January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[Paleocene]

13 minutes ago, Ji said:

Between the terrible redskins and this stupid hobby I just can’t anymore

Good will you stop posting 

[WVclimo]

18Z GFS through Day 12.  

[Ji]

Good will you stop posting 

Nope thanks to you…I’m going to double up

Why is there always something always ready and available to shunt our storm south and east

[Imgoinhungry]

Nope thanks to you…I’m going to double up

Why is there always something always ready and available to shunt our storm south and east

Been this way for a few years now…


.

[Maestrobjwa]

8 minutes ago, Ji said:

Nope thanks to you…I’m going to double up

Why is there always something always ready and available to shunt our storm south and east

You know how ninas are

[clskinsfan]

3 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

You know how ninas are

Just watching a pretty potent storm on the Gulf Coast get sheared into shit on the models. Unreal. 

[Terpeast]

Lean on ensembles after D5 folks…

[Ji]

23 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Lean on ensembles after D5 folks…

maybe randy should start doing ensemble PBP instead

[RevWarReenactor]

The amount of people losing it over a 200 + hour gfs run is unreal. It can’t even nail down specifics a day in advance anymore. 

[Ajb]

Are there still reduced weather balloons due to NWS cutbacks?

[Ji]

after seeing the 18z Euro AI--i think its time to call it

No cutter. Every single storm is suppressed. Every single one

this is now how winter is suppose to be work.

we just lost 8 inches in one run

[bncho]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

after seeing the 18z Euro AI--i think its time to call it

No cutter. Every single storm is suppressed. Every single one

this is now how winter is suppose to be work.

we just lost 8 inches in one run

this is starting to get old 

[Ji]

this is starting to get old 

Tell me about it

[mitchnick]

39 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Lean on ensembles after D5 folks…

Crazy how Gefs and EuroAI snowfall is very similar thru 300hrs. Similar, but not good. Clearly, modeling is favoring as of now suppression and is unimpressed with anything else for us. The straw we can grasp for now is it's too far to be confident of anything. 

[aldie 22]

7 minutes ago, Ji said:

after seeing the 18z Euro AI--i think its time to call it

No cutter. Every single storm is suppressed. Every single one

this is now how winter is suppose to be work.

we just lost 8 inches in one run

Is that a tooth over me or the Under Armour symbol 

[mitchnick]

8 minutes ago, Ji said:

after seeing the 18z Euro AI--i think its time to call it

No cutter. Every single storm is suppressed. Every single one

this is now how winter is suppose to be work.

we just lost 8 inches in one run

That's one hell of a big molar in nw Virginia.  Quite the dental office there, I'm sure.

[mitchnick]

1 minute ago, aldie 22 said:

Is that a tooth over me or the Under Armour symbol 

Ninja'd!

[Ji]

Ninja'd!

I saw a tooth or bowtie pasta

[nj2va]

11 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

Is that a tooth over me or the Under Armour symbol 

I actually thought H for help

[Ji]

We’re bleeding out. How do you lose 4 inches in a 6 hour ensemble run

[The Dude]

31 minutes ago, bncho said:

this is starting to get old 

It's been old for 20 years...

[nw baltimore wx]

Just now, The Dude said:

It's been old for 20 years...

When a 14 year old says it’s getting old…

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

24 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Crazy how Gefs and EuroAI snowfall is very similar thru 300hrs. Similar, but not good. Clearly, modeling is favoring as of now suppression and is unimpressed with anything else for us. The straw we can grasp for now is it's too far to be confident of anything. 

Weren't you talking about how all ensembles were showing their greatest agreement with a pretty decent amount, several hours ago?

[GreyHat]

11 minutes ago, Ji said:

We’re bleeding out. How do you lose 4 inches in a 6 hour ensemble run

It's to far in the future and I doubt much will happen at least in my neck of the woods

[GreyHat]

1 hour ago, Ji said:

Nope thanks to you…I’m going to double up

Why is there always something always ready and available to shunt our storm south and east

Nice wide trough, storms have no where to go but OTS especially weak ones.

[mitchnick]

17 minutes ago, Ji said:

We’re bleeding out. How do you lose 4 inches in a 6 hour ensemble run

Sorry, but I'd take that in a heartbeat. I don't care what prior runs showed.