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February 2026 OBS & Discussion


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On 2/5/2026 at 6:21 PM, NorthShoreWx said:

Its a huge trade-off when it is showing the 64th longest streak as the top 18.

To illustrate with an extreme example, imagine a series where all of the values were 100 except the latest, which was 10.  To say it is the second highest ever is not useful information.

NYC had gone 15 days so far not reaching 40°. That is the 14th longest streak for NYC no matter how many years tied since we are ranking the number of days and not the individual years. With the coming cold next several days this will result in the longest streak in 20 years. 
 

Number of Consecutive Days Max Temperature < 40 
for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 35 1945-02-08
2 34 1886-02-08
3 33 1948-02-11
4 26 1879-01-17
5 25 1881-02-08
6 23 1940-01-13
- 23 1936-02-14
- 23 1885-02-09
7 22 1968-01-17
- 22 1924-02-25
- 22 1918-02-06
- 22 1912-02-15
- 22 1893-01-24
- 22 1883-01-17
- 22 1881-01-06
8 21 2004-02-03
- 21 2000-02-06
- 21 1978-02-16
- 21 1940-02-05
- 21 1901-02-15
- 21 1895-02-16
- 21 1877-01-06
9 20 1905-02-11
- 20 1902-02-22
- 20 1888-02-03
10 19 2003-02-01
- 19 1981-01-18
- 19 1977-01-09
11 18 1970-01-16
- 18 1914-02-25
- 18 1904-01-12
- 18 1887-01-12
12 17 2005-01-31
- 17 2001-01-05
- 17 1977-01-27
- 17 1966-02-07
- 17 1961-02-04
- 17 1948-01-08
- 17 1934-02-14
- 17 1918-01-11
- 17 1910-01-01
- 17 1875-01-21
13 16 2011-02-04
- 16 1963-12-25
- 16 1884-01-30
- 16 1870-03-09
14 15 2026-02-06
- 15 2018-01-08
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Binghamton NY is -3 F with NW winds gusting to 48 mph. Sustained wind is only 18 mph suggesting very squally conditions. Even at the lower wind speed wind chill there is -25 F, probably closer to -40 during stronger gusts, 

Expect a rapid increase in wind speeds in lower Hudson as gradient tightens, once the frontal boundary moves beyond the Berkshires.

 

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37 minutes ago, bluewave said:

NYC had gone 15 days so far not reaching 40°. That is the 14th longest streak for NYC no matter how many years tied since we are ranking the number of days and not the individual years. With the coming cold next several days this will result in the longest streak in 20 years. 
 

 

Number of Consecutive Days Max Temperature < 40 
for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 35 1945-02-08
2 34 1886-02-08
3 33 1948-02-11
4 26 1879-01-17
5 25 1881-02-08
6 23 1940-01-13
- 23 1936-02-14
- 23 1885-02-09
7 22 1968-01-17
- 22 1924-02-25
- 22 1918-02-06
- 22 1912-02-15
- 22 1893-01-24
- 22 1883-01-17
- 22 1881-01-06
8 21 2004-02-03
- 21 2000-02-06
- 21 1978-02-16
- 21 1940-02-05
- 21 1901-02-15
- 21 1895-02-16
- 21 1877-01-06
9 20 1905-02-11
- 20 1902-02-22
- 20 1888-02-03
10 19 2003-02-01
- 19 1981-01-18
- 19 1977-01-09
11 18 1970-01-16
- 18 1914-02-25
- 18 1904-01-12
- 18 1887-01-12
12 17 2005-01-31
- 17 2001-01-05
- 17 1977-01-27
- 17 1966-02-07
- 17 1961-02-04
- 17 1948-01-08
- 17 1934-02-14
- 17 1918-01-11
- 17 1910-01-01
- 17 1875-01-21
13 16 2011-02-04
- 16 1963-12-25
- 16 1884-01-30
- 16 1870-03-09
14 15 2026-02-06
- 15 2018-01-08

But there have been 46 individual instances of longer periods. That would be a much better way to put it into historical context. 

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Just now, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

But there have been 46 individual instances of longer periods. That would be a much better way to put it into historical context. 

But I like to rank the actual temperatures and not the instances. This is why there are multiple ways of sorting. But if you like to rank the instances then you are free to. My focus is more in the weather element than how many ties there have been. Both ways are technically correct. 

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43 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

Overnight models and now 6z models lost 14th storm but now focusing on Presidents’ Day. Verbatim would be warm for NYC south. But It seems like 14-16 something is becoming likely wether wet or white tbd

Always 10 days away..........with absurd precp totals in very dry pattern - good luck ! Today is the 13th day in a row without any significant precip

qpf_acc-imp.conus.png

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6 minutes ago, Freezing Drizzle said:

Last Sunday, there was 100 to 200 yards of ice from the shoreline on the western end of the Raritan Bay near me.
I'll bundle up and check to see if it has expanded.

Some spots could see an ice shove with the strong winds next few days. 

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1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said:

43 and sunny Wednesday woo hoo

and after that should end the intense cold outbreaks this winter and hopefully begin a wholesale pattern change where the southern stream gets more involved with more precip

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