Modfan2 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 HRRR looks decent for tomorrow night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCHurricane Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 HRRR has much more consolidated LP look, which helps all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Hrrr, it’s predominantly evening but it’s a good thump , would be colder too. Def want the mesos on our side as we get to game time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 I wouldn’t bother looking at any ops here on out. Useless 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 HRRR we take Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 One thing that might help is that when looking at these soundings, the DGZ is pretty deep. So if we can get any type of decent deep layer lift, I’m guessing ratios will be pretty good even for a “wet snow”….its pretty cold off the deck during the meat of it so even 31-32F at the sfc could produce what I call “dry wet snow”. It’s kind of superficially wet maybe on the very sfc but it still is dry enough to hold lots of air if the snow growth is good. Just something to keep an eye on. If we see a lot of 5-6” amounts where 0.3-0.4” of QPF is being progged, it might not be a QPF bust, but better-than-expected ratios. Now if we just get lighter crap, none of this will even be relevant. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: One thing that might help is that when looking at these soundings, the DGZ is pretty deep. So if we can get any type of decent deep layer lift, I’m guessing ratios will be pretty good even for a “wet snow”….its pretty cold off the deck during the meat of it so even 31-32F at the sfc could produce what I call “dry wet snow”. It’s kind of superficially wet maybe on the very sfc but it still is dry enough to hold lots of air if the snow growth is good. Just something to keep an eye on. If we see a lot of 5-6” amounts where 0.3-0.4” of QPF is being progged, it might not be a QPF bust, but better-than-expected ratios. Now if we just get lighter crap, none of this will even be relevant. I feel like that is what we had this afternoon here in Trumbull CT. Great snow ball snow but seemed fluffy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: One thing that might help is that when looking at these soundings, the DGZ is pretty deep. So if we can get any type of decent deep layer lift, I’m guessing ratios will be pretty good even for a “wet snow”….its pretty cold off the deck during the meat of it so even 31-32F at the sfc could produce what I call “dry wet snow”. It’s kind of superficially wet maybe on the very sfc but it still is dry enough to hold lots of air if the snow growth is good. Just something to keep an eye on. If we see a lot of 5-6” amounts where 0.3-0.4” of QPF is being progged, it might not be a QPF bust, but better-than-expected ratios. Now if we just get lighter crap, none of this will even be relevant. That’s a good description for what we had today. The particles falling really really slow. Even the big ones floating. Yet I get out there and it was like the best snowball fight snow ever. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 For those looking at the HRRR 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Nam looks better at 500 too. Has the morning few inches then loading for the evening.. loving the trends at 00z for tomorrow evening 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Would take the HRRR. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 The 0z Nam is a few tics west of 18z 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: The 0z Nam is a few tics west of 18z much more consolidated, few mb stronger 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Widespread .36-.65” qpf on 00z guidance tonight .. beefier rates tomorrow night too .. like that look a lot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 pretty robust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 NAM favors PVD area to over by Scooter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 NAM is great here. Snows into Monday morning. 6-8” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3k coming in hot too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3k looks solid too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 northern CT. You can see how deep the DGZ is as Will alluded too. Pretty good lift here too. Can't wait to see this on bufkit 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 NAM was west of 18z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 If we could keep it snow....... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 It’s interesting that the NAM blossom’s little region of pre snows… The mechanics are very similar to what happened today actually… then the system comes up underneath and just melds right into that 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Morning stuff could really overperform somewhere 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, moneypitmike said: If we could keep it snow....... It would stay mostly snow verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Morning stuff could really overperform somewhere That’s my thought process . Just hoping it ends up somewhere in my 4-8” zone 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: It’s interesting that the NAM blossom’s little region of pre snows… The mechanics are very similar to what happened today actually… then the system comes up underneath and just melds right into that Yeah the pre is early, widespread, and a definite booster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3k chucks warning weenies from RI northeast to Gloucester 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: That’s my thought process . Just hoping it ends up somewhere in my 4-8” zone Preferably over East Hartford, CT, USA 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: That’s my thought process . Just hoping it ends up somewhere in my 4-8” zone I'd feel confident about that should this occur. Starting to think it is gaining more legs though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now