February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post

[snowfan]

Can’t convince me grey beard is some former poster that was run off and is back under a new username. 

[TSSN+]

11 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Thank you for your service.

Man I miss weenie tags 

[midatlanticweather]

You guys are relentless trolls. @GreyHat, the Ai models are too new to get too confident in them. But, I would say, they have been pretty wild at sniffing some stuff out. As of now, remain skeptical.. It has been bouncing too.. I do not think we have much confidence on anything next weekend... And models don't either.. Which is why we don't.. Lol

[GreyHat]

1 minute ago, midatlanticweather said:

You guys are relentless trolls. @GreyHat, the Ai models are too new to get too confident in them. But, I would say, they have been pretty wild at sniffing some stuff out. As of now, remain skeptical.. It has been bouncing too.. I do not think we have much confidence on anything next weekend... And models don't either.. Which is why we don't.. Lol

Thank you for the answer as the others couldn't answer it that's why they feel the need to attack someone.

 

[GreyHat]

25 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said:

Exactly. Just because recent years have admittedly been hard for the majority of the sub they act like they are "owed" snow as if they don't get 4-8" while I sit under 40 degree rain 90% of the time historically.

 

The hat man is a troll, shit may not even be from fucking DE. put his ass on ignore like ji and 50 others and move the fuck on.

Sure hope you don't kiss your significant other or mother with that mouth.

[Paleocene]

24 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said:

Exactly. Just because recent years have admittedly been hard for the majority of the sub they act like they are "owed" snow as if they don't get 4-8" while I sit under 40 degree rain 90% of the time historically.

 

The hat man is a troll, shit may not even be from fucking DE. put his ass on ignore like ji and 50 others and move the fuck on.

Lol sorry and no harm meant to DE. His incessant mentions of the place drove me a bit nuts. I have friends and relatives there, and since I moved to the DC area as an adult, it's one of my favorite escapes to get out to the shore (and to Milton for DFH). The grey wizard is now on my ignore list.

[GreyHat]

23 minutes ago, snowfan said:

Can’t convince me grey beard is some former poster that was run off and is back under a new username. 

No, I'm not a former poster.

[GreyHat]

1 minute ago, Paleocene said:

3 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

Lol sorry and no harm meant to DE. His incessant mentions of the place drove me a bit nuts. I have friends and relatives there, and since I moved to the DC area as an adult, it's one of my favorite escapes to get out to the shore (and to Milton for DFH). The grey wizard is now on my ignore list.

Glad to hear that, now hopefully the others would follow your lead instead of the constant bashing. Doubt it but maybe they will show some maturity. 

[Weather Will]

WB 18Z ICON at 120 compared to 12Z

[Solution Man]

5 minutes ago, GreyHat said:

Glad to hear that, now hopefully the others would follow your lead instead of the constant bashing. Doubt it but maybe they will show some maturity. 

He didn’t see your post.
 

What’s going on with you Hat.  I thought you were goona get your game together and join us. Gotta slow down, you came on strong man.

[ravensrule]

1 hour ago, Solution Man said:

It’s a U.S. territory 

It's next to Puerto Rico?. 

[mitchnick]

19 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 18Z ICON at 120 compared to 12Z

I think you can see differences better with the 5H anomaly maps. That said, the 2 runs are pretty different, but we'll drive ourselves crazy doing this every 6 hours between now and next Sunday. 

[BristowWx]

33 minutes ago, GreyHat said:

No, I'm not a former poster.

Hey fella.  What’s going on?  There is a knock at the door…it’s GreyHat…open it…talk 

[Jake Wx]

really decent chance for 3"  on  the aifs ens, 40-60% for most

[Climate175]

15 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

Hey fella.  What’s going on?  There is a knock at the door…it’s GreyHat…open it…talk 

Good comedy on this forum when nothing going on lol. 

[GreyHat]

23 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

He didn’t see your post.
 

What’s going on with you Hat.  I thought you were goona get your game together and join us. Gotta slow down, you came on strong man.

I had taken advise and was not posting. 

I saw Terpeast post about the 12z EPS, comparing it to the 00z. I saw there was a difference between 12z EPS and AIEPS. So, I asked the question.

