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February Banter 2026


George BM
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18 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said:

I mean; its the truth. The arrogance here is pathetic for a junk science hobby. If my post was banter, I'd get it. But it was great analysis. 6z GFS showed rainers, good bet its right based on climo. Its just the truth. But I get attacked by a lot of arrogant people who think they are super duper smart. 

Wait what’s the 150k a year job 

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2 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said:

But I think people do forget our climo. They do forget how these things usually end up for us. There is way too much "Oh well it shows a threat at least, so its good" and getting emotionally invested in a possible outcome that is very unlikely to happen. 

Its much better to simply look at climo and make a forecast than it is to look at models 200+ hours out and analysis them. Yet we focus way too much on the former, and then get disappointed when climo eventually shows up on the models. 

What you’re doing isn’t better because you’re already unhappy 10 days before a threat.  We enjoy tracking them, if you don’t enjoy that what are you doing? Just plan on rain and then move on to another activity. 

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12 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said:

I mean; its the truth. The arrogance here is pathetic for a junk science hobby. If my post was banter, I'd get it. But it was great analysis. 6z GFS showed rainers, good bet its right based on climo. Its just the truth. But I get attacked by a lot of arrogant people who think they are super duper smart. 

Your idiocy is pathetic. How long have you done this hobby?  A long ass time. And you take one run on the worst LR model and assume it’s the gospel?  You come in constantly to shit on every pattern that doesn’t give you snow. That’s not analysis, that’s just being a whiney bitch fist. 
 

Do you look at wavelength patterns? Teleconnections? Run to run consistency? Model back up?  None of your posts have evidence to support your dumb ass statements. At least Ji back his shit up. 
 

And oooooo you aren’t afraid of Randy. He ain’t gonna ban you for your dumbassery. That’s you wanting to play victim. More bitch fist mentality. 

Go sew a fuck flap on your next Hessian cosplay costume 

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1 minute ago, RevWarReenactor said:

But I think people do forget our climo. They do forget how these things usually end up for us. There is way too much "Oh well it shows a threat at least, so its good" and getting emotionally invested in a possible outcome that is very unlikely to happen. 

Its much better to simply look at climo and make a forecast than it is to look at models 200+ hours out and analysis them. Yet we focus way too much on the former, and then get disappointed when climo eventually shows up on the models. 

I can’t know what others think but I know our climo. I know most threats fail. I know it’s unlikely we get a big snowstorm next weekend. There’s a chance. That’s it. In tracking because maybe this is the time we win. It’s the same as sports. You know most seasons your team isn’t going to win the championship. But you follow. Because there is the chance maybe this time they will. You know it’s not likely. Some years maybe you go in thinking you have a better chance. But even the team with the absolute best odds only has maybe a 10% chance going into the season. Thats this. Sometimes we have a slightly better chance to win. But we know it’s not good any given threat for a week out. 
 

Just my 2 cents. Maybe it was you who misunderstood the odds and now you are venting in frustration. 

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27 minutes ago, CAPE said:

RevWar.thumb.png.a7a7b69c403e56ef6a5fe6d6cb9f43eb.png

Honestly tho, I was a bit of a deb, but the difference between me and Temu George Washington is that

-I was vested in a storm and got a little off the rails, but for a reason

-I don't add the best value for money weather posts, but I also don't regularly add garbage, maudlin posts on every storm, every winter about how it will fail

-I'm usually the most positive person here.  When I'm a deb, it's an aberration, not the norm like him.

-A coward is somebody who runs to PMs to talk behind somebody's back like a bitch.

-What does "he only posts on a board he only owns" even mean?  Of course I'm going to post on a niche board I help to create.  Like what?

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23 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said:

I mean; its the truth. The arrogance here is pathetic for a junk science hobby. If my post was banter, I'd get it. But it was great analysis. 6z GFS showed rainers, good bet its right based on climo. Its just the truth. But I get attacked by a lot of arrogant people who think they are super duper smart. 

Imagine whining about arrogance and then bringing up your salary to denigrate the lifeblood of a forum you post on.     

You mad?  Go put on a cape and be Super mad.

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1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Imagine whining about arrogance and then bringing up your salary to denigrate the lifeblood of a forum you post on.     

You mad?  Go put on a cape and be Super mad.

This shit cracks me up. I couldn’t imagine ever getting nasty over much of anything towards anyone but not especially weather lol 

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2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Imagine whining about arrogance and then bringing up your salary to denigrate the lifeblood of a forum you post on.     

You mad?  Go put on a cape and be Super mad.

He doesn’t wear capes. Just tricorn hats while trying to stunt on them hoes in his Miata 

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37 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said:

ANd Im not the least but afraid of Randy. But hilarious you think I am. "Randy might like to see it" Yeah I'd say all that right to his face in person. He is of course free to hit his trusty ban button as per usual. 

But you wouldn't tho.  This isn't 1770 Delaware.  We don't just lay down and take whips anymore.  

Also, you are so bad ass.  In the past, I would chop you up in replies to you more than CAPE did and you never said anything.  Instead you went to PMs and only then when they were posted, you puffed your chest out.

 

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14 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I can’t know what others think but I know our climo. I know most threats fail. I know it’s unlikely we get a big snowstorm next weekend. There’s a chance. That’s it. In tracking because maybe this is the time we win. It’s the same as sports. You know most seasons your team isn’t going to win the championship. But you follow. Because there is the chance maybe this time they will. You know it’s not likely. Some years maybe you go in thinking you have a better chance. But even the team with the absolute best odds only has maybe a 10% chance going into the season. Thats this. Sometimes we have a slightly better chance to win. But we know it’s not good any given threat for a week out. 
 

Just my 2 cents. Maybe it was you who misunderstood the odds and now you are venting in frustration. 

Yeah exactly this. Everyone one of us sickos who reads the LR thread when we wake up between 6am and 8am - we all KNOW that the probability of success is always slim in the mid-atlantic. We're all looking at a threat window that is in no way guaranteed to pan out. But we look anyway and try to stay positive because we're addicted and find it fun.

Coming in and posting like you know better than everyone, because you looked one OP run and conclude the window will fail.... dude what? We know we can fail! Thanks for the reminder!

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how is someone this upset about snow when you can just drive north like i did for the last snowstorm? Saw upwards of 2 feet of snow at 5 degrees the entire time. Awesome storm. Take time off from your 150k job and chase the big uns'. 

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16 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Honestly tho, I was a bit of a deb, but the difference between me and Temu George Washington is that

-I was vested in a storm and got a little off the rails, but for a reason

-I don't add the best value for money weather posts, but I also don't regularly add garbage, maudlin posts on every storm, every winter about how it will fail

-I'm usually the most positive person here.  When I'm a deb, it's an aberration, not the norm like him.

-A coward is somebody who runs to PMs to talk behind somebody's back like a bitch.

-What does "he only posts on a board he only owns" even mean?  Of course I'm going to post on a niche board I help to create.  Like what?

I just thought it was weird he even brought you into his whiny rant.

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46 minutes ago, CAPE said:

RevWar.thumb.png.a7a7b69c403e56ef6a5fe6d6cb9f43eb.png

"This is junk science. a HS drop out can read a model and make a forecast"
Or in this case an environmental scientist who dropped out of his meteorology degree (or never actually pursued an actual meteorology degree) but still calls himself a "meteorologist" and uses the fucking CFS model to make forecasts. That's mark margavage. 

suuuure thing.

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