cbmclean Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 7 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Seems like half the social media weather community is people from the Northeast who will defend any model that shows what they want to see Everybody wishcasts to some degree...everybody. One must just try to minimize it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdawg10 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 this is getting spicy 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Incoming on the euro 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Probably not a bad thing that the multi-year base state has been for mostly weaker/suppressed/strung out storms and that is the exact scenario that works in our favor this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Should be a Big Euro Run.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Hell has frozen over, we’re going to have near perfect agreement with the GFS and EURO 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Even Euro AI foresees prodigious Cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Just now, SnowDawg said: Probably not a bad thing that the multi-year base state has been for mostly weaker/suppressed/strung out storms and that is the exact scenario that works in our favor this time. I’ve always felt this way. People can still score a decent amount without ice or Plain Jane rain. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 4 minutes ago, BooneWX said: Hell has frozen over, we’re going to have near perfect agreement with the GFS and EURO Let the south bleed begin only to swing back north and crush us all in the last 48 hours 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Monster Run on the Euro especially central NC and north... 18"+ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Great trends on the Euro. Baja low trended west. Cold HP trended stronger. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 6 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 1 minute ago, buckeyefan1 said: All but a sliver of VA in double digits is wild. The footprint of this thing is nuts. Very 2010 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Godspeed to anyone in the freezing rain sector of this storm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 2 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: Not good for SC but a lot of that would likely be sleet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 90% of the time, there will be a central NC cutoff... You can bank on it. Most of the time that is snow/rain. This time it may be snow/ice. But the cutoff is always there. Look at that EURO run. Over 50-75 miles you go from 17" to no snow. Setting up around southern Wake as usual. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Just textbook 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Sleet is always under-modeled. The closer you get to the all snow line the more snow/sleet I think you’d see and less freezing rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 The great southern winter storm of 26 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 2 minutes ago, BooneWX said: Godspeed to anyone in the freezing rain sector of this storm I hope to God a lot of that is sleet. This run of the EURO was slower to get the moisture in here. Previous EURO had precip starting in GA Saturday morning, now it is Saturday evening. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 This is a Classic Winter Storm for the SE/Mid-Atlantic 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 In my experience, at least at my location, if those upper air temps verify I’ll be shocked not to see almost entirely snow/sleet. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 So I have 17 inches on the Euro and 10 on the GFS,cooking. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 10 minutes ago, SnowDawg said: Sleet is always under-modeled. The closer you get to the all snow line the more snow/sleet I think you’d see and less freezing rain. Correct. Especially in the wedge. This rule is not as useful in the SRN plains/TN Valley/Oh Valley as much but often times in the GA/SC/NC wedge sleet ends up more dominant than you expec 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 2 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Correct. Especially in the wedge. This rule is not as useful in the SRN plains/TN Valley/Oh Valley as much but often times in the GA/SC/NC wedge sleet ends up more dominant than you expec Yeah I full expect some taint in central NC from that at this point but I will be happy with a warning level snow even if that does occur. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 We gonna talk about what the Euro AIFS just barfed out? Because it’s the most absurd clown I’ve ever seen. Even the DGEX didn’t snow porn like that.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 1 minute ago, eyewall said: Yeah I full expect some taint in central NC from that at this point but I will be happy with a warning level snow even if that does occur. If the cold air is as advertised someone might get a 4-6” sleet bomb somewhere out of this if that look on euro verifies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 3 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: If the cold air is as advertised someone might get a 4-6” sleet bomb somewhere out of this if that look on euro verifies The glacier will hang around until Easter 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 13 minutes ago, SnowDawg said: In my experience, at least at my location, if those upper air temps verify I’ll be shocked not to see almost entirely snow/sleet. True. This doesn’t look like a snow/ freezing rain line. There will be a significant sleet area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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