Sunday night South Coast Graze?

[Damage In Tolland]

Still expecting a 00z bump north tonight . That will probably bump south tomorrow morning 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Still expecting a 00z bump north tonight . That will probably bump south tomorrow morning 

I hope, I can see this ticking back south again and we get cirrus.. would be nice to refresh everything, it looks horrible out now, all the piles are just brown.. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

GFS South , Looks like she’s slipping away. Was only hoping for 1-2 , oh well.

I know that’s what she said. 

[Chrisrotary12]

9 hours ago, dendrite said:

Not gonna be happy if I end up with clouds out of this Monday

Same. Need sunshine to keep melting my ice dams. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

27 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

GFS South , Looks like she’s slipping away. Was only hoping for 1-2 , oh well.

I know that’s what she said. 

We tried to tell everyone. Investing in this was futile 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

12 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

We tried to tell everyone. Investing in this was futile 

I’m one of the furthest SW posters so it made plenty of sense for my area and points southwest, the rest of NE I get it . Again was only hoping for 1-2”. 

[bristolri_wx]

7 hours ago, dendrite said:

The tracking was fun

But it’s over nowww

The snow would have been good.

But the models lost it somehow.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

40 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

I’m one of the furthest SW posters so it made plenty of sense for my area and points southwest, the rest of NE I get it . Again was only hoping for 1-2”. 

You still might get that. I wouldn’t bet against the SW 1/4 of CT seeing some accums 

[Go Kart Mozart]

The NAM T minus 36 hour scare comes tonight.  Like clockwork.

[MJO812]

Everything going to shit

Not our winter 

[mreaves]

20 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Everything going to shit

Not our winter 

“Our”? Seems ok to me. 

[weathafella]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Everything going to shit

Not our winter 

Aren’t you AOA climo to date?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

13 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Aren’t you AOA climo to date?

He must be on diaper duty. Sounds agitated. 

[WxWatcher007]

20 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Aren’t you AOA climo to date?

It’s the twilight zone in here today

[H2Otown_WX]

If we get shut out or close to it the rest of the way I think people are overrating this winter. Sure, the cold was remarkable in its duration and to some degree magnitude, but ultimately we only had the one big storm. That's pretty disappointing in my book. We did decent in the 12/26 event here but I know most of the subforum didn't do that well so really just the one widespread event. Had the Carolina crusher turned the corner then we could be talking about this winter being a special one but I think from a snowfall standpoint it may go down as largely forgettable.

[codfishsnowman]

33 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said:

If we get shut out or close to it the rest of the way I think people are overrating this winter. Sure, the cold was remarkable in its duration and to some degree magnitude, but ultimately we only had the one big storm. That's pretty disappointing in my book. We did decent in the 12/26 event here but I know most of the subforum didn't do that well so really just the one widespread event. Had the Carolina crusher turned the corner then we could be talking about this winter being a special one but I think from a snowfall standpoint it may go down as largely forgettable.

I'm inclined to agree with you regarding snow fall. One more big storm and a few more small to mid size events could really make this a very special winter in Southern New England. This week looks pretty warm the entirety into next weekend and by that I mean upper 30s to mid 40s for daytime highs and liquid precipitation 

[ineedsnow]

Oh well.. I knew it was like a 5 percent chance of happening but have to keep hope alive   this week could be pretty good if things line up right

[codfishsnowman]

16 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Oh well.. I knew it was like a 5 percent chance of happening but have to keep hope alive   this week could be pretty good if things line up right

You should get some goods up there. If you have to start worrying about rain then that would be a very bad sign. 

[dmillz25]

8 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Everything going to shit

Not our winter 

You need sleep my friend because we are above normal for the season lol

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 hour ago, dmillz25 said:

You need sleep my friend because we are above normal for the season lol

I think I saw a map that has nyc south at or slightly below average on the season 

[The 4 Seasons]

4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

I think I saw a map that has nyc south at or slightly below average on the season 

all the NY/NJ  climo sites are at or above normal through the date, LGA is right on the edge at +0.5 and EWR is +4.7, NYC is +1.6. 

[The 4 Seasons]

Final call for late tonight/tom morning. NY/NJ area 1-2

thrilling stuff

[Sey-Mour Snow]

4 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

all the NY/NJ  climo sites are at or above normal through the date, LGA is right on the edge at +0.5 and EWR is +4.7, NYC is +1.6. 

Ya this is the one. They were closer to normal than I thought with places well south of the city actually below normal like the Norfolk to Baltimore area. 

[The 4 Seasons]

5 hours ago, H2Otown_WX said:

If we get shut out or close to it the rest of the way I think people are overrating this winter. Sure, the cold was remarkable in its duration and to some degree magnitude, but ultimately we only had the one big storm. That's pretty disappointing in my book. We did decent in the 12/26 event here but I know most of the subforum didn't do that well so really just the one widespread event. Had the Carolina crusher turned the corner then we could be talking about this winter being a special one but I think from a snowfall standpoint it may go down as largely forgettable.

If we get shut out, sure. But i think most people grade a winter based on their local area and how much they receive compared to normal and other factors like cold/snow depth. Even though there was only 1 region wide warning event, any given area got at least 2-4 warning storms and 2-5 or 6 advisory level events. Through early feb its been great here with 2 warning storms and 2 advisory events with solid snow pack for over a month with a couple breaks and lots of cold. You can check out every single >1" storm for the season so far here: https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/sne-25-26

Snowfall through Feb 3, which is about half way through climo, was about 30-40" across much of the state. I think we need, at least in my opinion 2 more good warning events or at least high end adv to start considering it high B or A range, otherwise it could drop to C/C+ ish. A 12"+ storm, Boxing Day 6"+ storm, and deep snow pack really helps bring this winter up but well have to wait and see how late Feb and all of March shake out. 

At least its been orders of magnitude better than the last 3 winters. 

Ill probably update this, this week.

 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Pretty wild just looking at modeling and you’d think this storm was gonna nail us. 

[ineedsnow]

9 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Pretty wild just looking at modeling and you’d think this storm was gonna nail us. 

9z SREFS bumped.north maybe Long Island and far southern CT can get lucky with something?