Is we back? February discussion thread

[SouthCoastMA]

Temps are probably more of an issue than track anyway. about as thread the needle as you can get. 

[dendrite]

It’s not even dropping that ULL into Maine on Sunday now. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

44 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yep we cancel 

Worked great for last nights event. Keep the cancels coming.

[Hazey]

It’s still on the radar. That’s all that’s needs to be worried about at this time. Euro obviously sees something it likes. See where it takes us.

[Cold Miser]

Send it out to the fish.  They need the rain.  It helps them grow.  

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Worked great for last nights event. Keep the cancels coming.

Worked out as expected here. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Worked out as expected here. 

May want to take a peak at 06z EPS.

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

May want to take a peak at 06z EPS.

Maybe I should keep cancelling? 
 

It’s a messy look though overall. Threading a massive needle.

[dendrite]

4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

May want to take a peak at 06z EPS.

I mean you usually get plenty of eps members that follow the op so I’m still wary. I’d like to see another model doing what it’s doing at H5 before getting excited. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

I mean you usually get plenty of eps members that follow the op so I’m still wary. I’d like to see another model doing what it’s doing at H5 before getting excited. 

Absolutely. Just pointing out that’s we now have ensemble guidance showing a storm impacting us.

[Baroclinic Zone]

[Damage In Tolland]

17 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Worked great for last nights event. Keep the cancels coming.

Without fail every event he cancels and she gone has hit 

[Snowcrazed71]

I guess the thread should be shut down as winter's over. Love the enthusiasm ( we'll lack there if ) from several of you. 

We've had one of the coldest periods that we've not seen in a very long time. We've kept Snow on the ground for a long while. Not sure what it is you want, but this change to a milder pattern isn't abnormal at all. Yes, the deep Winter temps are probably done this Winter, but Winter isn't over. 

[dendrite]

This shortwave doing a deep right hook in near zonal flow on the northern periphery of Scoot’s pancake ridge just looks weird. I hope it pans out, but it’s a weird look to pull off.

[ORH_wxman]

Euro skynet was much closer but still a whiff. At least it was finally even half-interested. Well need a pretty solid move by all other guidance at 12z I think. 

[Ginx snewx]

49 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I’m not taking about 1-3” crap. I mean a coastal.

 

[Kitz Craver]

With a NW trend how do we overcome the mid level torch?

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

With a NW trend how do we overcome the mid level torch?

Need some High Pressure over Quebec rather than a low, compare the colder 00z to 6z.. 

[Kitz Craver]

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Need some High Pressure over Quebec rather than a low, compare the colder 00z to 6z.. 

is that even possible? I thought we had a shit streak to the north?

[dendrite]

Just now, Kitz Craver said:

With a NW trend how do we overcome the mid level torch?

That ULL that stays north of the St Lawrence on the loop I posted has been modeled to drop over us and deliver a fresh supply of cold. That’s not going to happen on that 6z run. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, Kitz Craver said:

is that even possible? I thought we had a shit streak to the north?

it is 00z had it, need to slow down the departing cold air tap north of us which is possible as of now it's not likely that it all happens perfectly, again it's all thread the needle.. 

[Kitz Craver]

Not canceling it, just seems really warm. But I’ve been hoping for the possibly of this coming back…

[WinterWolf]

19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Maybe I should keep cancelling? 
 

It’s a messy look though overall. Threading a massive needle.

To convey your point more, Wouldn’t it be threading a very small needle? Anybody can thread a massive needle…it’s the small needles that are difficult to thread.  
 

And I’ll be gone…so congratulations on a massive hit.  You guys are welcome. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Without fail every event he cancels and she gone has hit 

I'm not making a thread for this...

 

 

...yet

[40/70 Benchmark]

23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Maybe I should keep cancelling? 
 

It’s a messy look though overall. Threading a massive needle.

I am betting against it, but not impossible.

[40/70 Benchmark]

36 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Temps are probably more of an issue than track anyway. about as thread the needle as you can get. 

My kind of storm, if we get it.

[40/70 Benchmark]

10 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Man what I would pay to see a repeat of that verbatim. Just for the melts alone. Ultimate 2015 redemption 

 

It was good for SNE. It's still one of my top 10 storms. 10-30" for most, save SE areas. Bad beat for PHI to NYC though

 https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/mar-4-6-2001

 

I think that maybe #1 all-time for my current spot, maybe behind Feb '69.

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said:

well, euro is a full phaser

If this sticks at 12z, I'll probably be game for some of your movies...

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 hours ago, Torch Tiger said:

Time to start a thread! 

"PD III...The Weenie Strikes Back"

[EastonSN+]

11 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said:

yeah i was just speaking for the modern NESIS site that goes back to 56. 

I do have those 2 vol books and 1888 is pretty insane.

https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/rsi/nesis

The Bridgeport under measurement represented in the 1800s too lol.