Is we back? February discussion thread

[ineedsnow]

34 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Not sure I buy suppressed. Seems like liquid scares me more. 

RGEM came south

[40/70 Benchmark]

OP EURO is a disaster verbatim....1st SWFE snow is just N of me in S NH, the follow up is sheared sw of me, and then the coastal is OTS.

[H2Otown_WX]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

OP EURO is a disaster verbatim....SWFE snow is just N of me in S NH, and then the coastal is OTS.

Didn't pitchers and catchers report today?

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

OP EURO is a disaster verbatim....1st SWFE snow is just N of me in S NH, the follow up is sheared sw of me, and then the coastal is OTS.

On the flip side, that’s a great spot to be right now. Having each storm teasing you. If it was doing this inside of 3 days that would suck but decent chance you get something good. 

[TheSnowman]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

On the flip side, that’s a great spot to be right now. Having each storm teasing you. If it was doing this inside of 3 days that would suck but decent chance you get something good. 

Yup.  And Plus I’ll be driving to NYC and DC on the 21-25 so perfect timing for something good to happen here.  

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

On the flip side, that’s a great spot to be right now. Having each storm teasing you. If it was doing this inside of 3 days that would suck but decent chance you get something good. 

Yea, it probably won't work out like that, but that is the pathway to be falling short of climo for an 8th consecutive season.

[40/70 Benchmark]

I don't like that middle system...those sheared systems are usually a lost cause here. It will probably work for CT.

[CoastalWx]

16 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Same pattern we had in mid January.

Yeah not sure I want that now though 

[CoastalWx]

I dunno I thought guidance looked good overall. Between the op and ensembles, I can’t complain. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Yeah not sure I want that now though 

It's not good any time of the year....that wasn't my point. Just saying it's similar to that thaw period.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

It's not good any time of the year....that wasn't my point. Just saying it's similar to that thaw period.

Oh right ok. Sorry wasn’t sure what you meant 

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Oh right ok. Sorry wasn’t sure what you meant 

Yea, I wasn't trying to assuage any angst by making that comparison  Just pointing it out. I made the mistake of including seasons in the January composite, like 2001-2002, because of that expected PT regime mid month.....but as it turned out, the cold dwarfed it so much it was a mistake. That is why I busted too warm. I feel like diagnosing the pattern is easier than the making the temp composite maps. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, I wasn't trying to assuage any angst by making that comparison  Just pointing it out. I made the mistake of including seasons in the January composite, like 2001-2002, because of that expected PT regime mid month.....but as it turned out, the cold dwarfed it so much it was a mistake. That is why I busted too warm. I feel like diagnosing the pattern is easier than the making the temp composite maps. 

That may not be as big of an issue in February.

[ineedsnow]

18z CMC 

[ineedsnow]

and was still going

[jm1220]

20 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

18z CMC 

I’m so sad I’m missing my 1-2” tease on LI. 

[Go Kart Mozart]

34 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

18z CMC 

What's 1mm with very good ratios?

[Chrisrotary12]

2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I don't like that middle system...those sheared systems are usually a lost cause here. It will probably work for CT.

Everything always works for CT. 

[dendrite]

6 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

What's 1mm with very good ratios?

2cm

[dendrite]

SREFs? ARPEGE?