dendrite Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Yup...great point. I'll say too...looking around at various locations, I would like to start seeing some stronger omega values popping up on some of these soundings. It's easy to get carried away with ratios given everything but we aren't going to automatically snag very high ratios because the DGZ is deep and its cold. There are really a ton of details to go over and analyze on this It’s a big push of isentropic lift…more of a consistent upglide over the cold dome. Sadly you can’t seem to find isentropic model maps anymore online. This would be a pretty cold isentropic surface to work with. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 hour ago, Hoth said: I'm stoked for this, but it's a trifle disappointing that even with a fantastic antecedent airmass we still can't seem to escape taint down here. It's been ages since we've had a bona fide major that stayed snow start to finish. Hopefully you lived in Hamden in Feb 2013 for the 40 inches. My sister sent me this from her apartment there. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 @weatherwiz do any of these work for you? I forgot this guy’s page even existed https://www.wxcaster.com/isentropic.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 13 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: A bit low Nah, They can go up instead of going back, Going back is not a good look. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: @weatherwiz do any of these work for you? I forgot this guy’s page even existed https://www.wxcaster.com/isentropic.htm Nothing loads for me either I forgot all about his page...his site used to be my go to for soundings back in the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lurker Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 The Monday stuff is a wild card in my opinion 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: The Monday stuff is a wild card in my opinion Yup, I don’t think that is pinned down yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warwick WX Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 That channel 7 weenie is trying to find paydirt via the three-way (RI/CT/MA border). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 I won’t be surprised if sleet makes it up to this area for an hour or two 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I won’t be surprised if sleet makes it up to this area for an hour or two Even if it does or won’t really cut back much. Just nice to sit back and enjoy this event and know that we have more potentially in the pipeline. All you can ask. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Nammy is coming in hot in the MidAtl 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Even if it does or won’t really cut back much. Just nice to sit back and enjoy this event and know that we have more potentially in the pipeline. All you can ask. Yeah, we’re about locked. Maybe coastal areas need to watch out for a marginal cut, but overall this should be a tremendous region wide high end event. First in a long long time. Big cold after. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Bottom line…gonna be a big storm and big hit. We take and enjoy. 12-18 is a good bet where we stand right now. As others have said…whatever happens during the day Monday(if anything at all) will be the extra or not. Let’s enjoy this. It’s been a long time coming. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Even if it does or won’t really cut back much. Just nice to sit back and enjoy this event and know that we have more potentially in the pipeline. All you can ask. Yeah it won’t make much difference. I’m pretty bullish on Monday. I’ve seen that look and flow enough times over the years. It’s gonna snow right into Monday night with that east inflow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Even if it does or won’t really cut back much. Just nice to sit back and enjoy this event and know that we have more potentially in the pipeline. All you can ask. Welcome back. Lets go! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Nam might be a little less amped this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah it won’t make much difference. I’m pretty bullish on Monday. I’ve seen that look and flow enough times over the years. It’s gonna snow right into Monday night with that east inflow I'm not sure that you and I get much accumulating snow after 3PM or so on Monday. Hopefully Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: I'm not sure that you and I get much accumulating snow after 3PM or so on Monday. Hopefully I could see our areas getting 3-6 “ during the day . Eastern areas more 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 12z Nam is a bit flat this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Going to be a hellacious fronto band moving through 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Nam is pound town here late Sunday aftn and evening. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Oh here we go...northeast CT right along the RI border. This is it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Def a bit more confluence so far. But it was pretty jacked at 06z so not totally surprising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 45 minutes ago, dendrite said: @weatherwiz do any of these work for you? I forgot this guy’s page even existed https://www.wxcaster.com/isentropic.htm jesus i remember this site from college - still called the ETA in the mid 2000s, haven't been there in years. Nothing loads though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 So what’s everyone’s guess? Snowday monday, do some places cancel Tuesday too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nam might be a little less amped this run. Looks like that energy ejecting out of the Baja is a little more south and neutered. It may be for the best on the S coast because it looked like thermals were running warmer DC-south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCHurricane Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nam might be a little less amped this run. How long the primary system holds on over interior mid-Atlantic vs. transfer to the coast will be important for extreme southern New England areas. 12z NAM seems to transfer to coast a bit quicker with primary not making it as nearly as far north —> flatter run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Oh here we go...northeast CT right along the RI border. This is it It’s being a little generous with the dgz there. -10C is out of the max dendritic zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Nam looks better down here....definitely pancaking the precip more, squeezing out a bunch too. Mixing doesnt make it to the CT coast this time 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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