Kevin Reilly Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 34 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Funny thing is, and I remember because I posted the image about 8 days ago, models were showing a clear Miller A for the same time frame. Kind of got muted for a bit after, but now obviously is showing up again. If any of the big deterministic guidance besides the euro jumps on board today, this place is going to erupt. I have a pic of the 12z gfs from Thursday but the pic is too big for this forum totally 977 mb at benchmark. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 8 hours ago, bncho said: nah, we sacrifice @JenkinsJinkies so he can't say "bust confirmed" I’m fairness I admitted I was wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 06z WeatherNext 2.0 Ensemble Mean showed this. 8 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 1 minute ago, Climate175 said: 06z WeatherNext 2.0 Ensemble Mean showed this. Apparently that was deadly just like the euro ai for the last storm from day 4-5 in 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 06z WeatherNext 2.0 Ensemble Mean showed this.Ah, the ole’ weathernext/euro rule! 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 If I'm nitpicking...that WeatherNext model is a bit too offshore. I know it shows digital blue over us - but it is a good ways out to seat on that plot. We'll see how this week of model tracking pans out! 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 48 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Funny thing is, and I remember because I posted the image about 8 days ago, models were showing a clear Miller A for the same time frame. Kind of got muted for a bit after, but now obviously is showing up again. If any of the big deterministic guidance besides the euro jumps on board today, this place is going to erupt. Yup. It was before this past storm took center stage. The big ones often make a comeback. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 I'm honestly quite intrigued about the late week potential. It has a legitimate upside (even B-word) potential for this area. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 3 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: If I'm nitpicking...that WeatherNext model is a bit too offshore. I know it shows digital blue over us - but it is a good ways out to seat on that plot. We'll see how this week of model tracking pans out! I believe it would be captured at this point and the strong 500mb ULL south of us would be doing its magic 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 3 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: If I'm nitpicking...that WeatherNext model is a bit too offshore. I know it shows digital blue over us - but it is a good ways out to seat on that plot. We'll see how this week of model tracking pans out! Its west of the last run. And it’s not that much more east than eps mean. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 4 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: If I'm nitpicking...that WeatherNext model is a bit too offshore. I know it shows digital blue over us - but it is a good ways out to seat on that plot. We'll see how this week of model tracking pans out! Compared to the 00z Ensemble Mean, the 06z was a tad more closer to the coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Gimme 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 King ICON is running... 12z suite begins peeps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 I start night shifts late this week, so I could very well be in the thick of forecasting this if it comes to fruition. Here’s to another week of tracking 17 3 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 2 hours ago, Ji said: Could this back too far west and become an app runner lol? What are all the different ways it could screw us? If it did that there would be tornados and stuff like that in our yards so some people here would love that option. 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just looking at the 500 progression on the Euro. The nice thing is with that setup cutting west of us is off the table. Its either we get blitzed or it misses east. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 16 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Apparently that was deadly just like the euro ai for the last storm from day 4-5 in Correct, had the general idea 5 days before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, Climate175 said: It even nailed the snow further North versus what was a NC and VA HECS, and mixing issues. Did awesome ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Noah Bergren@NbergWX · 12h It would appear somewhat clear we are locked into this pattern now of big cold and winter weather events in the eastern U.S. for a while yet. Euro AI holds, even strengthens this pattern once we get into the first 10 days of February. This is the upper level pattern Feb 2. to Feb. 7. Lots of cold in the east with this. It may not be until the 2nd half of February until we finally get the persistent trough out of the east coast. I hope you like cold. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Juicy 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, frd said: Noah Bergren@NbergWX · 12h It would appear somewhat clear we are locked into this pattern now of big cold and winter weather events in the eastern U.S. for a while yet. Euro AI holds, even strengthens this pattern once we get into the first 10 days of February. This is the upper level pattern Feb 2. to Feb. 7. Lots of cold in the east with this. It may not be until the 2nd half of February until we finally get the persistent trough out of the east coast. I hope you like cold. Works for me, our golf course will emerge like the phoenix in April 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 1 minute ago, frd said: Noah Bergren@NbergWX · 12h It would appear somewhat clear we are locked into this pattern now of big cold and winter weather events in the eastern U.S. for a while yet. Euro AI holds, even strengthens this pattern once we get into the first 10 days of February. This is the upper level pattern Feb 2. to Feb. 7. Lots of cold in the east with this. It may not be until the 2nd half of February until we finally get the persistent trough out of the east coast. I hope you like cold. Plenty of cold air available, and the current snowpack on the ground helps a bit too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 This looks like it may have potential 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 06z Euro AI-EPS has a mean 850 temp during the storm of -10 to -15. Very supportive of good snow growth. It also would lay a good boundary for the 850 low to track to our south. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 ICON looks like it is about to swing an uppercut. I'm only out to 102 hours 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 bUt tHe HaDLeY cELL!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 bUt tHe HaDLeY cELL!!!Don’t start it lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, Paleocene said: ICON looks like it is about to swing an uppercut. I'm only out to 102 hours It's very Euro-like 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 icon brings snow into VA fri night 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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