Kmlwx Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 I'm doing it....the 2026 iteration starts today. With potential warm weather on the horizon, we will likely see the start of the pencil thing gusty shower line season. @yoda - I feel like you're usually on board with early tracking with me. Excited to get back to our smaller spring/summer crew...The winter weenies can take their bickering away soon enough. As much as I hate summer heat - I tolerate it for thunderstorms. And now....I will go back to watching CFS/weeklies/CSU-MLP/CIPS pages for signs of our first threats! 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 2 hours ago, Kmlwx said: I'm doing it....the 2026 iteration starts today. With potential warm weather on the horizon, we will likely see the start of the pencil thing gusty shower line season. @yoda - I feel like you're usually on board with early tracking with me. Excited to get back to our smaller spring/summer crew...The winter weenies can take their bickering away soon enough. As much as I hate summer heat - I tolerate it for thunderstorms. And now....I will go back to watching CFS/weeklies/CSU-MLP/CIPS pages for signs of our first threats! Remember... the new type of convective outlooks come out starting next week with the 1630z Day 1 March 3rd outlook. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/conditional-intensity-information/ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 27 Author Share Posted February 27 I wasn't aware of this! I've been not monitoring as closely due to work. Thank you!!! Imagine a 90% wind 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 I can't decipher these new outlooks. My astigmatism makes these hatched maps almost unreadable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted Saturday at 02:55 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 02:55 PM The 2nd half of the coming week has some minor potential. GFS has some modest supercell composite parameters - and even the Euro has some instability around. Interesting enough for early March, at least. Nothing substantial, of course. CSU-MLP has some minor probs painted over some of our area Friday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted Saturday at 02:56 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 02:56 PM 19 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said: I can't decipher these new outlooks. My astigmatism makes these hatched maps almost unreadable. It's definitely a little wacky looking - I'm not sure other than doing completely separate color-coded maps how they could have implemented this differently. I like the idea/principle, though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted Monday at 04:13 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 04:13 PM The CFS monthlies seemingly have a potential NW flow H5 pattern (at least in general/smoothed terms) same with CanSIPS. For June. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted Tuesday at 02:50 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:50 AM Nice to see the thread ready to go for the upcoming season! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Hmmm... sneaky severe this evening? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago I think there could be some non-zero chances into next week. CSU MLP page looks "decent enough for this time of year" for next Wednesday, for example. It's always going to be slim pickings in March (and even most of April) - but I'm intrigued that as soon as warmer temps rolled in some of the predictive tools ramped up just a touch. Give us some unseasonably warm/humid days in April into May and something will probably pop off with how dynamics systems can still be that time of year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 hours ago, yoda said: Hmmm... sneaky severe this evening? Way too stable for severe east of the mountains, but there will be some elevated instability, so I expect some thunder during the evening / overnight, especially for areas north of 66 (VA) and 50 (MD). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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