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Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026


BooneWX
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51 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

For kicks and giggles I asked copilot for a snowfall forecast and this is what it gave me. No wake county dry slot per se but realistically paints the near misses that define El Ninos in the carolinas

BCO.63aa5f11-1ac3-4f69-9ca5-ea8822d74fd3.png

It also has redrawn the state borders of the  SE

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1 hour ago, olafminesaw said:

For kicks and giggles I asked copilot for a snowfall forecast and this is what it gave me. No wake county dry slot per se but realistically paints the near misses that define El Ninos in the carolinas

BCO.63aa5f11-1ac3-4f69-9ca5-ea8822d74fd3.png

Geography isnt chats strong point but you get the point lol

 

47ba6689-fda9-4a7d-8f88-cd59508455b8.png

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It’s going to be one of those years where we push this heat well into October and when the flip happens, it happens fast. Regime change meets active southern jet and suddenly you go from 80s/90s and dry to 50s and rain. I’m not saying it’ll be an early kick off to winter, but I wouldn’t be shocked if come Halloween, it feels more like late Nov/early Dec with no warning. 

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2 hours ago, BooneWX said:

It’s going to be one of those years where we push this heat well into October and when the flip happens, it happens fast. Regime change meets active southern jet and suddenly you go from 80s/90s and dry to 50s and rain. I’m not saying it’ll be an early kick off to winter, but I wouldn’t be shocked if come Halloween, it feels more like late Nov/early Dec with no warning. 

Isn't that pretty normal for El Nino if I remember correctly?

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8 hours ago, Met1985 said:

Isn't that pretty normal for El Nino if I remember correctly?

Funny you ask that - I was thinking randomly about October 2018 when it hit 90° multiple days in the lower elevations and I have pictures of me fly fishing with no waders like 2 weeks before Halloween. Also an El Niño year. A month and a half after wet wading, we had the big behemoth snowstorm of Dec 8/9 hit WNC.  I remember the flip being harsh and the leaves still being in the infancy phase of changing colors as we flipped to Thanksgiving temps. 

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