Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread

[Grothar of Herndon]

37/33

[davidjd1114]

woof, the NWS is explicitly calling for 18-24" in their storm total snow map here.

You’re in the wrong forum lol


.

[GreyHat]

37F

Showers

[aldie 22]

Rain 36.9 .03 in the bucket. Looks like we lost the modeled norlun out here...hey. at least its raining again..we need that out here 

[aldie 22]

2 hours ago, Ji said:

Moron lol what am i missing here
?

You sure this thing will produce 10:1? Good luck to the old hood and be safe those trees are pretty mature now

[Ji]

You sure this thing will produce 10:1? Good luck to the old hood and be safe those trees are pretty mature now

Bad ratio map

[Solution Man]

[TSSN+]

It’s sucks for such a strong low how tiny the precip shield is.

 

[aldie 22]

5 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

Bluemont winery will look spectacular if that map is accurate 

[TSSN+]

33 with some very light rain 

[Solution Man]

4 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

Bluemont winery will look spectacular if that map is accurate 

Pretty there, rolling hills….God’s country 

[Rhino16]

42 and some rain to the south. Hoping to see some heavy stuff later tonight!

[PrinceFrederickWx]

13 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

That's a crazy west-to-east gradient for southern MD- I can't think of any event where I'd get double what La Plata does.

[dailylurker]

Anyone seeing any wet flakes with that batch south of DC? Chase update. As of this morning my target is Seaford Del. I'm hoping I don't have to leave the lowlands and miss a 10 incher, but I definitely don't want to miss out on experiencing a true blizzard when it's so close. 

[Solution Man]

1 minute ago, dailylurker said:

Anyone seeing any wet flakes with that batch south of DC? Chase update. As of this morning my target is Seaford Del. I'm hoping I don't have to leave the lowlands and miss a 10 incher, but I definitely don't want to miss out on experiencing a true blizzard when it's so close. 

Be careful, have fun

[87storms]

So when does the storm start producing its own cold air?

[WxUSAF]

36/33. Just a little rain so far. 

[Weather Will]

WB 6Z EURO

[Eskimo Joe]

06z Euro hits the areas just NW of I-95 pretty good.

[Herb@MAWS]

Midnight 36.5. 
Temps dropped to 34.0 overnight before light rain arrived. Temp then went up to current 36.0 with light rain. 
 

Gonna be watching and waiting for drops of fractions of a degree today. 

[Eskimo Joe]

34 and drizzle. Was expecting to be in the upper 30s honestly.

[BlizzardNole]

3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

06z Euro hits the areas just NW of I-95 pretty good.

It looks more like the traditional better N&W of the Fall Line due to quicker changeover.

Light rain and 37

[weatherCCB]

37 here

[CAPE]

38 with some very light rain

[Jeff B]

33.4°/33 with light rain…down 0.4° in last hour.

[WxUSAF]

Final call/guess:

BWI: 4.9”

IAD: 4.2”

DCA: 2.3”

my yard: 4.6”

Norrisville: 14.7”

[dailylurker]

Well euro mucked up my plan. Not going to Delaware for 7-10". My second thought was to ride out to the Catoctins, hike up to 1800' and day camp until late afternoon then decide where to head for the main show tonight. Need help! Where would you go?

[snowcane33]

1 hour ago, JakkelWx said:

woof, the NWS is explicitly calling for 18-24" in their storm total snow map here.

Waiting here in Harrington for this beast. When do you think we will go over to snow?

 

[JakkelWx]

Just now, snowcane33 said:

Waiting here in Harrington for this beast. When do you think we will go over to snow?

 

probably 11 AM - 12 PM

[WxUSAF]

This is a day where correlation coefficient rare is our friend. Looks to me that is showing rain almost everywhere but the highest elevation scans (closest to IAD) are snow. So snow is melting as it falls, as we’d expect. But the highest DBZ returns  south of DC right now are maybe also mixing with snow at the ground.