stormtracker Posted yesterday at 08:49 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:49 PM 36 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: +2-3 std +NAO on long range GFS ensembles I hope you’re cool/cold rainy and miserable well into April. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted yesterday at 08:53 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:53 PM 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I hope you’re cool/cold rainy and miserable well into April. It's going to be pretty interesting, because we'll be transitioning from weak La Nina to more El Nino conditions late March into early April. Completely new pattern has the potential to build at that time vs the consistency of what has been all Winter. The pattern right now is for things to cool down a little as they get closer, it should be interesting to see what happens as El Nino starts to build! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted yesterday at 09:19 PM Share Posted yesterday at 09:19 PM I think we’ve got at least one window in us after the thaw. We’re overdue April snow to some extent too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted yesterday at 09:22 PM Share Posted yesterday at 09:22 PM Since I moved 30 minutes north of Baltimore in 1998, 13/28 April's have had snow (flurries or more). Unfortunately, it's 0 for the last 5 though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted yesterday at 09:32 PM Share Posted yesterday at 09:32 PM What's up with March for the last 6 (now 7), years? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted yesterday at 09:40 PM Share Posted yesterday at 09:40 PM 1 hour ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: +2-3 std +NAO on long range GFS ensembles Winter is probably gonna make a late March comeback. Probably too late for us, but good for areas north of Central PA. Eps looks very similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted yesterday at 10:08 PM Share Posted yesterday at 10:08 PM 47 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I think we’ve got at least one window in us after the thaw. We’re overdue April snow to some extent too Bring it home man. To hell with this talk of wanting sustained warmth. It ain’t over till it’s over. Can’t believe people punting in viable winter time. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted yesterday at 10:31 PM Share Posted yesterday at 10:31 PM Some people are going to be mad on Saturday. 30 degrees differences with about 100 miles 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago we're back 3 1 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago BDCF season baby 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago Let’s get thru this bs warm up and get back to tracking by the weekend. 11 2 1 1 3 1 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 8 hours ago Author Share Posted 8 hours ago Prepare for drought busting and shorts in December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 12 hours ago, stormtracker said: Let’s get thru this bs warm up and get back to tracking by the weekend. tracking heat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 7 minutes ago, Paleocene said: tracking heat Yeah he said after lol. Everybody knows it's gonna get warm this is an easy forecast. Looks like it gets cold after though that's what he's talking about 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 27 minutes ago, Paleocene said: tracking heat 1 got one more in us. Mark my words. Enjoy the warmth while you can. I’m not yielding until I have to. We gotta stop this nonsense of giving up on March. 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 38 minutes ago, stormtracker said: 1 got one more in us. Mark my words. Enjoy the warmth while you can. I’m not yielding until I have to. We gotta stop this nonsense of giving up on March. I agree Randy. Though I don’t think they’re giving up on it as much as people are just moving on asking for warmth. its been a frustrating and cold season. A lot of cold but maybe not the snow amounts we were hoping to associate with these departures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 36 minutes ago, stormtracker said: 1 got one more in us. Mark my words. Enjoy the warmth while you can. I’m not yielding until I have to. We gotta stop this nonsense of giving up on March. Fair enough. I am generally willing to concede March 1st - 15th as winter in the DC beltway area but after the 15th... we need luck. Of course there was 2014 (St. Patrick's Day), and then in 2018, we had snow March 21 which stuck around for a day. Here's McKeldin Mall at UMD on the 22nd of March 2018, after we got about 3-4" the day before, I think. 2 years out of the last 12 == enough to not rule it out after the 15th, I guess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Prepare for drought busting and shorts in December Too early to declare strength of Niño imho. Just click bait. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 6 hours ago Author Share Posted 6 hours ago 6 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Too early to declare strength of Niño imho. Just click bait. Agree on the first point but disagree it’s click bait. That subsurface warm water is really warm and widespread. But let’s see how things look in a few months. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Agree on the first point but disagree it’s click bait. That subsurface warm water is really warm and widespread. But let’s see how things look in a few months. Click bait in the sense it's sensationalized. I know Webb is legit, but the need for clicks is never ending it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainGeek Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 hour ago, stormtracker said: 1 got one more in us. Mark my words. Enjoy the warmth while you can. I’m not yielding until I have to. We gotta stop this nonsense of giving up on March. I'm liking this new version of Randy that returned from Houston. We should start a pool to send you to TX in Dec every year - lead us to the promised land! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Adult son's birthday is 3/25. I can remember AT LEAST 2 years since 2012 it snowed on his Bday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 23 hours ago, Ji said: Where is @psuhoffman I don't get excited about enso before the summer, but if that is real...well if that is real and we don't break out of this snow funk I give up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago 6 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I don't get excited about enso before the summer, but if that is real...well if that is real and we don't break out of this snow funk I give up. Dude we’re getting a 97-98 redux lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Dude we’re getting a 97-98 redux lolNo please no. I literally moved to Michigan to enjoy winter and that’s what happened. Watered down garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago EPS, EPS-AIFS, GEPS all have the trough beating back the torch somewhat mid month. GEFS is warmest. But on balance, definitely does seem like a mid month chill is on the way. Hopefully enough of one to give us a shot. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 hours ago, wasnow215 said: Adult son's birthday is 3/25. I can remember AT LEAST 2 years since 2012 it snowed on his Bday! It was 2013 and 2014. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Dude we’re getting a 97-98 redux lol I was living in the metro area then, but this area had a 20" season. I haven't approached that total for the past 5 winters. So, bring it ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago You could say today's Euro weeklies cooled down a bit starting week 3. Lol https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202603020000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202603230000 It ain't over until we say it is! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: You could say today's Euro weeklies cooled down a bit starting week 3. Lol https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202603020000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202603230000 It ain't over until we say it is! All winter they have been hawking warm just to bail out later. They have been deeply unserious this winter, lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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