SnoSki14 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 No chance in hell the Euro verifies Cold source is minimal. If there's a storm it will be more like the Icon and rain 2 2 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 11 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: No chance in hell the Euro verifies Cold source is minimal. If there's a storm it will be more like the Icon and rain LOL 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 3 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: No chance in hell the Euro verifies Cold source is minimal. If there's a storm it will be more like the Icon and rain If the detail about the cold source being minimal is true, especially after the cold streak that just happened, then the winter is just about over. The beginning of March is going to really torch, and by the time we get below average temperatures again (if we even do), it will be too late for snow. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Soo did it rain, sleet, freezing rain, snow? Everything is a sheet if ice by me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Icy here as well. Garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 PD Storm III. No one start a thread until Saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Must have poured freezing rain wow insane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 21 hours ago, WX-PA said: Most storms in any winter are supressed. cutters ect. If it wasn't NYC would have 100 inches of snow every winter.Reason February has been snowless is because of arctic high pressure over us.We were too cold..Still have the rest of February and March. I think this winter will have above normal snow in NYC. Many area's have already achieved it. Wouldn't lump this winter with the awful years of 2018-2025 Most storms since 2018-2019 have been cutters, huggers, and suppressed Southern Stream storm tracks. We have also had numerous hugger gradients where the low was south but the mixing line pushed into the I-78 to I-84 corridor due to lack of cold high pressure over New England and an amped Southeast Ridge. January 2026 was our first 10”+ benchmark snowstorm from EWR to ISP and nearby suburbs since January 2022. From 2010 to 2018 we had a record number of benchmark 10”+ snowstorm tracks. During the 2002 to 2009 period we also had more benchmark storm tracks. From 1993 there to 2001 we had a blend of storm tracks including the Miller A track east of the APPS which used to give Central and Eastern PA the record snows those years. That track has mostly been missing over the last 20 years. The 1960s to 1980s featured more of a blend of storm tracks. So there haven’t been any years since the mid 90s that the coastal areas from EWR to ISP didn’t reach 25” without at least one major 10”+KU benchmark snowstorm. Prior to the mid 90s we had a wider variety of the storm tracks so we didn’t have to exclusively rely on 10”+ major benchmark snowstorm tracks to get to 25” from EWR to ISP. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 5 hours ago, MJO812 said: Feeding my newborn and watching the models. He smiled when I showed him the euro. The Little Metfan storm? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 5 hours ago, NEG NAO said: C If it happens awesome. 138 hours left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 From last night's light freezing rain: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 5 hours ago, NEG NAO said: C And its AI cousin says: 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 5 hours ago, NEG NAO said: C Not where I wanna be this far out. Was a decent winter. If it happens it happens. Doubt it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 06z Euro - the coast rains 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 2 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said: Not where I wanna be this far out. Was a decent winter. If it happens it happens. Doubt it Even if we get a good track we have to deal with marginal cold at best. Of course we might finally get the storm but now the cold is gone. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Haven't seen the Euro AI make this big of a shift within 7 days in a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 26 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Even if we get a good track we have to deal with marginal cold at best. Of course we might finally get the storm but now the cold is gone. Ya 6z euro shows that. Monster rainstorm. Hopefully not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Euro ai eps north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Regular eps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 21 hours ago, WX-PA said: Most storms in any winter are supressed. cutters ect. If it wasn't NYC would have 100 inches of snow every winter.Reason February has been snowless is because of arctic high pressure over us.We were too cold..Still have the rest of February and March. I think this winter will have above normal snow in NYC. Many area's have already achieved it. Wouldn't lump this winter with the awful years of 2018-2025 I just see a repeat of my childhood. From 1970 to 1999 it seemed to always change to rain, suppressed, clippers etc. There is a reason CPK only had 4 above average snowfall seasons inb30 years. 1994 was extremely frustrating outside of a couple storms as it was colder than this year and we still repeatedly changed to ice and rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Hopefully the water temps being 31-35 degrees help out keeping things cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxbear25 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 4 minutes ago, nycsnow said: Hopefully the water temps being 31-35 degrees help out keeping things cool Won’t matter if the mid-levels are toasty we really need that northern stream involvement to help inject some cold air into the equation, or else you get what the 6z Euro shows which is a pounding rainstorm with a very, very small area of snow on the northernmost fringe 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Wow what a turnaround 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 4 minutes ago, Wxbear25 said: Won’t matter if the mid-levels are toasty we really need that northern stream involvement to help inject some cold air into the equation, or else you get what the 6z Euro shows which is a pounding rainstorm with a very, very small area of snow on the northernmost fringe I guess I rather track something than a southern slider Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, MJO812 said: Wow what a turnaround Hopefully 6z euro was to north and warm… should be a fun day of tracking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 36 / 24 - warmest day since 1/22 in store with 40 - low 40s for many. Outside of tomorrow and storm track Sun (2/15), 9 or 10 of next 11-12 days may get to or exceed 40s as we enter a warmer period - but still hovering closer to normal more north and east as ridge builds into the eastern 2/3 of the country. Shot at exceeding 50 since January in the 2/17 - 2/20 period. Euro/ GGEM / German have robust QPF / rain - mix ay 06z / snower 00z / GFS/UKMET misses. 2/15-2/16 period to watch otherwise mainly dry. Beyond there in the 2/22 period looks to revert colder - below avg to close the month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Eps and AI euro eps are impressive 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Barely any precip since the 25th snowstorm ( 0.02" ) so we'll be going on 3 weeks of dryness before our next chance of precip. Drought ongoing . 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 14 minutes ago, nycsnow said: Hopefully 6z euro was to north and warm… should be a fun day of tracking There's no cold air, it's going to be rain of it happens Hopefully we get the rain, we really need it. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: There's no cold air, it's going to be rain of it happens Hopefully we get the rain, we really need it. It depends on the track 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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