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February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post


Weather Will
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22 minutes ago, bncho said:

It’s a slop storm verbatim. Probably around 5-8:1 ratios. Temps are around 35-38 in the metros. 

Would be interesting to see what the ground effects would be with how cold it's been. Its going to warm up a little next week but it's literally a frozen tundra out there  right now.

Snowing at 34 degrees after the last few weeks should have a different effect than what we normally see around these parts. 

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25 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

So we WANT a delay?

Based on those maps, I think so yes. If no delay, the streams will phase too soon and cut. Instead the lead NS wave can reinforce cold air while the second wave approaches

The other end of the spectrum is the wave getting delayed so much that confluence leaves and its too warm by the time it gets here. But i think thats less likely because the ao/nao seem to be trending more negative in recent runs. 

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30 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Based on those maps, I think so yes. If no delay, the streams will phase too soon and cut. Instead the lead NS wave can reinforce cold air while the second wave approaches

The other end of the spectrum is the wave getting delayed so much that confluence leaves and its too warm by the time it gets here. But i think thats less likely because the ao/nao seem to be trending more negative in recent runs. 

Agree with this take. Phasing both streams is how we get back to Jan 25th but now without the insane cold to keep us from raining. Instead, allowing the first NS to go by gives us 1. a chance for a light event 2. cold air. Then whatever happens out west happens. 

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2 hours ago, bncho said:

It’s a slop storm verbatim. Probably around 5-8:1 ratios. Temps are around 35-38 in the metros. 

Awe, may not get GFS storm. With the 2m temps, 850mb temps, it might as well be a rain maker.

 

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