January 24-25: Miracle or Mirage

[Weather Will]

WB 0Z 12K NAM at Fantasy range.

[Quasievil]

1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Dang that run was going to be something else.  Im ready for the real 0z stuff.

Totally agree. I think it was going to go bananas.

[nj2va]

It’s a terrible model but whatever, NAM at 84H is eye candy. Don’t ban me @CAPE

[Weather Will]

I agree that the NAMs are not good, but they do sometimes show red flags: like the low out west not ejecting east, or a Great Lakes low appearing.  No flies in the ointment in this run that I can see at 0Z.

[bncho]

Just now, Weather Will said:

I agree that the NAMs are not good, but they do sometimes show red flags: like the low out west not ejecting east, or a Great Lakes low appearing.  No flies in the ointment in this run that I can see at 0Z.

The NAM is a terrible model until it shows the least snowy outcome, then it becomes prime Euro.

[Random Chaos]

17 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Its an awful model. Look at it out of boredom, or for entertainment purposes. The real models will be along soon.

Only reason NAM is the worst is the CRAS model got retired.

[Chris78]

2 minutes ago, nj2va said:

It’s a terrible model but whatever, NAM at 84H is eye candy. Don’t ban me @CAPE

That was going to be a beat down.  Might be some crazy naming the next few days.

[Maestrobjwa]

23 minutes ago, Amped said:

I'm calling it 'The Baja Bastard'. I dont care what TWC thinks.

Already got dibs on Baja naming...so I declare it to be called Baja Blast 

[bncho]

We're on "F" for naming, right? We should call this Winter Storm Folks (TM)!

[CAPE]

7 minutes ago, nj2va said:

It’s a terrible model but whatever, NAM at 84H is eye candy. Don’t ban me @CAPE

I'll give it some credit- for looking a lot like some of the better models at that point lol. 

[Quasievil]

TWC naming a “storm” that is simply model 1’s and 0’s right now is hysterical. That channel was much more fun to watch on my CRT cabinet television hooked up to rabbit ears.

[jayyy]

TWC is ballsy putting out a map already.

[jayyy]

TWC naming a “storm” that is simply model 1’s and 0’s right now is hysterical. That channel was much more fun to watch on my CRT cabinet television hooked up to rabbit ears.

Not just naming it… putting this map out there already.


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[Warm Nose]

Just now, jayyy said:

Not just naming it… putting this map out there already.


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It's all about driving viewership. Hype!

[Quasievil]

Just now, jayyy said:

Not just naming it… putting this map out there already.


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Truly ridiculous. It might be right, who knows, but it’s irresponsible because it gives false hope that the models are always this good 4-5 days out. So dumb.

[stormtracker]

2 minutes ago, jayyy said:

Not just naming it… putting this map out there already.


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 Pretty bold this early.  Weird they have that max where there's going to be some mixing

[nw baltimore wx]

2 minutes ago, jayyy said:

Not just naming it… putting this map out there already.


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Hopefully Cantore goes to Richmond.

[Ephesians2]

Just now, jayyy said:

Not just naming it… putting this map out there already.


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That is absolutely ridiculous. I will be lucky to see half that.

It generally seems local TV forecasters are much more responsible. They are more accountable and aren't the sole source of revenue 

[Ephesians2]

Just now, stormtracker said:

 Pretty bold this early.  Weird they have that max where there's going to be some mixing

It's literally just a copy paste of the most bullish operational models

[TSSN+]

2 minutes ago, jayyy said:

Not just naming it… putting this map out there already.


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People still watch TWC? Haven’t watched it in like 10 years. 

[IUsedToHateCold]

The die roll was 11, so my naming recommendation is "Storm Stranger Things". It will turn our winter upside down. 

[stormtracker]

Just now, TSSN+ said:

People still watch TWC? Haven’t watched it in like 10 years. 

That was my thought.  And local news

[Ralph Wiggum]

2 minutes ago, Warm Nose said:

It's all about driving viewership. Hype!

If they want viewers back go back to the 90s style and lose the "shows"/series they currently run. Local on the 8s i could watch and listen to that smooth jazz for hourrsssss

[CAPE]

1 minute ago, jayyy said:

Not just naming it… putting this map out there already.


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They bold! Nah, just stupid. TWC has been irrelevant and just silly for a long time now. Sad.

[MillvilleWx]

1 minute ago, Ephesians2 said:

That is absolutely ridiculous. I will be lucky to see half that.

It generally seems local TV forecasters are much more responsible. They are more accountable and aren't the sole source of revenue 

If you’re in Lynchburg, you could very well see 15+”. There’s a chance this amps up and you mix down there, but your area is setup to get crushed by the WAA regime, at the very least. I wouldn’t just dismiss this forecast for you unless you are truly expecting this to shift well to your north. 
 

That said, TWC putting out a forecast is insanity at this range. 

[Nomz]

Anyone have ICON maps faster than pivotal lol

[bncho]

ICON looks better than 12z so far, if that is possible.

[Scraff]

17 minutes ago, Random Chaos said:

Only reason NAM is the worst is the CRAS model got retired.

So sad when it got retired. That CRAS is still a fav joke of mine when talking about models….that sucked.  

[Buddy1987]

18 minutes ago, Random Chaos said:

Only reason NAM is the worst is the CRAS model got retired.

Bring back the ETA. Old school is still worth something! Look at Johnny Lawrence from Karate Kid/Cobra Kai! Guy is still a badass. 

[Warm Nose]

5 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

If they want viewers back go back to the 90s style and lose the "shows"/series they currently run. Local on the 8s i could watch and listen to that smooth jazz for hourrsssss

You still can

https://battaglia.ddns.net/twc/