NEG NAO Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: most models show a coating to an inch at best here I think that would have to fall after dark to accumulate - borderline temps and it was extremely warm last 2days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 2 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: I think that would have to fall after dark to accumulate - borderline temps and it was extremely warm last 2days yeah-likely white rain or car topper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: yeah-likely white rain or car topper. start a thread? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: start a thread? No 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: No we've opened threads for way less 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 11 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: we've opened threads for way less thats called an anafront Ana Front Surprise Thread ? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago i think it's coming but mostly a slushy coating on the grass and cars 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago when is the last time we had two-- 80 + degree days and then the next day heavy snow ? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 16 minutes ago, forkyfork said: i think it's coming but mostly a slushy coating on the grass and cars 10 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: when is the last time we had two-- 80 + degree days and then the next day heavy snow ? Why not this is bonus at this point! 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 24 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: when is the last time we had two-- 80 + degree days and then the next day heavy snow ? 1888? 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 35 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: when is the last time we had two-- 80 + degree days and then the next day heavy snow ? Plus thunderstorms. HRRR very adamant on a couple rounds of storms tonight 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 6 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Plus thunderstorms. HRRR very adamant on a couple rounds of storms tonight Cloud to ground lightning ? SVR from KPHI - this one had a bow echo on radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago At 18Z it's no longer just the GFS showing snow tomorrow, as the AIFS and NAM have a bit and the HRRR is bullish (although it's the long range HRRR which usually is crappy). However, these snowmaps are at 10:1 ratios, which are not going to happen. I'll just be happy to see falling snow, even if it doesn't accumulate with temps in the mid-30s - maybe a bit on grassy surfaces at most, unless temps go a bit lower than forecast. The 12Z Euro also showed an inch or so of snow in the late afternoon - will be interesting to see what the 18Z runs say for those two models. The NWS remains unimpressed (can't blame them), mentioning a change to snow showers, but not predicting any accumulation worth noting (<1/2" for areas at elevation in NWNJ/NEPA/Hudson Valley). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Nice line of storms headed my way. Temps dropping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Is that... a severe thunderstorm warning less than 24 hours until it snows? I love Spring! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sampson Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 hours ago, forkyfork said: i think it's coming but mostly a slushy coating on the grass and cars Hi Forky. I hope Chirpy is doing well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Some periods of rain and a thunderstorm are likely tonight into tomorrow. An additional period of rain possibly mixing with wet snow is possible tomorrow into tomorrow evening. With temperatures remaining well above freezing, little or no accumulation is likely in New York City. Nevertheless, if a trace or more of snow is recorded, that would tie the record for fewest days between an 80° or above temperature at Central Park and a trace or more of snow. The records are below: April 7, 1942: 82°; April 9, 1942: 2.1" March 20, 1945: 83°; March 22, 1945: Trace April 1, 1978: 81°; April 3, 1978: Trace It will turn cooler but not especially cold starting tomorrow and continuing through the weekend. A shot of much cooler air could arrive on Tuesday. Lows in New York City could fall to the middle and upper 20s with highs in the upper 30s and lower 40s on Wednesday and Thursday. However, with the AO likely to remain generally positive, the cool period likely won't be as prolonged as had been the case during this past winter's cold regimes. There may be a short window of opportunity for some snow, but snow is not assured. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around March 4. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.23°C. Neutral ENSO conditions have now developed. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring. The SOI was +19.96 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +3.534 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 68% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 44.5° (1.7° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.0° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Decent slug of precip now. Two good rumbles of thunder. Need all we can get at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Pouring with a few rumbles and distant lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 51 minutes ago Share Posted 51 minutes ago big thunderstorms and lighting sounds like the end of the world! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted 45 minutes ago Share Posted 45 minutes ago 3 hours ago, NEG NAO said: when is the last time we had two-- 80 + degree days and then the next day heavy snow ? It has never happened before. May 1977 probably the closest you're going to get: 1977-05-06 84 57 70.5 9.9 0 6 0.47 0.0 0 1977-05-07 74 53 63.5 2.6 1 0 0.00 0.0 0 1977-05-08 64 39 51.5 -9.6 13 0 0.10 0.0 0 1977-05-09 44 36 40.0 -21.4 25 0 0.31 T 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted 45 minutes ago Share Posted 45 minutes ago 4 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: big thunderstorms and lighting sounds like the end of the world! It does. Heavy downpours and constant thunder and lightning. Impressive for any time but especially for March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted 36 minutes ago Share Posted 36 minutes ago Solid downpours here. Enough to pick up a half inch already. Still more to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 33 minutes ago Share Posted 33 minutes ago 4 hours ago, NEG NAO said: when is the last time we had two-- 80 + degree days and then the next day heavy snow ? For Newark? Just once: April 13, 2014: 83° April 14, 2014: 80° April 15, 2014: 0.3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted 33 minutes ago Share Posted 33 minutes ago The ole split. How I've not missed you. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 32 minutes ago Share Posted 32 minutes ago 12 minutes ago, dWave said: It does. Heavy downpours and constant thunder and lightning. Impressive for any time but especially for March. now we wait for the other line later on tonight and than the snow event tomorrow night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 28 minutes ago Share Posted 28 minutes ago changed the thread name to rain/thunder and anafrontal snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 22 minutes ago Share Posted 22 minutes ago Today's Highs TEB: 85 PHL: 83 EWR: 82 New Brnswck: 81 BLM: 78 TTN: 77 ACY: 73 NYC: 72 LGA: 68 HPN: 65 ISP: 61 JFK: 59 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 20 minutes ago Share Posted 20 minutes ago Today: EWR: 82 / 53 (+27) NYC: 72 / 54 (+14) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 19 minutes ago Share Posted 19 minutes ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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