brooklynwx99 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 5 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Ive noticed it a lot this winter especially but over the past several years. If 00Z doesnt slide back E, ill be a lot more convinced this is real. Want to see some consistency, lot of waffling right now...but we're still in that range. woooosh wolfie yeah if it holds at 00z it's real 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 start squinting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Get me some of that deformation band please 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Big boy hits there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: start squinting Several big dogs in there, even as far back as W CT/W MA to the NY boarder...a lot more than 12Z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattm4242 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Now that I’ve jacked on a storm, I’m an addicted fiend 2 12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 The indies (low locations) will be interesting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 6 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: start squinting Way higher percentage of hits compared to 12z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 7 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: start squinting nothing really changed. looks decent to good for E-SE NE, but otherwise ....concerns 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 20 minutes ago, dendrite said: The funny thing is it throws that convective low we’ve been tossing our way this run. It delivers snow so I suppose it’s correct now. Usually the convective lows are correct when a bunch of higher skill guidance is showing them. So this is the way to get crushed…have it get sling shotted around to the north and blast us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 What the Euro solution here just showed was similar to the explanation I stated with the 84-hour NAM. Confluence weakens because the so-called potential kicker is held at bay and the trough access being further west allows this to bomb out and come north. Not to mention that the convection does rob the energy from the primary Low, in fact, in slings it north. This the overall type of signal that people want to see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 8 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: start squinting We went from 12 good hits for E MA on the last run to 20 or so on this run. I got my microscope out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Just now, Torch Tiger said: nothing really changed. looks decent to good for E-SE NE, but otherwise ....concerns That looks quite a bit more favorable than 12z. A lot more runs that are dumping 1”+ of QPF around Boston and even metrowest. There’s obviously still plenty of scrapers and whiffs. I’m not sold yet but 18z Euro suite was def good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 lol. if the 00z holds i will get more excited 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Usually the convective lows are correct when a bunch of higher skill guidance is showing them. So this is the way to get crushed…have it get sling shotted around to the north and blast us. Sure…but this run takes it from the Bahamas to Bermuda and then to the Cape. Maybe it’s right, but I’d like to see it repeat something similar come 00z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 12 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: start squinting Not going to lie, I'll need more bumps west for here. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Could just be a burp... hopefully 0z will continue to progress favorably. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Sure…but this run takes it from the Bahamas to Bermuda and then to the Cape. Maybe it’s right, but I’d like to see it repeat something similar come 00z. Off of the palm tree, off of Bemuda, nothing but net- 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Could just be a burp... hopefully 0z will continue to progress favorably. 26 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: A foot? LBOMF Lol 46 hrs of snow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Could just be a burp... hopefully 0z will continue to progress favorably. Yeah, maybe the GFS and Euro both burped in opposite ways, and they will both find the middle ground at 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 wxbell 18Z EPS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Off of the palm tree, off of Bemuda, nothing but net- 1 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JACKASS Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said: Yeah, maybe the GFS and Euro both burped in opposite ways, and they will both find the middle ground at 0z. Most likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JACKASS Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Just now, dendrite said: First thing that came to mind! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Just get 0z to have some tics back west on guidance, Getting to the point where regression east is at least a nail in the coffin for many inland away from the coast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Be careful…18z can fool us. And no, I’m not buying in…done that too many times. If others come west/improve at 0z, and Euro holds/improves, then it’s probably real. But that’s a Big If there. But, with that said…this is what we’ve been waiting to see. But it could also just be a burp of the 18z ilk. 0z will be telling. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Just now, WinterWolf said: Be careful…18z can fool us. And no, I’m not buying in…done that too many times. If others come west/improve at 0z, and Euro holds/improves, then it’s probably real. But that’s a Big If there. But, with that said…this is what we’ve been waiting to see. But it could also just be a burp of the 18z ilk. 0z will be telling. It will be telling us that were going to look at 06z next. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 29 Author Share Posted January 29 50 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro with the pointy boob Funny yeah, that’s where the low really should be… I think some of these recent upgrades in the models at all our hypersensitive to convection maybe. Just a thought. Coupling that with a speed flow contaminated atmosphere that’s never gonna integrate well with a low that’s trying to close off and structure itself vertically. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Shooter is Torch Tiger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol 46 hrs of snow Dong on my face there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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