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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion


snowfan
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^Hopefully that Pacific doesn't come to be. I can see that being a 40N pattern. Neutral H5 Alaska and cold NW Canada is sneaky surface level warm air if it holds the same pattern as it gets closer. 

143a161651774cb15bb8a6d1fb62c66e.jpg
Pretty cold look if accurate
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Sometimes they take the cold in the next 25 days and run that out. I don't think the surface will be that cold if that Pacific H5 comes to be. They seem to want to make west-based -NAO the dominant pattern, but almost all the time the Pacific has more weight. It's far out, so maybe that somewhat weak Pacific H5 won't even verify, it's suppose to be a Nina pattern this year on seasonal models and such and we are very +PNA for the next 15+ days. 

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2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

My man, we don’t need weather app screenshots. Put them in banter if you really need to.

Okay, since this is medium/long range discussion, I didn't see an issue showing what the forecasters are thinking. 

 

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18 minutes ago, GreyHat said:

Okay, since this is medium/long range discussion, I didn't see an issue showing what the forecasters are thinking. 

 

If it was truly from a weather app - it was probably generated on model output with little or no human input. 

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3 hours ago, Kmlwx said:

If it was truly from a weather app - it was probably generated on model output with little or no human input. 

Gotcha,  usually the Fox News weather is updated by humans. There like the weather channel.  Fox News has it's own weather channel and are talking about the upcoming storm.

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15 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said:

because a 1031mb high in Tennessee always works out for us :arrowhead:

 

54 minutes ago, bncho said:

image.png.927cc348155f54f3424456e26747089b.png

Would like it further off the coast to keep any ice or cold rain away from my neck of the woods. Since it's so far off and we have the current storm system,  things should change.

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Big potential here imo . Good look up top, confluence out in front of the NS shortwave, surface HP to the north, a significant shortwave moving across the deep south inducing low pressure off the SE coast, and plenty of cold air in place. Also the possibility of a phase.

 

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Insane that on both the 18z GEFS and the 12z EPS, Baltimore verbatim does not see a moment above freezing from Friday evening all the way to February 2-3. I'm sure to older members of the board a week to week and a half of freezing temps isn't all that crazy compared to ye olde days. But definitely a departure from today's norm. If it pans out, I hope there's at least some photo worthy ice in the harbor.

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