Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    18,688
    Total Members
    11,691
    Most Online
    dorkchop
    Newest Member
    dorkchop
    Joined

Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.


Typhoon Tip
 Share

Recommended Posts

Funny at the gym I was considering the Boxing Day Storm and how 48 hrs prior that system had been all but entirely smashed SE off the charts… I think it might have been the NAM that made significant surge from the dead … Of course doubts were going on in here like a whiteout 

Then one by one … 300 mi yanks out of the grave … every cycle going forward off all guidance.  The whole thing waited until there was literally zero hope.
Ha ha ha ha 

Anyway, wasn’t the boxing day pretty high in the list of analogs the other day?

It would be kind of fitting if this one came back, although doing it from day four is probably not quite the same scenario

  • 100% 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

 

 

I didn't label the fucking thing Jackasses

Lol I saw it labeled as Feb 10th. I thought it was another storm in the pipeline so I got confused. 
 

But yeah if that is for Sunday’s storm, that max band at H7 is prob your western death band. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Lol I saw it labeled as Feb 10th. I thought it was another storm in the pipeline so I got confused. 
 

But yeah if that is for Sunday’s storm, that max band at H7 is prob your western death band. 

I hope I get a death band on my 69th on the 10th but yeah Weathermodels.com has been funky today.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, dryslot said:

Just getting ready post and say about time for PF to do a drive by and there you are haha.

Haha all joking aside, history seems to have these come in bunches… with a lot of hand wringing in between the clusters.

Can think of numerous examples of the same swath getting smoked by biggies several times in a row.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

36 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Funny 

yeah, that’s where the low really should be…

I think some of these recent upgrades in the models at all our hypersensitive to convection maybe. Just a thought.

Coupling that with a speed flow contaminated atmosphere that’s never gonna integrate well with a low that’s trying to close off and structure itself vertically.

Yes, You get that slp postilion and folks will be very happy across the board.

697aae55b35b4.png

  • Like 2
  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Funny at the gym I was considering the Boxing Day Storm and how 48 hrs prior that system had been all but entirely smashed SE off the charts… I think it might have been the NAM that made significant surge from the dead … Of course doubts were going on in here like a whiteout 

Then one by one … 300 mi yanks out of the grave … every cycle going forward off all guidance.  The whole thing waited until there was literally zero hope.
Ha ha ha ha 

Anyway, wasn’t the boxing day pretty high in the list of analogs the other day?

It would be kind of fitting if this one came back, although doing it from day four is probably not quite the same scenario

It was the 12z OP GFS on Christmas Eve. It was so outlandish that even the NCEP model diagnostic discussion tossed it! Lol. 

  • Like 2
  • Haha 1
  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

It was the 12z OP GFS on Christmas Eve. It was so outlandish that even the NCEP model diagnostic discussion tossed it! Lol. 

12z Nam also shifted way west that day  . The euro then came in way ots but the eps was way west. What a bizarre day.

 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I think kuchera is not particularly usable with this setup.  Also, wind could be big shredding good growth.

Oh I totally agree, haha. Just interested in that output given the QPF dump. Drifting would be historic at +50mph, redux 2005 despite it being a totally different setup.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Question.... can we take that Euro run seriously? It has a 1001 mb LP off the NC Coastline at 72 hours. 12 hours later, that same LP hasn't move but is 977 mb... hooray bombogenesis. At the same time that convectively induced LP off Bermuda is nuking and 6 hours later it is 967 mb heading for landfall on Nantucket. 6 hours later, the NC LP is now sub 970 and skirting east towards Bermuda while the convective LP dies off ACK. Then suddenly at 102, we have a 965 mb beast looping near ACK.

Like WTF is going? Fujiwara effect I suppose but my god. 

  • Like 2
  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...