Others on here thought it was more fun bashing me before and after the post including yourself. 

Midatlanticweather was nice enough to answer my question. 

My assumption from your photo that your Army or former Army. 

[87storms]

3 hours ago, AdamHLG said:

In Central / Northern Baltimore County that was 10-12" and then a sleet bomb and then (and still currently) a cold spell for the ages.  The most snow since 2016 - it's been 10 years.  Many schools closed for about a week.  Major impact storm.  If this is all we get all winter I will take it in a heartbeat.  Hopefully we are not done, but imagine the mood around here if we didn't even get that?     

I don’t know how you got that much, but congrats. I got 6” here…measured in multiple spots and by about 10am it was sleet. I know measuring on a snowboard is the official method, but I care a lot more about what’s actually settled on the ground. The cold has been legit, no question about that…but also annoying lol. I’d much rather have a few good snowstorms than predominantly cold/dry. Then again, I also grew up during a time where we actually got snow on the regular including 94 when I experienced several inches of pure sleet from start to finish (so this last storm was mid in comparison). It’s all perspective, I guess, but I would still objectively call this winter pretty lame from a snow to cold ratio. We’ll see how the rest plays out.

[GreyHat]

18 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

Hey fella.  What’s going on?  There is a knock at the door…it’s GreyHat…open it…talk 

No thank you

[rjvanals]

Love the consistency of the GFS 

[Solution Man]

3 minutes ago, GreyHat said:

I had taken advise and was not posting. 

I saw Terpeast post about the 12z EPS, comparing it to the 00z. I saw there was a difference between 12z EPS and AIEPS. So, I asked the question.

Others on here thought it was more fun bashing me before and after the post including yourself. 

Midatlanticweather was nice enough to answer my question. 

My assumption from your photo that your Army or former Army. 

I am a retired Army officer. Lots of fun and humor, and of course great red taggers and professionals in here. Enjoy yourself and carve out your space, and have a great time. Most important, roll with the humor.

[Ji]

Love the consistency of the GFS 

Atlantic was way more suppressive that run

[Terpeast]

1 hour ago, GreyHat said:

AIEPS not as strong as the EPS, so does one hold more weight over the other?

Legit question. AI EPS has been one of the best models/ensembles in terms of verification at these lead times (one week or more).

However, the best practice is to check how the same model has been trending from run to run. Even though the s/w trough on the AI EPS isn’t as sharp as the original EPS, it also has trended the same way as EPS did. The AI models usually smooth things out too much so they don’t do well predicting extremes (or sharpness of trough waves one week out). So my answer would be that both AI and non-AI EPS suites showed similar results for 12z. 

[Weather Will]

7 minutes ago, Ji said:

Atlantic was way more suppressive that run

Was it that or lack of a phase.  Northern stream was dominant? See WB 18Z GFS compared to 12Z.

[GreyHat]

5 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

I am a retired Army officer. Lots of fun and humor, and of course great red taggers and professionals in here. Enjoy yourself and carve out your space, and have a great time. Most important, roll with the humor.

Off topic

Thank you for your service. I retired as Navy enlisted. Turned down LDO, as I like hands on. I've worked with SPECOPS and Seal team 2. Getting ready to retire from Federal government.

Thank you for the advice. 

[GreyHat]

11 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Legit question. AI EPS has been one of the best models/ensembles in terms of verification at these lead times (one week or more).

However, the best practice is to check how the same model has been trending from run to run. Even though the s/w trough on the AI EPS isn’t as sharp as the original EPS, it also has trended the same way as EPS did. The AI models usually smooth things out too much so they don’t do well predicting extremes (or sharpness of trough waves one week out). So my answer would be that both AI and non-AI EPS suites showed similar results for 12z. 

Thank you for the explanation. 

[snowfan]

[CAPE]

7 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Was it that or lack of a phase.  Northern stream was dominant? See WB 18Z GFS compared to 12Z.

 

Good job Will!

You may post in the other thread.

Less snow map posts and more of this.

[Climate175]

32 minutes ago, snowfan said:

Flip flop, flip flop lol.

[bncho]

Euro AI is a little bit colder and significantly better