February 2026 OBS & Discussion

[sussexcountyobs]

Still need about 12" here to reach average. 

I think between now and the  next 2 weeks we could make up around half of that. Maybe more if something bigger pops up.

[jm1220]

14 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

GEPS/EPS have a bit of a hostile period where the SER connects to the block but it does not seem to last long.  GEFS does not have it at all or its briefer.  I think we probably hit or exceed normal snows before its all over though

I’m at 29-30” here and average is low to mid 30s. Confident we get to that number and probably over 40”. 

[weatherpruf]

14 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

I’m at 29-30” here and average is low to mid 30s. Confident we get to that number and probably over 40”. 

need some moisture jm....this cold dry is getting ridiculous.....people were actually jogging inside the mall this morning....too cold for outside...

[jm1220]

31 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

need some moisture jm....this cold dry is getting ridiculous.....people were actually jogging inside the mall this morning....too cold for outside...

Feb is our snowiest month on average, even in the dead winters the past few years we were able to make something happen in February. And it can definitely snow into March here. In 2018 we had 6” snow the morning of 4/2. 

[weatherpruf]

3 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Feb is our snowiest month on average, even in the dead winters the past few years we were able to make something happen in February. And it can definitely snow into March here. In 2018 we had 6” snow the morning of 4/2. 

i remember that storm in april.....even my bil in maine was impressed

[SnowGoose69]

ICON finally joined the party on this next system and doesn't have a bomb anymore

[nycsnow]

8 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

ICON finally joined the party on this next system and doesn't have a bomb anymore

Icon has nothing really but it does have a clipper come down if it would’ve went out past 180

[nycsnow]

Some  signals on AI gfs up until the 10th blows up some storms a little to far from us but light precip here 

[nycsnow]

Most of this comes weekend of 14

 

[Jt17]

Most of this comes weekend of 14
 

Just like 1/25 I am traveling that weekend, so lock it in.


.

[nycsnow]

Great 12z suite if you like cold and dry. But models still hinting at a lot of stuff in that 6-14 frame just need something to come together 

[Prue11]

1 hour ago, jm1220 said:

Feb is our snowiest month on average, even in the dead winters the past few years we were able to make something happen in February. And it can definitely snow into March here. In 2018 we had 6” snow the morning of 4/2. 

March 2018 was epic in Suffolk. Nor’easter every weekend. ISP airport recorded 6” in one hour during one of those storms. 

[nycsnow]

Who pissed off Mother Nature?lol 

[NorthShoreWx]

2 hours ago, jm1220 said:

I’m at 29-30” here and average is low to mid 30s. Confident we get to that number and probably over 40”. 

Another 8" needed here for average season.  We're ahead of schedule and we have consistent cold.  It will happen.

[Prue11]

6 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Another 8" needed here for average season.  We're ahead of schedule and we have consistent cold.  It will happen.

I think it will too. 2017-2018 winter I received just under 70” thanks to the March nor’easters. Wonder when we see those amounts again 

[Picard]

Have reached 20 degrees.
It's quite bearable outside without the wind and bright sun.  The sun angle is already noticeably higher and stronger than 5-6 weeks ago.

[NorthShoreWx]

3 minutes ago, Prue11 said:

I think it will too. 2017-2018 winter I received just under 70” thanks to the March nor’easters. Wonder when we see those amounts again 

66" here that winter.  34" after March 1.

[winterwx21]

GFS and Euro have light snow for central and southern NJ early Wednesday morning. That's a little something to keep an eye on along with the clipper for the end of the week. No major storms but maybe we can pull off a coating to an inch or two from those potential events. 

[NyWxGuy]

7 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

GFS and Euro have light snow for central and southern NJ early Wednesday morning. That's a little something to keep an eye on along with the clipper for the end of the week. No major storms but maybe we can pull off a coating to an inch or two from those potential events. 

Yeah the Wednesday threat is pretty much focused on Ohio river valley and mid-atlantic, with a few inches at most. But the clipper around the 7th is consistently showing up on model guidance. Looks like a positively tilted trough for now but if that could back more, we could get something good out of it 

[snywx]

4 hours ago, sussexcountyobs said:

Still need about 12" here to reach average. 

I think between now and the  next 2 weeks we could make up around half of that. Maybe more if something bigger pops up.

Whats your average & current ytd? I only need 4-5" here to reach my seasonal average 

[Wannabehippie]

17 hours ago, wishcast_hater said:

What happened going into Phase 8 or Phase 1?

We are currently in Phase 8 headed to Phase 1. But we are not staying in Phase 1 for very long. We will be in Phase 2 by the 3rd, then loop around 2,3,4 thru the end of February if this model is to be believed.