impressive for mid-March.

[CAPE]

There continues to be a signal for something on the mean for around St Patty's day. We shall see.

[cmillzz]

1 hour ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

Well 2nd half of March snow is really hard, especially with the -PDO pattern this decade, but a below average temp pattern does look likely as that High pressure starts to build strong in the Southwest in the medium range- the pattern of the Winter. 

Teleconnections look completely unfavorable for a sustained below average temp regime during the second half of March though. I just think the models are completely off base here in regards to what happens after St. Patrick's Day for the Midwest especially.

[Stormchaserchuck1]

2 minutes ago, cmillzz said:

Teleconnections look completely unfavorable for a sustained below average temp regime during the second half of March though. I just think the models are completely off base here in regards to what happens after St. Patrick's Day for the Midwest especially.

Strong +NAO being the biggest counter factor

[bncho]

2 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

Strong +NAO being the biggest counter factor

could be from +TNH bc of the SSW?

[Stormchaserchuck1]

4 minutes ago, bncho said:

could be from +TNH bc of the SSW?

SSW should be giving us -NAO by the end of the month.. doesn't always work though, and the last few March's SSWs haven't had much of a -nao correlation. Should be interesting to see if models have it wrong though

[RitualOfTheTrout]

10 hours ago, yoda said:

The 70 degree temperatures have captured me

Cover your ears, don't get pulled into that siren song that is 70s in March. Get yourself together, your melting like the Bruins with a 3-0 lead!

[Yeoman]

16 hours ago, Weather Will said:

WB 18Z GFS between the 17th and the 24th delivers the goods below.  I guess the run shows at least there is potential during this period.  I guess everyone is not buying it because it is very quiet in here.... been a long time since the GFS produced this kind of epic run.

Yeah I don't get it.. I mean if fantasy day 16 storms don't pan out in late March when will it? Clearly it has under done the freezing rain threat for DC. 

[WxUSAF]

Mid-long range precip forecasts have taken a notable dive. Starting with Thursday’s rain.

[Weather Will]

6 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Mid-long range precip forecasts have taken a notable dive. Starting with Thursday’s rain.

Lucy is warming up!

[North Balti Zen]

49 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Mid-long range precip forecasts have taken a notable dive. Starting with Thursday’s rain.

Oh yeah - bring it. Enough with chasing highs of 43 and being mad when something anomolous invariably fails…

[stormtracker]

1 hour ago, North Balti Zen said:

Oh yeah - bring it. Enough with chasing highs of 43 and being mad when something anomolous invariably fails…

Get in the bus, we’re going winning.