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Is we back? February discussion thread


mahk_webstah
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I hate being "that guy" but I have a flight with my 2 kids Monday noon out of BOS ... should I wait for model wiggle before looking at changes, or is this event looking locked?  Please share any opinions.  Thanks in advance from a respectful longtime lurker and enthusiast.

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4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

You don't get it 

No, you don't get it. My point isn't that it will miss just because earlier episodes of blocking did not result in a big coastal, rather my response to Tony was meant to illustrate that a decaying NAO block does not necessarily  have to result in a major coastal. I don't like the position of the ridge in the plains. 

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1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

No, you don't get it. My point is that it will miss just because earlier episodes of blocking did not result in a big coastal, rather my response to Tony was meant to illustrate that a decaying NAO block does not necessarily  have to result in a major coastal. I don't like the position of the ridge in the plains. 

Sure 

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5 minutes ago, MVOyster said:

I hate being "that guy" but I have a flight with my 2 kids Monday noon out of BOS ... should I wait for model wiggle before looking at changes, or is this event looking locked?  Please share any opinions.  Thanks in advance from a respectful longtime lurker and enthusiast.

I personally would not change plans this far out unless you have plenty of leeway to do so. 

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2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

No, you don't get it. My point isn't that it will miss just because earlier episodes of blocking did not result in a big coastal, rather my response to Tony was meant to illustrate that a decaying NAO block does not necessarily  have to result in a major coastal. I don't like the position of the ridge in the plains. 

No but you do get more leeway in latter Feb with changing wavelengths and the usual indices no longer hitting the way they would in Dec through early Feb. 

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2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

No but you do get more leeway in latter Feb with changing wavelengths and the usual indices no longer hitting the way they would in Dec through early Feb. 

I didn't speak in absolutes....all I did was offer an opinion that happens to not jive with the collective preference.

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1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

Think about it too like during the summer, we've had some summers where we've seen to get cold fronts to always come through around the same day each week, especially when the pattern isn't deviating much. 

Last summer was like that. Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday HHH, then cooler week after week

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