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The Allsnow Blizzard of 2026


Rjay
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Just now, WeatherGeek2025 said:

I think there'll be some serious thundersnow potential by the shores or just inland of New Jersey or Long Island

Yes, this is the type of setup where you can get thundersnow. The dynamics are through the roof.

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I believe this would be a first for the GFS being the most tucked in near the coast with a snowstorm among the other globals and being correct. The NAM has done it numerous times. But the only other big GFS coup was being more east in January 2015.

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Just now, bluewave said:

I believe this would be a first for the GFS being the most tucked in near the coast among the other globals and being correct. The NAM has done it numerous times. But the only other big GFS coup was being more east in January 2015.

 

yeah you would almost expect to the the GEM (GGEM and RGEM) so amped by model biases. Its almost as if in an otherwise typical scenario to be concerned of rain/miz - the gfs is to se/its coming nw.  But not here.

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8 minutes ago, mob1 said:

Not as wet as you think (verbatim). 

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Said this earlier.  Going to be better than 10:1 ratios at times during this storm.  Assuming things progress as currently indicated.  You can get some high ratio snows in these deformation bands.  Has much more to do with temps in the column and not just surface temperatures which at the peak of the storm should be in the mid to upper 20's.  Again, assuming everything stays on track as indicated.

 

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