Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread

[winter_warlock]

2 minutes ago, weathercoins said:

Speaking this into existence: GFS will come west with a nice CCB over the metros 

 If your right I'm coming to you for lottery numbers bro!! 

[Terpeast]

38/30, dropped two degrees in the past hour 

[Ji]

38/30, dropped two degrees in the past hour 

Do you live right on top of a #DATA center, bro?

[Interstate]

I think I need to recalibrate my weather station... 37.9/32.3

[Grothar of Herndon]

37/30

Herndon VA

[LordBaltimore]

23 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Because someone else will get more snow than them.

This is a zero sum game. Someone elses snow is snow that isn't yours. Tale as old as time. 

32 degrees right now in Columbia

[MN Transplant]

39/28

[nw baltimore wx]

While we're waiting for the gfs, I had to work all day and missed the 18z euro runs.  Did the click west in 12z continue in 18z?  Yes, I could go look but I want to just sit, sip my whiskey, and chill.

[bncho]

34.9/29

[HighStakes]

My house and some other valley spots have dipped into the upper 20's. 28/27 here now. 

[gopper]

Towson 34/30

[bncho]

GFS is great

[Terpeast]

Just now, bncho said:

GFS is great

It wants to put that norlun over us

[jayyy]

Temps performing nicely

[North Balti Zen]

15 minutes ago, Interstate said:

I think I need to recalibrate my weather station... 37.9/32.3

I am at 34 just up the road in Fallston 

[Snowman.]

1 minute ago, bncho said:

GFS is great

Taking the GFS putting the Norlun here in eastern Loudoun

[TJ3]

26 minutes ago, hstorm said:

Just up the road in Great Falls, our temp/snow climo essentially mirrors IAD. Not at all comparable to DCA. 

Temp down to 35.2. 
 

More powers to you my good man. Maybe an inside the beltway thing. Cheers 

[Eskimo Joe]

00z GFS is good. Five days ago there was nada for this weekend and now we're looking at a significant east coast snowstorm on a weekend night. Money.

[hsq]

Now 32.7/31.8 at 20639

[winter_warlock]

1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said:

00z GFS is good. Five days ago there was nada for this weekend and now we're looking at a significant east coast snowstorm on a weekend night. Money.

Amen brother!!!

[bncho]

norlun trough doing what it also does... shifting east

[T. August]

Gfs is slowly slipping east every run

[ThePhotoGuy]

33.4/30.9

[southmdwatcher]

Norlun from Frederick through Springfield to Waldorf would be awesome!!!! Event with such details and bands of snow that will boom and bust over such short distances

[Terpeast]

Gfs shifted that norlun east every run over the last 6 runs, while keeping the ccb and slp largely the same. Interesting

[winter_warlock]

7 minutes ago, T. August said:

Gfs is slowly slipping east every run

 Probably should  depend more on short range models now.  I don't think GFS is as good as the short range models..in my opinion 

[JenkinsJinkies]

6 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

on a weekend night

That goes into a weekday morning.

[winter_warlock]

This is interesting. I'm now at 34F here in sparrows point MD!!.. and my updated forcasted low is 35!! Lol that's a bust..

 

[jayyy]

 Probably should  depend more on short range models now.  I don't think GFS is as good as the short range models

Roughly 10 hours from storm development off the coast? Yeah. If you’re going to lean on models, hi res is the way to go THIS close. Banding, temp profiles, etc are crucial.

[Interstate]

We are going to wake up with a epic model shift to the west by 75 miles