January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[Stormchaserchuck1]

^Hopefully that Pacific doesn't come to be. I can see that being a 40N pattern. Neutral H5 Alaska and cold NW Canada is sneaky surface level warm air if it holds the same pattern as it gets closer. 

[Ji]

^Hopefully that Pacific doesn't come to be. I can see that being a 40N pattern. Neutral H5 Alaska and cold NW Canada is sneaky surface level warm air if it holds the same pattern as it gets closer. 

Pretty cold look if accurate

[Stormchaserchuck1]

Sometimes they take the cold in the next 25 days and run that out. I don't think the surface will be that cold if that Pacific H5 comes to be. They seem to want to make west-based -NAO the dominant pattern, but almost all the time the Pacific has more weight. It's far out, so maybe that somewhat weak Pacific H5 won't even verify, it's suppose to be a Nina pattern this year on seasonal models and such and we are very +PNA for the next 15+ days.