Damage In Tolland Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Still expecting a 00z bump north tonight . That will probably bump south tomorrow morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Still expecting a 00z bump north tonight . That will probably bump south tomorrow morning I hope, I can see this ticking back south again and we get cirrus.. would be nice to refresh everything, it looks horrible out now, all the piles are just brown.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 GFS South , Looks like she’s slipping away. Was only hoping for 1-2 , oh well. I know that’s what she said. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 9 hours ago, dendrite said: Not gonna be happy if I end up with clouds out of this Monday Same. Need sunshine to keep melting my ice dams. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 27 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: GFS South , Looks like she’s slipping away. Was only hoping for 1-2 , oh well. I know that’s what she said. We tried to tell everyone. Investing in this was futile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 12 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: We tried to tell everyone. Investing in this was futile I’m one of the furthest SW posters so it made plenty of sense for my area and points southwest, the rest of NE I get it . Again was only hoping for 1-2”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 7 hours ago, dendrite said: The tracking was fun But it’s over nowww The snow would have been good. But the models lost it somehow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 40 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: I’m one of the furthest SW posters so it made plenty of sense for my area and points southwest, the rest of NE I get it . Again was only hoping for 1-2”. You still might get that. I wouldn’t bet against the SW 1/4 of CT seeing some accums Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 The NAM T minus 36 hour scare comes tonight. Like clockwork. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Everything going to shit Not our winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 20 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Everything going to shit Not our winter “Our”? Seems ok to me. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Everything going to shit Not our winter Aren’t you AOA climo to date? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 13 minutes ago, weathafella said: Aren’t you AOA climo to date? He must be on diaper duty. Sounds agitated. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 20 minutes ago, weathafella said: Aren’t you AOA climo to date? It’s the twilight zone in here today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 If we get shut out or close to it the rest of the way I think people are overrating this winter. Sure, the cold was remarkable in its duration and to some degree magnitude, but ultimately we only had the one big storm. That's pretty disappointing in my book. We did decent in the 12/26 event here but I know most of the subforum didn't do that well so really just the one widespread event. Had the Carolina crusher turned the corner then we could be talking about this winter being a special one but I think from a snowfall standpoint it may go down as largely forgettable. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 33 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said: If we get shut out or close to it the rest of the way I think people are overrating this winter. Sure, the cold was remarkable in its duration and to some degree magnitude, but ultimately we only had the one big storm. That's pretty disappointing in my book. We did decent in the 12/26 event here but I know most of the subforum didn't do that well so really just the one widespread event. Had the Carolina crusher turned the corner then we could be talking about this winter being a special one but I think from a snowfall standpoint it may go down as largely forgettable. I'm inclined to agree with you regarding snow fall. One more big storm and a few more small to mid size events could really make this a very special winter in Southern New England. This week looks pretty warm the entirety into next weekend and by that I mean upper 30s to mid 40s for daytime highs and liquid precipitation 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Oh well.. I knew it was like a 5 percent chance of happening but have to keep hope alive this week could be pretty good if things line up right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 16 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Oh well.. I knew it was like a 5 percent chance of happening but have to keep hope alive this week could be pretty good if things line up right You should get some goods up there. If you have to start worrying about rain then that would be a very bad sign. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 8 hours ago, MJO812 said: Everything going to shit Not our winter You need sleep my friend because we are above normal for the season lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 1 hour ago, dmillz25 said: You need sleep my friend because we are above normal for the season lol I think I saw a map that has nyc south at or slightly below average on the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: I think I saw a map that has nyc south at or slightly below average on the season all the NY/NJ climo sites are at or above normal through the date, LGA is right on the edge at +0.5 and EWR is +4.7, NYC is +1.6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Final call for late tonight/tom morning. NY/NJ area 1-2 thrilling stuff 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 4 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: all the NY/NJ climo sites are at or above normal through the date, LGA is right on the edge at +0.5 and EWR is +4.7, NYC is +1.6. Ya this is the one. They were closer to normal than I thought with places well south of the city actually below normal like the Norfolk to Baltimore area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 5 hours ago, H2Otown_WX said: If we get shut out or close to it the rest of the way I think people are overrating this winter. Sure, the cold was remarkable in its duration and to some degree magnitude, but ultimately we only had the one big storm. That's pretty disappointing in my book. We did decent in the 12/26 event here but I know most of the subforum didn't do that well so really just the one widespread event. Had the Carolina crusher turned the corner then we could be talking about this winter being a special one but I think from a snowfall standpoint it may go down as largely forgettable. If we get shut out, sure. But i think most people grade a winter based on their local area and how much they receive compared to normal and other factors like cold/snow depth. Even though there was only 1 region wide warning event, any given area got at least 2-4 warning storms and 2-5 or 6 advisory level events. Through early feb its been great here with 2 warning storms and 2 advisory events with solid snow pack for over a month with a couple breaks and lots of cold. You can check out every single >1" storm for the season so far here: https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/sne-25-26 Snowfall through Feb 3, which is about half way through climo, was about 30-40" across much of the state. I think we need, at least in my opinion 2 more good warning events or at least high end adv to start considering it high B or A range, otherwise it could drop to C/C+ ish. A 12"+ storm, Boxing Day 6"+ storm, and deep snow pack really helps bring this winter up but well have to wait and see how late Feb and all of March shake out. At least its been orders of magnitude better than the last 3 winters. Ill probably update this, this week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Pretty wild just looking at modeling and you’d think this storm was gonna nail us. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 9 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Pretty wild just looking at modeling and you’d think this storm was gonna nail us. 9z SREFS bumped.north maybe Long Island and far southern CT can get lucky with something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 17 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 9z SREFS bumped.north maybe Long Island and far southern CT can get lucky with something? When they’re on an island this close in, they’re likely wrong. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 1 hour ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Pretty wild just looking at modeling and you’d think this storm was gonna nail us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: The radar returns moving W-E over the Dakotas and GLs tell the story here. Cool looking storm though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JKEisMan Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: The radar returns moving W-E over the Dakotas and GLs tell the story here. Cool looking storm though. You know that once we get closer to spring and warmer temps all of these nice looking storms are going come up the coast and give us rain instead of sliding south. Just wait for it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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