SnowenOutThere Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: I have a feeling that we’re gonna go another week without much sleep I mean its still so far out. Do the ens and upper levels support it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 We leave for vacation on the 31st…tragic 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 25 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Thermals in question If that fucker stacks vertically, thermals won't be an issue. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 3 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: I mean its still so far out. Do the ens and upper levels support it? Yes and yes. Signal and tellies are there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 2 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: I mean its still so far out. Do the ens and upper levels support it? We shall see, but one thing is for sure - we have another threat to track, and we will be doing a lot of tracking. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 3 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: I mean its still so far out. Do the ens and upper levels support it? Yes yes they do. No idea why but it just works 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 29 minutes ago, H2O said: Meh. We know this will cut to Chicago Congrats, Uccellini. 10 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'd take that storm and call it a winter. Seriously I would, too. I'm thinking we see this pattern play out through much of February. Once the atmosphere gets worn out, we get really warm for a couple weeks, then run the pattern back again in mid-March or so, and finally roll into a toasty spring. But...for the time being, let's f*cking do this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 13 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'd take that storm and call it a winter. Seriously I'd take it, and call it a start. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 These last 2 gfs runs belong in the weenie hall of fame. 2 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 At about 300 hours, the 18z GFS looked like it was trying to do it all over again, but the northern stream energy coming out of Alberta cut off and started drifting southwest over Utah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Every 7 days. That block is relentless. Sure, an op out at range but it actually is a plausible scenario based on its own LR ens. I would weenie my own post if I could. 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Even the Spire wanted to party somehow ended up owning like $20 of spire stock and it’s been doing well. Can’t be because of the weather model. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 GEFS is pretty enthused at this range 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said: fringed meh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said: Sure. It'll do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 5 minutes ago, Cobalt said: GEFS is pretty enthused at this range 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 32 minutes ago, Amped said: These last 2 gfs runs belong in the weenie hall of fame. Never gets above freezing thru 384 and no letup in sight. Amazing run of winter weather. We will be referring back to this one for a long long time. Savor every second. 7 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said: I'll accept it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 54 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: I mean its still so far out. Do the ens and upper levels support it? I made a post about the favorable h5 look earlier in the week, and it hasn't really changed imo. I still think there is big dog potential. ( i actually hate that phrase) The ens runs have shown a signal for a storm, but not consistently yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 18z GEFs great signal for next weekend, we take!. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 minute ago, Heisy said: 18z GEFs great signal for next weekend, we take! . What, this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 3 minutes ago, CAPE said: I made a post about the favorable h5 look earlier in the week, and it hasn't really changed imo. I still think there is big dog potential. ( i actually hate that phrase) The ens runs have shown a signal for a storm, but not consistently yet. You are in good company. Tomer Burg@burgwx · 3h There is a legitimate winter weather storm potential to monitor for the East Coast in early February. The large-scale ingredients are there: - Departing antecedent trough suppressing the baroclinic zone and acting as a transient 50/50 low - SW US trough entering the Gulf - Potential north stream trough being transported into the central/southern US downstream of western North American ridging There is still a lot of uncertainty and a suppressed low track is quite possible... but there is a *very* high-end ceiling for a major snowstorm if one does materialize out of these ingredients. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 What, this?For this range it’s solid . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Most of the precip ends up just offshore, but this h5 look is a beauty on the 12z EPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Just now, CAPE said: Most of the precip ends up just offshore, but this h5 look is a beauty on the 12z EPS. Just off my shitty knowledge, ridge axis over Boise, 50/50 low, -NAO? but doesn't it look a bit like Boxing Day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 minute ago, AlexD1990 said: Just off my shitty knowledge, ridge axis over Boise, 50/50 low, -NAO? but doesn't it look a bit like Boxing Day? Your area did pretty well didn't it? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LordBaltimore Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Never gets above freezing thru 384 and no letup in sight. Amazing run of winter weather. We will be referring back to this one for a long long time. Savor every second. I'm telling you guys, the bay *will* freeze up this year. Maybe not 1977 style but as close as we can get with modern climo. Get ready for bay bridge ice-jam pics Best part is when that happens places near the coast will decouple from their normal water moderated lows 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 21 minutes ago, CAPE said: Your area did pretty well didn't it? [Img] https://tenor.com/view/monkey-look-the-other-way-look-away-awkward-weird-gif-17246188[/img] 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 I would call it FOLKS rn if I knew the thermals would hold. Damnlol folks is for under 144 hours man 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 OK...let's get through this boring-ass ice storm and get to the really interesting stuff 10 days away. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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