January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage OBS Thread!

[Ephesians2]

Slightly over an inch in Lynchburg.  

It's been pretty light snow. Hoping the band about to move in isn't sleet. 

[WEATHER53]

31 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

It's gonna take a while to get up here. He is in one of the yellow pockets. 

We want dark greens DC and not yellows 

[clskinsfan]

1 minute ago, Hank Scorpio said:

every single flake is sticking

That is the game right there. Every flake you see fall will be here for a month. Something I have not seen since the 80's. The cold that is coming is going to shock people. 

[EHoffman]

Not doing much in Adams Morgan right now.  But I really like the look of the radar right now.  Should get fun in an hour or so.

[bncho]

Picked up quite quickly, actually! Nice SN-!

[JenkinsJinkies]

3 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

The cold that is coming is going to shock people. 

2014 was only 12 years ago.

[bncho]

Instant cave on roads

[psuhoffman]

9 minutes ago, Ji said:

Lol he isn’t talking about dca

I was trying to be nice but he forced me to say it. The heavy banding is just north of them on the rrfs during that time. It’s more extreme north VA and northern MD nw of 95 that was directed at 

[Dendrimer77]

Right at an inch so far about 8 miles north of Charlottesville proper. 13F

It's more powdery than we typically see around here, thanks to the Arctic air intrusion we've got. I've never experienced such cold at ground level with a forecast of heavy sleet on the way. Weather gonna weather I guess 

[understudyhero]

Just now, Dendrimer77 said:

Right at an inch so far about 8 miles north of Charlottesville proper. 13F

It's more powdery than we typically see around here, thanks to the Arctic air intrusion we've got. I've never experienced such cold at ground level with a forecast of heavy sleet on the way. Weather gonna weather I guess 

It might not. 

This is so unusual there is a chance the models don't play out at all.

There's also a chance we get something wildly unexpected. 

This might be the event that is a future unicorn "... it looks like Jan 26, remember when x happened? that was unexpected"

[WVsnowlover]

Light pixie dust here outside of Charles Town, WV.

[SnowtoRain]

16.9, pixie dust starting in Easton, looks like Cambridge has a dusting.

[psuhoffman]

UKMET is in the big thump camp. .7 qpf in DC before the flip. About .9 Winchester to Westminster before mix 

[Ji]

UKMET is in the big thump camp. .7 qpf in DC before the flip. About .9 Winchester to Westminster before mix 

Rgem was pretty good. Not like 18z good but workable

[NorthArlington101]

Setting a 3am alarm so I can take a cat nap and hopefully see some good rates. OPM closure Monday should hopefully allow some sleet recovery. Good luck, everyone!

Pretty much just flurries in DC for now. Small patio table dusted.

[Sernest14]

About .5-.75 in Ashland 

[ErinInTheSky]

I might just take a nap so this snow hole goes away.

[EB89]

First flakes in Frederick

[NorthArlington101]

Rgem was pretty good. Not like 18z good but workable

Don’t check the higher res version

[konksw]

Snowing in DC. 

[psuhoffman]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

Rgem was pretty good. Not like 18z good but workable

Yea if we toss the NAM because it’s in its own universe. (Not saying it might not be right but it’s hard to bet on it v everything else) all other guidance is starting to tighten things up right through our area. Somewhere near us is going to be a very sharp gradient with 8-12” on one side of the line and 10 miles the other side only 3-5”.  Right now my best guess is somewhere near you to Baltimore ends up near that line and tiny factors will decide if it’s a few miles one way or the other 

[clskinsfan]

13 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I was trying to be nice but he forced me to say it. The heavy banding is just north of them on the rrfs during that time. It’s more extreme north VA and northern MD nw of 95 that was directed at 

It always is though... right. 

[RDM]

Went from sn-- to sn here NW of Vienna within the last 10 mins.  Driveway is turning white.   16F/6dp

 

[psuhoffman]

Just now, clskinsfan said:

It always is though... right. 

DC is just…I dunno it’s like they have some snow dome right there. And even when we get southern sliders they often end up missing the real big totals on those to the south. 

[poprock49]

Finally going here in Chevy Chase. Won't pretend that hole didn't piss me off, but now I can get some sleep and be ready for the goods!

[bncho]

SN-, borderline SN. Flakes getting bigger

[Brianonymous]

I can confirm light snow here. 18F

[Grothar of Herndon]

Light snow 

18/6

Herndon VA

[EHoffman]

Just now, psuhoffman said:

DC is just…I dunno it’s like they have some snow dome right there. And even when we get southern sliders they often end up missing the real big totals on those to the south. 

Can you stop needling us city folk?  We have it hard enough

[Ji]

Yea if we toss the NAM because it’s in its own universe. (Not saying it might not be right but it’s hard to bet on it v everything else) all other guidance is starting to tighten things up right through our area. Somewhere near us is going to be a very sharp gradient with 8-12” on one side of the line and 10 miles the other side only 3-5”.  Right now my best guess is somewhere near you to Baltimore ends up near that line and tiny factors will decide if it’s a few miles one way or the other 

https://x.com/forecaster25/status/2015272316763017327?s=46&t=C005pd5HNg3Y-KhVU7n3VA