Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.

[brooklynwx99]

5 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Ive noticed it a lot this winter especially but over the past several years. If 00Z doesnt slide back E, ill be a lot more convinced this is real. Want to see some consistency, lot of waffling right now...but we're still in that range.

woooosh wolfie

yeah if it holds at 00z it's real

[ineedsnow]

start squinting 

[HoarfrostHubb]

Get me some of that deformation band please

[Damage In Tolland]

Big boy hits there 

[The 4 Seasons]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

start squinting 

Several big dogs in there, even as far back as W CT/W MA to the NY boarder...a lot more than 12Z

[mattm4242]

Now that I’ve jacked on a storm, I’m an addicted fiend 

[EastonSN+]

The indies (low locations) will be interesting 

[Kitz Craver]

6 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

start squinting 

Way higher percentage of hits compared to 12z

[Torch Tiger]

7 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

start squinting 

nothing really changed. looks decent to good for E-SE NE, but otherwise ....concerns

[ORH_wxman]

20 minutes ago, dendrite said:

The funny thing is it throws that convective low we’ve been tossing our way this run. It delivers snow so I suppose it’s correct now.

Usually the convective lows are correct when a bunch of higher skill guidance is showing them. So this is the way to get crushed…have it get sling shotted around to the north and blast us. 

[Greg]

What the Euro solution here just showed was similar to the explanation I stated with the 84-hour NAM. Confluence weakens because the so-called potential kicker is held at bay and the trough access being further west allows this to bomb out and come north. Not to mention that the convection does rob the energy from the primary Low, in fact, in slings it north. This the overall type of signal that people want to see.

[78Blizzard]

8 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

start squinting 

We went from 12 good hits for E MA on the last run to 20 or so on this run.  I got my microscope out.

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, Torch Tiger said:

nothing really changed. looks decent to good for E-SE NE, but otherwise ....concerns

That looks quite a bit more favorable than 12z. A lot more runs that are dumping 1”+ of QPF around Boston and even metrowest. There’s obviously still plenty of scrapers and whiffs. I’m not sold yet but 18z Euro suite was def good. 

[brooklynwx99]

lol. if the 00z holds i will get more excited

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Usually the convective lows are correct when a bunch of higher skill guidance is showing them. So this is the way to get crushed…have it get sling shotted around to the north and blast us. 

Sure…but this run takes it from the Bahamas to Bermuda and then to the Cape. Maybe it’s right, but I’d like to see it repeat something similar come 00z.

[dryslot]

12 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

start squinting 

Not going to lie, I'll need more bumps west for here.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Could just be a burp... hopefully 0z will continue to progress favorably.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Sure…but this run takes it from the Bahamas to Bermuda and then to the Cape. Maybe it’s right, but I’d like to see it repeat something similar come 00z.

Off of the palm tree, off of Bemuda, nothing but net-

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

Could just be a burp... hopefully 0z will continue to progress favorably.

26 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

A foot?

LBOMF

Lol 46 hrs of snow 

 

[78Blizzard]

1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Could just be a burp... hopefully 0z will continue to progress favorably.

Yeah, maybe the GFS and Euro both burped in opposite ways, and they will both find the middle ground at 0z.

[The 4 Seasons]

wxbell 18Z EPS

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Off of the palm tree, off of Bemuda, nothing but net-

[JACKASS]

1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said:

Yeah, maybe the GFS and Euro both burped in opposite ways, and they will both find the middle ground at 0z.

Most likely

[JACKASS]

Just now, dendrite said:

First thing that came to mind!

[dryslot]

Just get 0z to have some tics back west on guidance, Getting to the point where regression east is at least a nail in the coffin for many inland away from the coast.

[WinterWolf]

Be careful…18z can fool us. And no, I’m not buying in…done that too many times.  If others come west/improve at 0z, and Euro holds/improves, then it’s probably real. But that’s a Big If there.  But, with that said…this is what we’ve been waiting to see. But it could also just be a burp of the 18z ilk.
 

0z will be telling.  

[dryslot]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Be careful…18z can fool us. And no, I’m not buying in…done that too many times.  If others come west/improve at 0z, and Euro holds/improves, then it’s probably real. But that’s a Big If there.  But, with that said…this is what we’ve been waiting to see. But it could also just be a burp of the 18z ilk.
 

0z will be telling.  

It will be telling us that were going to look at 06z next.

[Typhoon Tip]

50 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro with the pointy boob

Funny 

yeah, that’s where the low really should be…

I think some of these recent upgrades in the models at all our hypersensitive to convection maybe. Just a thought.

Coupling that with a speed flow contaminated atmosphere that’s never gonna integrate well with a low that’s trying to close off and structure itself vertically.

[H2Otown_WX]

4 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Shooter is Torch Tiger

[WinterWolf]

6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Lol 46 hrs of snow 

 

Dong on my face there.